HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

Simple answer is yes...full reason inside

Posted by: mrbinns A DECADE AT HSX (a.k.a mrbinns) on Oct 26, 06:17 in response to kruger's post thanks guys (more in the post)

Suppose MOVIE has a strike price of 10.  The call is a winner if the total box is over 10.  The Put wins if the Total box is less than 10.  (Actually, since the initial cost is 2, you are reallly thinking 12 and 8 respectively, but lets not go there.)

This is an opinion poll.  So you are going with your opinon.  Suppose that you think that MOVIE will do 15, easily.  Then you buy (long) the Call.  Since 15 is more than 10, then the Put will delist at zero, so a short of the Put will gain.  So Long Call, short Put.

On the other hand, suppose you think that it will go the other way.  Say about 7.  Then you would buy (long) the PUT since you think the total box office will be less than the strike of 7.  But in that case, the CALL will not be greater than the strike (7 is less than 10) so you would Short the CALL.

Once in a great while, actual is near the strike price (A HOLE IN ONE!) and BOTH delist at zero, and shorting both would be the correct answer. 

Just remember that this is a game.  A large opinion poll disguised as a game.  You are playing with fake money.  So have fun.  If you guess wrong, well at least you still have your rent money.





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Ready or Not 2: Here I Come - Op (RONO2.OW) 100000 10.31 (-0.71)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 1.76 (-0.24)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 22.11 (+2.11)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come - Op (RONO2.OW) 50000 10.31 (-0.71)          Dog Stars (DOGST) 10000 66.36 (+0.19)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come - Op (RONO2.OW) 50000 10.31 (-0.71)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come - Op (RONO2.OW) 50000 10.31 (-0.71)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 150000 14.46 (+1.32)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come - Op (RONO2.OW) 50000 10.31 (-0.71)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 12992 41.14 (-0.03)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 1.56 (-0.92)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 1.56 (-0.92)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 1.56 (-0.92)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 95.59 (+0.40)          The Weight (THEWT) 500 6.85 (-0.21)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 57 372.24 (-1.49)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 40255 22.11 (+2.11)          The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 500 88.10 (+0.11)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 98.88 (-1.51)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 150000 25.03 (-0.55)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come - Op (RONO2.OW) 100000 10.31 (-0.71)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.CA) 25000 2.68 (-0.25)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 150000 25.03 (-0.55)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.CA) 25000 2.68 (-0.25)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 130000 25.03 (-0.55)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 20.96 (+0.34)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 1.56 (-0.92)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.CA) 25000 2.68 (-0.25)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 109745 22.11 (+2.11)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 4.81 (+0.66)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.PU) 25000 1.68 (+0.11)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 1 216.67 (+6.49)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come - Op (RONO2.OW) 100000 10.31 (-0.71)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come - Op (RONO2.OW) 100000 10.31 (-0.71)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 4.81 (+0.66)          Nick Offerman (NOFFE) 25000 52.21 (-0.16)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 1.56 (-0.92)          Dog Stars (DOGST) 150000 66.36 (+0.19)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 20106 117.37 (-0.02)          The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 3000 88.10 (+0.11)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 138265 22.11 (+2.11)          The Pout-pout Fish (POUTF) 1 2.36 (+0.20)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 136049 98.88 (-1.51)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 150000 3.57 (0.00)          Helldivers (HELDV) 5000 100.43 (+0.12)          The Pout-pout Fish (POUTF) 150000 2.36 (+0.20)          In the Grey (NGREY) 150000 20.84 (-0.11)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 2000 78.89 (+1.09)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 22.11 (+2.11)          Dhurandhar: The Revenge (DHUR2) 150000 19.79 (+0.16)