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I use the simple method that states a weekends gross is equal to the following 7 days gross and then make adjustments for genre/audience

Posted by: Mist (a.k.a Shrike) on Dec 05, 18:24 in response to Vashta Nerada's post I'll stand by my BLSDS numbers, but I don't expect many...

By ERC numbers. Twilight this weekend is around 15m for a total of 155m, plus the 15 for total by next weekend at 170 delist then minus a million or 2 to represent some of the worst legs ever. For Blindside its a 21m weekend for 130 total. Adding the 21 is 151m total pus in this case i add a million or 2 on to represent some of the strongest legs ever and we get $153m delist. My grump with your numbers was that you did the exact opposite to that, you held the number for the front loaded twilight steady at 270 and yet for some reason subtracted $5m from the strong legged Blindside and that makes no sense. Twilight will have one of the lowest delist multis ever and Blindside one of the highest ever for a 3000+ screener so why go high on twilight and lowball blindside?

so DMac is moderating the projected delists hmm Dec 05, 12:38

I think the more impressive thingy to look at is that HSX is moderating the boards on a Saturday {nm} RazorHawk Dec 05, 12:54

are you saying that speculation on delists with logical math should also be banned? sneak Dec 05, 13:11

and to my point [BLDSD] runoff posted a while ago sneak Dec 05, 13:14

Hey I mentioned your post in the post above. Works for me you took a shot and put yourself out there. Vashta Nerada Dec 05, 17:34

and here on [TWLI2] sneak Dec 05, 13:20

good question hmm Dec 05, 15:03

I think the issue here is that the numbers given in the offending posts were clearly wrong and may have scared people who didnt want to Mist Dec 05, 15:23

I'll stand by my BLSDS numbers, but I don't expect many people were expecting the fall off a cliff of TWLI2 and all of my revisions where in Vashta Nerada Dec 05, 17:47

so all we need now is for D.Mac hmm Dec 05, 18:20

Showing your math. {nm} Antibody Dec 06, 11:07

I use the simple method that states a weekends gross is equal to the following 7 days gross and then make adjustments for genre/audience Mist Dec 05, 18:24

are there some typos you wish to correct in your message here in terms of numbers {nm} hmm Dec 05, 18:42

Yeah but you already auto corrected them on-the-fly didnt you? 155 and 170 = 255 and 270, there you go. {nm} Mist Dec 05, 18:46

Well duh! We got new numbers today. And they were worse then the numbers I was using. Everybody should adjust on the fly when there is new Vashta Nerada Dec 05, 20:07

But it some of those strongest legs where fueled by Holiday. Which isn't in effect now, but I probably should have bumped my hold Vashta Nerada Dec 05, 19:29

Out of curiosity, are there forum rules posted somewhere that I'm not seeing with regards to what can and can't be posted? {nm} NotASenator Dec 05, 13:43

yes {nm} mickpix Dec 05, 17:18





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The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Benicio Del Toro - One Battle af (A6RBDT) 25000 2.56 (+0.04)          The Riders (RIDER) 1076 33.37 (+0.10)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 7000 76.58 (-0.15)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 150000 4.05 (+0.84)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 114059 18.00 (0.00)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 150000 4.05 (+0.84)          Bugonia - Adapted Screenplay (A6EBUG) 19938 2.42 (-0.01)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 - Openi (STRN5.OW) 100000 5.85 (-0.12)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 12500 51.68 (+0.08)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 - Openi (STRN5.OW) 100000 5.85 (-0.12)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          The Rescue (RSCUE) 29000 23.09 (+0.04)          Miss Piggy (MSPIG) 6400 33.37 (+0.02)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 30000 32.20 (-0.08)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          The Rescue (RSCUE) 30980 23.09 (+0.04)          No Other Choice (THEAX) 150000 8.97 (-0.10)          No Other Choice (THEAX) 150000 8.97 (-0.10)          Crime 101 - Opening Weekend Fri- (CRIM1.OW) 100000 10.63 (+0.01)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 30000 24.38 (+0.07)          Crime 101 H$10 Put Fri-Mon (CRIM1.PU) 25000 2.62 (+0.04)          Crime 101 H$10 Put Fri-Mon (CRIM1.PU) 25000 2.62 (+0.04)          Crime 101 H$10 Call Fri-Mon (CRIM1.CA) 25000 1.74 (+0.03)          Crime 101 H$10 Call Fri-Mon (CRIM1.CA) 25000 1.74 (+0.03)          The Riders (RIDER) 57724 33.37 (+0.10)          The Housemaid $100M Blockbuster (HMAID.BW) 9 11.04 (+0.14)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 150000 3.65 (-0.72)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 1400 34.51 (+0.04)          Miss Piggy (MSPIG) 70000 33.37 (+0.02)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 150000 4.05 (+0.84)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 12500 59.00 (-0.07)          Shiver (SHVER) 10000 62.49 (+5.09)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 22500 162.57 (-0.05)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 5000 18.00 (0.00)          Miss Piggy (MSPIG) 11428 33.37 (+0.02)          Melania (MLNIA) 150000 12.95 (+1.90)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 7000 3.43 (-0.48)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 7500 37.11 (+0.03)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 150000 3.65 (-0.72)          Shiver (SHVER) 10000 62.49 (+5.09)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 10000 146.04 (+0.04)          GOAT - Opening Weekend Fri-Mon (TGOAT.OW) 100000 26.69 (+0.22)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 25000 18.00 (0.00)          All You Need Is Kill (AUNIK) 150000 1.98 (-0.03)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 12500 53.84 (-0.07)          Vampires of the Velvet Lounge (VOTVL) 5000 0.70 (-0.10)          Shiver (SHVER) 10000 62.49 (+5.09)          Snoop Dogg Biopic (SNOOP) 555 24.75 (+0.03)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)