HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

FAST7 predictions...

Posted by: Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin on Apr 10, 17:05

Domestic Total as of Apr. 9, 2015:$191,930,470

Delist predictions? 

Rationale?

Teach us how you arrive at your number.

Some people are exceptionally accurate at this.  For example, JDolphin (among others) seems to be particularly skilled at post-opening predictions.

FAST7 predictions... Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Apr 10, 17:05

I'm going with $320. Let's see if this pastes properly... Roger More Apr 10, 17:24

I'll try once more... Roger More Apr 10, 17:25

(dammit!) {nm} Roger More Apr 10, 17:27

Gotcha - so my question is this... Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Apr 10, 18:21

There are a bunch of factors, but I think they all cancel each other out RogerMore Apr 10, 19:37

Thanks for your response, Roger More! {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Apr 10, 20:24

Oh, I just remembered that FAST7's OW was underestimated, so the adjust was lower than it should have been RogerMore Apr 11, 09:10

So like... Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Apr 11, 11:58

I'll say 328 {nm} RogerMore Apr 11, 14:00

I tend to pick an early number(usually a little higher than final) and and then revise as each weekend box office unfolds. My initial number JDolphin Apr 10, 22:35

Thanks for the great input! {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Apr 11, 11:58

Dang, you were dead on {nm} MattW Feb 05, 19:42

331 {nm} Universal 100 Fund Apr 11, 07:23

Direct and to the point :) Thanks!! {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Apr 11, 11:59

You should show your math. {nm} Antibody Apr 13, 14:04

No, no, don't do that. You get called names by Homer Simpson! You don't want that :P {nm} Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Apr 13, 19:28

The number zed reminds me of a doh-nut! {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Apr 13, 21:43

See comparison with HGAME Antibody Apr 13, 13:48

This is a good piece of data, here. Interesting. Thanks Anti. {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Apr 13, 21:42

I mean - it's uncanny how close these numbers are {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Apr 13, 21:44





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Lakeith Stanfield (LSTAN) 25000 15.55 (-0.20)          Sterling K. Brown (SKBRO) 25000 52.90 (-0.16)          Trey Parker (TPARK) 25000 78.50 (0.00)          Molly Shannon (MSHAN) 25000 27.99 (0.00)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 5000 8.72 (+0.78)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 H$80 Cal (PRAD2.CA) 22085 4.99 (+0.07)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 25000 222.95 (-0.21)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 3000 13.85 (+1.92)          Ono Ghost Market (ONOGM) 50000 80.05 (+1.42)          Kumail Nanjiani (KNANJ) 25000 92.20 (-0.25)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 56365 222.95 (-0.21)          James Franco (JAFRA) 25000 20.93 (-0.25)          Whalefall (WHALF) 45000 27.74 (+0.16)          Whalefall (WHALF) 45000 27.74 (+0.16)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 150000 224.49 (-1.37)          One Night Only (ONTON) 150000 23.57 (+0.32)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 19623 55.28 (+0.01)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 150000 224.49 (-1.37)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 150000 3.94 (+0.76)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 150000 3.94 (+0.76)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 13.85 (+1.92)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 13.85 (+1.92)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 150000 8.72 (+0.78)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 150000 8.72 (+0.78)          Renny Harlin (RHARL) 25000 15.81 (0.00)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 150000 2.73 (-0.27)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 150000 2.73 (-0.27)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 50000 29.51 (-0.46)          Woody Harrelson (WHARR) 25000 25.25 (+0.12)          Cliffhanger (CLFHN) 150000 7.56 (-0.03)          Kieran Culkin (KCULK) 25000 8.45 (+0.05)          Jack Dylan Grazer (JDGRA) 25000 55.62 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 120000 89.46 (+0.95)          Michael (MJACK) 150000 233.76 (+0.54)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 15000 89.46 (+0.95)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 150000 239.22 (+0.95)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 150000 224.49 (-1.37)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 135000 89.46 (+0.95)          Our Hero, Balthazar (OURHB) 150000 0.24 (-0.01)          Ice Age: Boiling Point aka Ice A (ICEA6) 150000 83.95 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 25000 203.81 (-0.91)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 25000 203.81 (-0.91)          Alpha (ALPH) 150000 0.24 (-0.02)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 203.81 (-0.91)          Our Hero, Balthazar (OURHB) 8000 0.24 (-0.01)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 247.83 (-1.33)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 150000 224.49 (-1.37)          Our Hero, Balthazar (OURHB) 11 0.24 (-0.01)          Our Hero, Balthazar (OURHB) 8000 0.24 (-0.01)          Alpha (ALPH) 2000 0.24 (-0.02)