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My early adjust projections based on Wed numbers

Posted by: xiayun on Dec 22, 10:08

MISS4: in 2005, all films in the top 15 saw an increase on Thursday; however, we have a unique situation here created by Paramount's weird - some would call "cheating" - reporting, where they added the $2m figure it earned from Tuesday night expansion to Wednesday to artificially inflate the Wed number. So I expect Thursday to be higher than the $6.5m figure the film actually earned on Wed, but lower than the $8.5m studio reported.  $7m sounds reasonable, which was what I had in my predicted daily-breakdown chart, so I will stick with what I have for the rest of the week too.

So projected adjust price: 17.1 + 8.5 (Wed) + 7 (Thurs) + 43 (4-day) * 2.2 = 127.2

TGRLW: since it had the Tuesday figure correctly separated out, I see a flat or a small uptick on Thursday from Wednesday, so around $5m, then still go with the same daily change as I originally had for the rest of the week.

Projected adjust price: 1.6 + 5 + 5 + 25 * 2.2 = 66.6

TINTN: lower Wed than I expected. Using the same multiplier, we have

Projected adjust price: 2.3 + 2.5 + 14.5 * 2.2 = 36.7

 





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