HSX Forum

Movies

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm}

Posted by: dioneta on Jul 02, 15:24 in response to xiayun's post Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be...

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm} notfabio Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) {nm} Antibody Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy. BionicMoron, EAP leader Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm} xiayun Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW xiayun Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) dioneta Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm} xiayun Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though xiayun Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm} numbersix_99 Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm} ShawnMR Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm} baronblacksheep Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday. Roger More Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm} dioneta Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm} Roger More Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm} notfabio Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jul 03, 07:55





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Ice Age: Boiling Point aka Ice A (ICEA6) 5 88.66 (+0.25)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 60 36.30 (-0.03)          Werwulf (WERWU) 5 65.65 (-0.24)          The Angry Birds Movie 3 (ANGR3) 5 36.65 (0.00)          Dune: Part Three aka Dune: Messi (DUNE3) 5 221.81 (-0.15)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 10 149.84 (+1.56)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 5.36 (-0.32)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 5 149.84 (+1.56)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 5 529.45 (0.00)          Violent Night 2 (VILN2) 5 23.49 (-0.03)          Focker In-Law aka Meet the Paren (MPRN4) 6 95.15 (+0.43)          Hexed aka Untitled Walt Disney A (HEXED) 6 112.21 (+0.55)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 2500 120.84 (+1.42)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 5 161.77 (-0.15)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 5 62.31 (-0.09)          Archangel (ARCNG) 77 18.33 (-0.20)          The Legend of Aang: The Last Air (ATLA1) 55 34.44 (-0.23)          Remain aka Untitled Shyamalan Sp (REMAN) 5 59.33 (+0.06)          Whalefall (WHALF) 5 30.34 (-0.09)          The Social Reckoning aka The Soc (SOCI2) 5 60.85 (-0.05)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 4 25.86 (+0.16)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 5 25.86 (+0.16)          Verity (VERTY) 5 39.38 (-0.16)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 5 98.62 (+0.01)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 5 49.53 (-0.05)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 3 48.18 (-0.24)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 8 19.08 (+0.09)          Clayface (CLAYF) 3 83.10 (-0.50)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 3 41.12 (-0.25)          Insidious 6 (NSID6) 5 35.30 (+0.01)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 5 23.19 (+0.08)          Eternity (ETERN) 53000 11.57 (+0.44)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 25 36.15 (+0.01)          Flowervale Street (FLWVS) 5 48.82 (-0.04)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 75 23.96 (+1.18)          One Night Only (ONTON) 5 29.71 (+0.06)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 8 48.81 (-0.04)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 5 48.18 (-0.24)          Clayface (CLAYF) 5 83.10 (-0.50)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 5 41.12 (-0.25)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 5 420.00 (+0.80)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 6 38.56 (+0.03)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 5 281.02 (-0.94)          Cut Off (CUTOF) 5 38.25 (-0.14)          Moana (MOAN1) 5 208.80 (-0.68)          Shiver aka Beneath the Storm (BSTRM) 5 17.82 (+0.01)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 5 296.33 (-0.03)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 5 168.61 (+0.25)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 5 342.13 (+0.16)          Untitled Event Film Directed By (SKIES) 5 147.52 (-0.07)