HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

The market seems to be expecting some short legs for Rogue One

Posted by: MattW_SlightlyMoreHumbleNow (a.k.a MattW) on Dec 14, 13:13

And they seem to be moving in opposite directions the last couple of days.  Weird.

As of right now:
.OW 168
Moviestock 435
Multiplier 2.59

I am legend delist multi 2.95
Hobbit 1 delist multi 3.11
Hobbbit 2 delist multi 3.11
TFA deslit multi 3.27

Those are the biggest December openers.  Looking at 2005 and 2011 I would expect a slightly better multiplier this year than last year for the same quality/reception, but either way 2.6 is low for any december.  

Although to be fair if you think the pent up demand by normal audiences was satisfied last year then the OW could be very inflated by super-fans relative to overall demand levels for the movie, sort of like Civil War having abnormally short legs compared to other superhero movies, especially given how well it was received.





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Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 1000 29.21 (+0.87)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 5000 29.21 (+0.87)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 10000 42.32 (-0.20)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 10000 29.21 (+0.87)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 10000 35.72 (+0.36)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 1000 11.87 (-0.15)          Hit Me Hard And Soft: The Tour (HMHAS) 10000 21.80 (-0.39)          Fleur (FLEUR) 150000 7.81 (+0.52)          Fleur (FLEUR) 150000 7.81 (+0.52)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 10000 379.76 (+0.72)          Voltron (VOLTN) 65 22.92 (+0.04)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 4 9.05 (-0.01)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 20000 191.05 (+0.40)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 4 12.14 (+0.01)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 5 15.11 (+0.05)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 8 11.62 (-0.07)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 4 233.99 (-0.61)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 25000 53.23 (+0.51)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 113 2.92 (0.00)          Murder, She Wrote (MURSW) 150000 30.24 (-1.04)          Runner (RUNNR) 149999 14.09 (-0.35)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 3 33.85 (-0.04)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 5 42.28 (-0.19)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 15000 214.23 (+1.10)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 59 81.46 (-2.27)          Wind of Change (WNDOC) 12 4.52 (+0.05)          Desert Warrior (DSRTW) 149999 2.03 (-0.19)          Without Blood (WOBLD) 150 2.58 (+0.01)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 6 52.38 (-0.25)          Gambino (GMBNO) 30000 9.98 (-0.23)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 149907 7.84 (+0.20)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 149908 7.84 (+0.20)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 3 68.95 (-0.14)          Watch Dogs (WTDOG) 180 9.41 (-0.07)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 15000 379.76 (+0.72)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 3 164.81 (-0.44)          New York Will Eat You Alive aka (ZMBRO) 18 0.58 (-0.01)          Emma Corrin (EMCOR) 4 113.22 (-0.33)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Melissa Barrera (MBARR) 4 46.91 (-0.16)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Vanessa Kirby (VKIRB) 4 103.85 (-0.33)          It Ends (ITNDS) 50000 6.27 (+0.63)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 150000 7.97 (-0.03)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 130000 17.48 (+2.56)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 150000 8.00 (0.00)