HSX Forums: Movies Board






Thanks! So about a 165-170m weekend. {nm}

Posted by: Mattrek on May 03, 16:01 in response to whitewalls' post BTC 5PM Update IRMN3 174.1 Weekend, Fri 70.0, Sat 59.5,...

BTC 5PM Update IRMN3 174.1 Weekend, Fri 70.0, Sat 59.5, Sun 44.6 - Mat details inside   whitewalls on May 03, 15:51

Thanks! So about a 165-170m weekend. {nm}   Mattrek on May 03, 16:01

Could be lower if the trend vs AVNGR continues to drop from 83% (171) to 80% (165) to... {nm}   Antibody on May 03, 16:13

Possible, but 165/70 = a weak 2.36 multiple as it is. Avengers was 2.57. Croods is dwindling, IRNM3 has family appeal. {nm}   KalElFan on May 03, 16:22

It was 174/70 so it wouldn't still be 70 for 165. {nm}   Antibody on May 03, 16:25

BTC said Fri 70 and 174.1 OW, then Mattrek used a low of 165 and you said might be lower. IF it's a Fri 70, that'd be a low 2.36. {nm}   KalElFan on May 03, 16:37

See below. BO says 65ish for 165. {nm}   Antibody on May 03, 16:46

Yeah, if Fri is only 65 that'd definitely suggest a slowing compared to Avengers, and maybe even $160 as HSXers have IRNM3 at now. {nm}   KalElFan on May 03, 17:13

If you're suggesting BTC's Fri $70M is wrong, then yes we agree it could be lower. {nm}   KalElFan on May 03, 16:40

Well, BTC says 174.1, and using Avengers as a guide a Fri 70 suggests (70/80.81) x 207.44 = $179.69M. {nm}   KalElFan on May 03, 16:16

Those are 4 hrs old projections. Using the % of actual matinee box office is more acccurate IMO. {nm}   Antibody on May 03, 16:19

Maybe, but even if we had directly equivalent Avengers multiples there can be greater variability. IRNM3 could regain tonight. {nm}   KalElFan on May 03, 16:43





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Armie Hammer (AHAMM) 20000 13.90 (-11.92)         Eva Green (EGREE) 20000 61.73 (-0.89)         Eva Green (EGREE) 20000 61.73 (-0.89)         Alan Arkin (ALARK) 20000 47.72 (+0.33)         Tim Burton (TBURT) 2 63.56 (-12.87)         Untitled Christopher Nolan (UCNOL) 100000 137.15 (+2.97)         Dev Patel (DPATE) 20000 25.82 (+0.24)         Tim Burton (TBURT) 20000 63.56 (-12.87)         Armie Hammer (AHAMM) 19990 13.90 (-11.92)         Danny DeVito (DDEVI) 20000 37.40 (-3.97)         Snoop Dogg (SDOGG) 2 25.58 (+0.22)         Danny DeVito (DDEVI) 20000 37.40 (-3.97)         Armie Hammer (AHAMM) 20000 13.90 (-11.92)         Gemini Man (GEMAN) 100000 103.87 (+9.64)         Snoop Dogg (SDOGG) 20000 25.58 (+0.22)         Fast Color (FASTC) 100000 0.82 (+0.02)         Billy Magnussen (BMAGN) 20000 65.00 (0.00)         Colin Farrell (CFARR) 20000 31.54 (+9.41)         Colin Farrell (CFARR) 20000 31.54 (+9.41)         Ford vs. Ferrari (FOVFE) 1000 64.38 (-0.23)         Frankie (FRNKI) 100000 4.00 (0.00)         Alan Arkin (ALARK) 20000 47.72 (+0.33)         Be Natural: The Untold Story of (BNAGB) 100000 1.00 (0.00)         Alan Arkin (ALARK) 20000 47.72 (+0.33)         Space Jam 2 (SJAM2) 100 77.15 (+0.16)         Mia Wasikowska (MWASI) 19998 21.69 (+2.13)         Fast Color (FASTC) 100000 0.82 (+0.02)         Mads Mikkelsen (MMIKK) 19998 97.47 (+2.21)         A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 82 99.10 (+0.11)         Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & (FAFHS) 25000 171.97 (+0.82)         The Many Saints of Newark aka Th (TMSON) 500 48.69 (+0.22)         Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 20000 18.78 (-20.65)         Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 20000 18.78 (-20.65)         Fear Street (FEAR1) 100000 28.66 (-0.67)         Fear Street (FEAR1) 100000 28.66 (-0.67)         The Ballad of Richard Jewell (RJEWE) 100000 15.01 (+0.77)         The Ballad of Richard Jewell (RJEWE) 100000 15.01 (+0.77)         Wonder Woman 1984 (WOND2) 100 307.46 (+0.25)         Frankie (FRNKI) 100000 4.00 (0.00)         Frankie (FRNKI) 100000 4.00 (0.00)         Chaos Walking (CHAOW) 1 31.36 (-1.00)         Rise (RISE1) 100000 21.55 (+1.42)         Chaos Walking (CHAOW) 1 31.36 (-1.00)         Martin Lawrence (MLAWR) 20000 34.36 (-4.76)         Rise (RISE1) 100000 21.55 (+1.42)         The SpongeBob Movie: It's A Wond (SPBO3) 1000 54.99 (-0.06)         Monster Problems (MNSTP) 1 20.29 (+0.93)         Monster Problems (MNSTP) 1 20.29 (+0.93)         Martin Lawrence (MLAWR) 20000 34.36 (-4.76)         Avengers: Endgame H$260 Call (AVNG4.CA) 20000 6.67 (+0.75)