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BTC 5PM Update IRMN3 174.1 Weekend, Fri 70.0, Sat 59.5, Sun 44.6 - Mat details inside whitewalls May 03, 15:51

Thanks! So about a 165-170m weekend. {nm} Mattrek May 03, 16:01

Could be lower if the trend vs AVNGR continues to drop from 83% (171) to 80% (165) to... {nm} Antibody May 03, 16:13

Possible, but 165/70 = a weak 2.36 multiple as it is. Avengers was 2.57. Croods is dwindling, IRNM3 has family appeal. {nm} KalElFan May 03, 16:22

It was 174/70 so it wouldn't still be 70 for 165. {nm} Antibody May 03, 16:25

BTC said Fri 70 and 174.1 OW, then Mattrek used a low of 165 and you said might be lower. IF it's a Fri 70, that'd be a low 2.36. {nm} KalElFan May 03, 16:37

See below. BO says 65ish for 165. {nm} Antibody May 03, 16:46

Yeah, if Fri is only 65 that'd definitely suggest a slowing compared to Avengers, and maybe even $160 as HSXers have IRNM3 at now. {nm} KalElFan May 03, 17:13

If you're suggesting BTC's Fri $70M is wrong, then yes we agree it could be lower. {nm} KalElFan May 03, 16:40

Well, BTC says 174.1, and using Avengers as a guide a Fri 70 suggests (70/80.81) x 207.44 = $179.69M. {nm} KalElFan May 03, 16:16

Those are 4 hrs old projections. Using the % of actual matinee box office is more acccurate IMO. {nm} Antibody May 03, 16:19

Maybe, but even if we had directly equivalent Avengers multiples there can be greater variability. IRNM3 could regain tonight. {nm} KalElFan May 03, 16:43