HSX Forum

Movies

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm}

Posted by: Roger More (a.k.a RogerMore) on Jul 02, 15:16 in response to dioneta's post It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX...

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm} notfabio Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) {nm} Antibody Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy. BionicMoron, EAP leader Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm} xiayun Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW xiayun Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm} xiayun Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though xiayun Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm} numbersix_99 Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm} ShawnMR Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm} baronblacksheep Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday. Roger More Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) Roger More Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm} notfabio Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jul 03, 07:55





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 2000 49.58 (0.00)          King Ivory (KIVRY) 1 0.20 (-0.06)          American Son (AMRSN) 150000 0.17 (0.00)          American Son (AMRSN) 1 0.17 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 149999 4.00 (0.00)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 149996 23.95 (+1.17)          Frankenstein (FRNST) 2006 0.01 (0.00)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 149999 2.00 (0.00)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 149999 23.95 (+1.17)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 10000 57.24 (-0.45)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 18.54 (-1.69)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 149999 158.49 (-2.37)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 149999 5.02 (+1.31)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 149995 158.49 (-2.37)          Little America (LITAM) 1 0.14 (+0.02)          Little America (LITAM) 150000 0.14 (+0.02)          Train Dreams (TRDRM) 149999 0.12 (-0.01)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 149999 9.34 (-0.66)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 1 45.23 (-0.31)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out M (KNIV3) 15 1.45 (-0.02)          Emma Mackey (EMACK) 25000 59.71 (-0.16)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 135001 45.23 (-0.31)          Emma Mackey (EMACK) 25000 59.71 (-0.16)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Dog Years (DOGYS) 150000 1.60 (-0.40)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 9.34 (-0.66)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 1 49.69 (+0.49)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 135001 49.69 (+0.49)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 13.50 (-3.37)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 150000 4.19 (-0.37)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 18299 73.44 (-6.29)          Frontier Crucible (FCRUC) 150000 0.31 (+0.01)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 73.44 (-6.29)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 73.44 (-6.29)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 150000 5.02 (+1.31)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 21714 63.14 (-0.46)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 18.54 (-1.69)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 18.54 (-1.69)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 13.50 (-3.37)          Kill Bill: The Whole Bloody Affa (KBWBA) 150000 19.89 (-1.88)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 13.50 (-3.37)          Kill Bill: The Whole Bloody Affa (KBWBA) 1 19.89 (-1.88)          Merrily We Roll Along (MWRAL) 150000 4.26 (+0.41)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 73.44 (-6.29)          David (DAVID) 150000 76.54 (-0.14)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 73.44 (-6.29)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 150000 112.27 (+4.47)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)