HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

Simple answer is yes...full reason inside

Posted by: mrbinns A DECADE AT HSX (a.k.a mrbinns) on Oct 26, 06:17 in response to kruger's post thanks guys (more in the post)

Suppose MOVIE has a strike price of 10.  The call is a winner if the total box is over 10.  The Put wins if the Total box is less than 10.  (Actually, since the initial cost is 2, you are reallly thinking 12 and 8 respectively, but lets not go there.)

This is an opinion poll.  So you are going with your opinon.  Suppose that you think that MOVIE will do 15, easily.  Then you buy (long) the Call.  Since 15 is more than 10, then the Put will delist at zero, so a short of the Put will gain.  So Long Call, short Put.

On the other hand, suppose you think that it will go the other way.  Say about 7.  Then you would buy (long) the PUT since you think the total box office will be less than the strike of 7.  But in that case, the CALL will not be greater than the strike (7 is less than 10) so you would Short the CALL.

Once in a great while, actual is near the strike price (A HOLE IN ONE!) and BOTH delist at zero, and shorting both would be the correct answer. 

Just remember that this is a game.  A large opinion poll disguised as a game.  You are playing with fake money.  So have fun.  If you guess wrong, well at least you still have your rent money.





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Maya, Give Me A Title (MGMAT) 299 0.05 (+0.02)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 10 17.77 (-0.19)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 150000 18.41 (+0.06)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 15 3.84 (-0.06)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 149999 18.41 (+0.06)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 200 30.00 (0.00)          Love Child (LOVCH) 9096 0.01 (0.00)          Love Child (LOVCH) 506 0.01 (0.00)          Jack of Spades (JACSP) 150000 6.00 (+0.11)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 3.84 (-0.06)          Karma Chameleon (KCHML) 150000 0.08 (+0.02)          Francis and the Godfather (FGODF) 599 0.03 (0.00)          Ty Simpkins (TSIMP) 25000 73.91 (+0.25)          Dog Years (DOGYS) 196 0.30 (0.00)          Queen at Sea (QUASE) 1 0.25 (0.00)          Clayface (CLAYF) 149999 54.75 (-1.55)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 150000 21.35 (+1.31)          Tom Blyth (TBLYT) 25000 41.78 (0.00)          Dog Years (DOGYS) 104 0.30 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 99.15 (-1.60)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 25000 193.79 (-0.54)          Zorro 2.0 (ZOROR) 1001 0.07 (0.00)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 150000 14.40 (+0.10)          Zorro 2.0 (ZOROR) 999 0.07 (0.00)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 50000 259.87 (-0.07)          Maya, Give Me A Title (MGMAT) 150000 0.05 (+0.02)          Bad Blood (BDBLD) 150000 0.05 (+0.02)          Sniff (SNIFF) 198 0.04 (0.00)          Wizards! (WIZRD) 150000 0.02 (+0.01)          Karma Chameleon (KCHML) 1502 0.08 (+0.02)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 107.29 (+1.75)          Karma Chameleon (KCHML) 1496 0.08 (+0.02)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Funny Birds (FUNYB) 999 0.02 (+0.01)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Chippendales (IMCHP) 398 0.05 (+0.02)          Boys For Life (BOYFL) 1 15.28 (-0.18)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 5.82 (+1.19)          Boys For Life (BOYFL) 1 15.28 (-0.18)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 1 13.94 (-0.23)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 5.82 (+1.19)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 1 13.94 (-0.23)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 5.71 (+1.11)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Ramayana - Opening Weekend (RAMAY.OW) 100000 6.81 (+0.18)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Ranger's Apprentice (RNGAP) 7498 0.01 (0.00)          Ranger's Apprentice (RNGAP) 507 0.01 (0.00)          Ramayana - Opening Weekend (RAMAY.OW) 100000 6.81 (+0.18)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 13.94 (-0.15)