HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

The market seems to be expecting some short legs for Rogue One

Posted by: MattW_SlightlyMoreHumbleNow (a.k.a MattW) on Dec 14, 13:13

And they seem to be moving in opposite directions the last couple of days.  Weird.

As of right now:
.OW 168
Moviestock 435
Multiplier 2.59

I am legend delist multi 2.95
Hobbit 1 delist multi 3.11
Hobbbit 2 delist multi 3.11
TFA deslit multi 3.27

Those are the biggest December openers.  Looking at 2005 and 2011 I would expect a slightly better multiplier this year than last year for the same quality/reception, but either way 2.6 is low for any december.  

Although to be fair if you think the pent up demand by normal audiences was satisfied last year then the OW could be very inflated by super-fans relative to overall demand levels for the movie, sort of like Civil War having abnormally short legs compared to other superhero movies, especially given how well it was received.





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Violent Night 2 (VILN2) 150000 29.42 (-0.16)          Drifter (DRFTR) 150000 3.57 (-0.43)          Assassination (ASSNT) 25000 6.24 (0.00)          Tony (TONY) 50000 15.16 (+0.75)          The Alchemist (ALCHM) 25000 2.67 (0.00)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 50000 0.71 (+0.02)          The Lost Boys (LOSTB) 50000 0.98 (+0.02)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 10000 18.49 (+0.02)          Drifter (DRFTR) 10000 3.57 (-0.43)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 1500 6.64 (-0.26)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 2500 20.88 (+0.04)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 500 18.49 (+0.02)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 5000 18.49 (+0.02)          The Alchemist (ALCHM) 1000 2.67 (0.00)          The Lost Boys (LOSTB) 150000 0.98 (+0.02)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 150000 0.71 (+0.02)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 86433 24.95 (+0.33)          The End of Oak Street H$30 Call (FLWVS.CA) 25000 1.05 (+0.08)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 100000 24.95 (+0.33)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie H$20 (PAWP3.CA) 25000 1.14 (+0.08)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie - Ope (PAWP3.OW) 100000 21.18 (+0.40)          One Night Only H$10 Call (ONTON.CA) 25000 0.54 (+0.06)          Cory Michael Smith (CMSMI) 25000 4.15 (0.00)          One Night Only - Opening Weekend (ONTON.OW) 100000 8.45 (+0.16)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 7.24 (+0.16)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 18.17 (+0.07)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 11.99 (+0.28)          Insidious: Out of the Further H$ (NSID6.CA) 25000 2.16 (+0.16)          Insidious: Out of the Further - (NSID6.OW) 100000 25.53 (+0.53)          Insidious: Out of the Further H$ (NSID6.PU) 25000 1.89 (-0.11)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 10000 30.17 (+0.23)          Not Alone (NTALN) 100 116.69 (+0.11)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 10000 5.55 (+0.82)          Drifter (DRFTR) 150000 3.57 (-0.43)          The End of Oak Street H$30 Call (FLWVS.CA) 25000 1.05 (+0.08)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 100000 24.95 (+0.33)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 77 670.86 (+0.84)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie H$20 (PAWP3.CA) 25000 1.14 (+0.08)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie - Ope (PAWP3.OW) 100000 21.18 (+0.40)          One Night Only H$10 Call (ONTON.CA) 25000 0.54 (+0.06)          One Night Only - Opening Weekend (ONTON.OW) 100000 8.45 (+0.16)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 7.24 (+0.16)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 11.99 (+0.28)          Insidious: Out of the Further H$ (NSID6.CA) 25000 2.16 (+0.16)          Insidious: Out of the Further - (NSID6.OW) 100000 25.53 (+0.53)          American Psycho (APSYC) 5000 17.94 (+0.04)          The End of Oak Street H$30 Call (FLWVS.CA) 25000 1.05 (+0.08)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 48013 24.95 (+0.33)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 11.99 (+0.28)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie H$20 (PAWP3.CA) 25000 1.14 (+0.08)