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I notice the price has plateaued, basically flat for the past 4 months. I could see it slowly drop until the 1st trailer, or R1 release

Posted by: MattW on May 27, 16:44 in response to ~JPV~'s post Then short it.

But if Rogue One's opening might will pull down the price as well.  Being priced for a 220m opening over 19 months before release does seem quite high.

DL: XMEN6 90 (4day); ALCN2 40 (4day) {nm} Oleg Max May 27, 12:16

Link Oleg Max May 27, 12:18

X-Men looks to mint $29M-$30M today , while Alice looks to eat up $9M. {nm} Antibody May 27, 12:22

if those numbers hold accurate, Alice will be lucky to get to $100M doemstic. from $116M 3day to $40M 4day... wow {nm} lobogotti May 27, 12:41

O_O who ever said $116M 3-day for Alice?? Estimates were $55-60M. I think you may be thinking of Alice 1 instead of Alice 2. {nm} chosenone2oo5 May 27, 12:44

yes, this is quite possibly the worst receievd sequel of all time. I was referring to the first making $116M OW in 3 days, versus this one lobogotti May 27, 12:46

Each sequel get worst. Stars wars 8 and 9 overprice will be greatest hsx crash {nm} mike255 May 27, 13:20

Source? {nm} Bleachigo May 27, 13:22

His imagination {nm} warcraft86 May 27, 13:23

Not just. The anticipation of 23 years over 2 (or 1) years turnaround since the last time we saw a Star Wars movie? Won't make as much. {nm} chosenone2oo5 May 27, 13:40

"greatest hsx crash" {nm} RogerMore May 27, 14:05

To say that, however, might be hyperbolic. Its price right now is reasonable. The crash would only come if marketing couldn't deliver. {nm} chosenone2oo5 May 27, 14:10

Not to mention if "Rogue One" backlash tarnishes the brand name as a whole (which is what I've been saying for years). {nm} chosenone2oo5 May 27, 14:22

Stars wars 8 is going have a {nm} mike255 May 27, 13:30

Stars wars 8 going have a hard time beating stars wars 7 record? {nm} mike255 May 27, 13:31

I find your lack of faith disturbing. {nm} talbanese May 27, 13:35

I doubt it comes within 10% of SW7's record. That was a pent up demand 15+ years in the making. JoeMetz May 27, 13:37

+1, it won't have the build-up those other films benefitted from. I said that above on the thread, but I was 3 mins. late. {nm} chosenone2oo5 May 27, 13:42

I'm right there with you, 10% drop or more for the opening, and instead of 3.77X mutliplier probably low 3's MattW May 27, 14:26

except STAR7 ended on a cliffhanger and people have been speculating about this that and the other thing...they'll want answers on OW {nm} tealfan May 27, 14:58

or...maybe it's just me =P {nm} tealfan May 27, 14:59

If people feel the questions are worth the answer. Some people already don't. {nm} chosenone2oo5 May 27, 15:17

most do {nm} CG63 May 27, 19:02

Stars wars 8 price 598. It's overprice. {nm} mike255 May 27, 15:06

Then short it. {nm} ~JPV~ May 27, 15:14

I notice the price has plateaued, basically flat for the past 4 months. I could see it slowly drop until the 1st trailer, or R1 release MattW May 27, 16:44

+1, in thread above {nm} chosenone2oo5 May 27, 19:28

I was more thinking if Rogue One opens low/high that could influence the price. You're right though R1 could hurt brand in a few diff ways {nm} MattW May 27, 21:43





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Forgotten Island H$20 Call (FRGIS.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Forgotten Island - Opening Weeke (FRGIS.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          Forgotten Island H$20 Call (FRGIS.CA) 1 2.00 (0.00)          Heart of the Beast - Opening Wee (HOTBS.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          Heart of the Beast H$15 Call (HOTBS.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Forgotten Island H$20 Put (FRGIS.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Forgotten Island - Opening Weeke (FRGIS.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          Avengers: Endgame Encore - Openi (AVN4E.OW) 1 35.00 (0.00)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 150000 62.19 (+2.71)          Kit Connor (KICON) 25000 54.00 (0.00)          King Conan (CONA2) 150000 50.31 (-5.04)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 99999 45.84 (-1.88)          Runner (RUNNR) 150000 12.74 (-1.48)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 25000 16.13 (-14.64)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 25000 16.13 (-14.64)          Primetime - Opening Weekend (PRMTM.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Runner (RUNNR) 149999 12.74 (-1.48)          OASIS: Don't Look Back in A (OASIS) 150000 11.46 (-0.72)          Christian Convery (CCONV) 25000 44.35 (-1.11)          Christian Convery (CCONV) 25000 44.35 (-1.11)          Primetime H$10 Put (PRMTM.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Primetime H$10 Call (PRMTM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Primetime - Opening Weekend (PRMTM.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Heart of the Beast H$15 Put (HOTBS.PU) 1 2.00 (0.00)          Heart of the Beast - Opening Wee (HOTBS.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          Heart of the Beast H$15 Put (HOTBS.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Heart of the Beast H$15 Call (HOTBS.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Heart of the Beast H$15 Call (HOTBS.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Heart of the Beast - Opening Wee (HOTBS.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          Avengers: Endgame Encore - Openi (AVN4E.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          Primetime H$10 Call (PRMTM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Primetime - Opening Weekend (PRMTM.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Avengers: Endgame Encore - Openi (AVN4E.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          Heart of the Beast H$15 Call (HOTBS.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Kit Connor (KICON) 25000 54.00 (0.00)          Avengers: Endgame Encore - Openi (AVN4E.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          Heart of the Beast - Opening Wee (HOTBS.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          Forgotten Island H$20 Call (FRGIS.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Forgotten Island H$20 Put (FRGIS.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Forgotten Island H$20 Put (FRGIS.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Kit Connor (KICON) 25000 54.00 (0.00)          Avengers: Endgame Encore - Openi (AVN4E.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          Primetime H$10 Call (PRMTM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Forgotten Island - Opening Weeke (FRGIS.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          Kit Connor (KICON) 25000 54.00 (0.00)          Forgotten Island - Opening Weeke (FRGIS.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          Avengers: Endgame Encore - Openi (AVN4E.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          Avengers: Endgame Encore - Openi (AVN4E.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          Kit Connor (KICON) 25000 54.00 (0.00)          Kit Connor (KICON) 25000 54.00 (0.00)