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Playing & Trading Strategy

Thanks for posting this, Roger. Always been a fan of your charts. One quick question and one note inside...

Posted by: ShawnMR on Dec 03, 10:16 in response to RogerMore's post HSXsanity announcement re: preview spreadsheet (and others)

Question: I saw someone mention a few months back on the Movies board that there was a tabulation of prediction accuracies across the various sites that covered the last 100 movies (I believe this was of sometime in September or thereabouts). Do you know if this was referring to your sheet or another with accuracy scores tabulated?

Note: Just a friendly heads-up that this link currently lists the 3-day Boxoffice.com predictions for Allied, Bad Santa 2, and Rules Don't Apply but the "OW (actual)" figures represent the 5-day. Our 5-day forecasts for those films, respectively, were $18.5M, 10M, and $6.3M. (Moana is listed correctly, though.)

Best,
Shawn

HSXsanity announcement re: preview spreadsheet (and others) RogerMore Nov 29, 10:43

thanks again for al your work! {nm} tealfan Nov 29, 12:44

*all {nm} tealfan Nov 29, 12:45

Thanks RM!! {nm} Dorfman Nov 29, 14:19

Thanks for posting this, Roger. Always been a fan of your charts. One quick question and one note inside... ShawnMR Dec 03, 10:16

It was probably my sheet, I don't know anyone else who tracked this. And updated. {nm} RogerMore Dec 05, 11:45

Gotcha. Thanks, Roger. {nm} ShawnMR Dec 06, 12:45





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Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 5000 265.46 (+1.50)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 20000 265.46 (+1.50)          It Ends (ITNDS) 15000 6.26 (+0.62)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          Bowen Yang (BYANG) 19324 107.28 (-0.25)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 90000 8.00 (0.00)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 30026 8.00 (0.00)          Fellowship (FELWS) 500 14.81 (-0.14)          Rapture (RAPTU) 150000 1.75 (-0.01)          River (RIVE1) 150000 1.77 (-0.05)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 20026 4.00 (0.00)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 18.53 (+0.03)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 150000 15.75 (+0.13)          Cookie Queens (COKIQ) 150000 1.92 (-0.05)          The Man I Love (TMILV) 150000 3.69 (-0.28)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 150000 7.94 (-0.06)          It Ends (ITNDS) 150000 6.26 (+0.62)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Fleur (FLEUR) 150000 7.77 (+0.48)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 12.49 (+1.81)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 12.21 (+0.20)          Thumb (THUM) 150000 5.38 (-0.07)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 149995 4.00 (0.00)          Gambino (GMBNO) 150000 10.03 (-0.18)          Beast (BEAS) 150000 1.31 (-0.02)          Cold War 1994 (CWAR3) 150000 0.65 (-0.03)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 150000 76.82 (+2.18)          This Is Not a Test (TINAT) 25000 0.85 (+0.01)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 149995 8.00 (0.00)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 347 142.42 (+11.65)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 2000 84.44 (-1.08)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 25000 416.22 (-0.86)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 100000 4.00 (0.00)          Ronan Boyle and the Bridge of Ri (RBOYL) 10000 11.83 (+0.06)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 150000 17.68 (+2.76)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 10.83 (+0.51)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 500 78.64 (-0.16)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 10000 8.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 150000 387.44 (-0.67)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 75000 4.00 (0.00)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 35000 8.00 (0.00)          Clayface (CLAYF) 50000 80.14 (+0.50)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 75241 142.42 (+11.65)          Michael (MJACK) 95685 210.12 (+14.48)          Michael (MJACK) 75000 210.12 (+14.48)