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Ok, I think I want to revise my SWTHM sentiments, I thinking more in the low 40's ...

Posted by: elchan (a.k.a elchan2012) on May 29, 08:57 in response to notfabio's post rs snow mid 60s tdkr mid 180s

The reason is that MIB3 did $17.5M/day, and it opened in 4248 theatres.  So if SWTHM did the exact same for 3700 theatres, it would be $45M.  However, given the lack of 3D, I'd have to reduce this to about $42M.

rs snow mid 60s tdkr mid 180s {nm} notfabio May 29, 07:11

obviously old theatre count pirahna almost 10 {nm} notfabio May 29, 07:13

rock mid 30s spidey between 110 and 120 no day info {nm} notfabio May 29, 07:15

tagging RS futures: [ROAGE] mid 30s; [SPID4] 110-120, no info on how many days the # is for. {nm} Paul2k May 29, 13:06

With only 75 locations, Piranha wont do very well... I predict 1M, and thats considering people wont rent it on VOD instead.. {nm} gardavou May 29, 08:27

cant wait for MTC on SNOW {nm} gogreenytd May 29, 07:16

Even if MTC turns out in the low 50's, there's still a decent profit to make, considering the price it's at.. {nm} gardavou May 29, 07:38

Unless, of course, you believe in the MTC << RT theory. {nm} stevie1der328 May 29, 07:45

Didn't really think high 30s was right. {nm} Ryan_Stewart May 29, 07:37

When you talk about SNOW, you talk about... SWHTM ? {nm} nomyst May 29, 07:45

Anyone ? {nm} nomyst May 29, 07:56

yes {nm} ndmaster May 29, 08:19

I can see SWATH going either way, but seeing as how RS is already that high its not helping my feelings that MTC will come in much lower. {nm} ShawnMR May 29, 07:47

Based on RS and BO's long term projection, I dont see any reason why it wouldnt at least hit the 50's..Its the only wide release this week {nm} gardavou May 29, 07:51

To be fair, we decreased our long term projection by $10m this weekend. It used to be $60m. {nm} ShawnMR May 29, 08:05

tagging [SWHTM] [BATM3] {nm} jwammo May 29, 07:58

Well, if you're talking about SNTHM, then I agree. it should do at least as well as MIB3 three day numbers. elchan May 29, 08:15

SWHTM {nm} ndmaster May 29, 08:20

Ok, I think I want to revise my SWTHM sentiments, I thinking more in the low 40's ... elchan May 29, 08:57

Take with a grain of salt...is BATM3 with or without the midnights.....because if you add 20M and mult by 2.7...that adds Buy StarBond Fund 18 May 29, 10:23

rs includes midnights {nm} notfabio May 29, 10:25

Has tracking ever, in the history of the earth, not included midnights? BionicMoron May 29, 10:48

That seems a bit high for SWHTM. I'm thinking a debut in the low 50's. FilmGo May 29, 13:12





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