Movies

Here's this weekend's prediction column. I'd love to know what you guys think so please feel free to leave your predictions FilmGo May 02, 11:35

Here's the link FilmGo May 02, 11:36

http://www.filmgo.net/BoxOfficePredictions/tabid/138/EntryId/552/The-Avengers-Assemble-to-Kick-Off-the-Summer.aspx FilmGo May 02, 11:36

I personally reckon somewhere between the $140-145 mark (reasoning inside) baronblacksheep May 02, 14:04

good number Oleg Max May 02, 11:47

Thanks Oleg. I think the film is going to do very well, despite MTC's $140 million call. FilmGo May 02, 11:52

Not that $140 million is bad! FilmGo May 02, 11:52

in this context it is, lol {nm} BorderLand May 02, 12:02

I say around 162... {nm} BorderLand May 02, 12:02

You're giving too much to #2,3,4,5. Take $1M off each and add to AVNGR, and we're seeing a $170M+ weekend! {nm} elchan May 02, 12:24

I think $145 to $150 million is on track, here's why REDKED May 02, 12:27

if you adjust spidey 3 numbers for inflation, it would be 174 today, and that doesn't account for 3D {nm} jwammo May 02, 12:30

167, I beg your pardon, still gets the point across, inflation and 3d tickets could more than make up for it {nm} jwammo May 02, 12:32

Different franchises. SPID1 and SPID2 banked ~$400M. The best AVGNR prequel IRNMN topped out ~320M. {nm} Antibody May 02, 12:41

But you are getting a bunch of superheroes versus just one. Ergo, higher box office. {nm} Tanker May 02, 12:46

It's not cumulative as their fans overlap between IRNM, HULK, THOR and CAPAM. {nm} Antibody May 02, 12:48

my thinking as well {nm} tealfan May 02, 12:51

but then again there's all that built-up anticipation for AVNGR {nm} tealfan May 02, 12:59

The best point made! {nm} dioneta May 02, 13:15

my thought was that Avengers doesn't have to do as well as spidey3 and can still be > 160 {nm} jwammo May 02, 12:48

Spidey 3 sucked ****, too. Reviews for Avengers are stellar. Tanker May 02, 12:43

No clue which indicator he used here for inflation.....but avg. ticket in 2007 = $6.88...avg. ticket in 2011 = $7.96 alfpaulytd2012 May 02, 12:51

haha, good points. avg ticket price is a better guide, of course, you are using 2011 #'s so adjust up a bit. {nm} jwammo May 02, 12:56

I was using CPI, btw {nm} jwammo May 02, 13:03

As much as there is fan overlap between IRNM, THOR, etc, I believe that there will be way more spent in family dollars for AVNGR, FilmGo May 02, 13:10

I think it 's a tad high. I'd go 155-160ish. The lack of news of midnight sellouts is alarming along with MTC #s. {nm} thatpj May 02, 12:39

First weekend in May openers don't do big midnight numbers. SM3 did 10M while IM2 did 7.5M {nm} Jay_Beezy May 02, 12:43

Midnights are much different now then they were when Spidey 3 came out. But I see your point. {nm} thatpj May 02, 12:56

Another thing, the Ultimate Marvel marathon the day before, which includes the Avengers at midnight, has sold out in most places. {nm} Jay_Beezy May 02, 13:02

Source? Link? {nm} thatpj May 02, 13:23

It sold out its first 10 announced theaters alfpaulytd2012 May 02, 13:58

Wow, a whole 10 theaters. {nm} BionicMoron May 02, 14:11

just for perspective alfpaulytd2012 May 02, 14:18

Alright.10 special event showings sold out. Great. There isn't any presale buzz like The Hunger Games though thatpj May 02, 14:42

What about this? Jay_Beezy May 02, 14:53

You just used Iron Man 2, to say that midnights did not matter in May. thatpj May 02, 15:00

Considering inflation in general admission, plus inflation for 3D and IMAX, it could easily outpace SM3's midnights. Jay_Beezy May 02, 15:18

This argument is pointless. I am repeating the same points I have already made from the beginning. thatpj May 02, 15:24

And your non-quantifiable assessment of buzz is fact? {nm} alfpaulytd2012 May 02, 15:29

So I guess you skipped over my post with the Hunger Games material? Sheesh, fanboys. 155M is not enough. {nm} thatpj May 02, 15:33

Honestly, don't care 1 way or the other alfpaulytd2012 May 02, 15:40

Maybe you should read the first post that started this whole thing. It was about midnight sellouts. thatpj May 02, 15:47

And once again I am repeating myself. {nm} thatpj May 02, 15:49

Gotcha...ask and lazy self will receive I guess alfpaulytd2012 May 02, 16:03

Poke it enough and it can flame {nm} alfpaulytd2012 May 02, 16:04

Aren't you 'assuming' that a lower midnight number equates a lower opening weekend? Just sayin'. {nm} Jay_Beezy May 02, 16:40

Not really. No one can show the thousands of midnight sellouts that The Hunger Games had. thatpj May 02, 17:34

Apparently midnight numbers mean everything to you when there's actually more to the weekend. {nm} Jay_Beezy May 02, 17:50

If you're asking me diirectly alfpaulytd2012 May 02, 14:58

No school on Sat and Sun, kids will be out for the mid-night showings, for sure. {nm} elchan May 02, 12:48

as opposed to the saturdays and sundays they do have school? {nm} alfpaulytd2012 May 02, 12:53

Point is midnight showings will not be affected by the fact that schools not out yet. {nm} elchan May 02, 14:36

gotcha....kids don't go to school on Sat and Sun....thx for the breaking info...any odds on the sun coming up tomorrow? alfpaulytd2012 May 02, 15:01

i give it no better than 50/50 {nm} jwammo May 02, 15:04

I believe his point was that Hunger Games had school on Friday as well, and sold out midnights everywhere, not sure though. {nm} arf May 02, 20:38