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The real question is going to be the adjust numbers, how will it preform? Like a Cinemascore B+, frontloaded action, typical MMCCA?

Posted by: Baron_Darcon on Jul 17, 13:02 in response to chosenone2oo5's post Speaking of franchises getting set back--also looks...

I think it'll set a new floor for MMCCA movies after adjust.  Giving the packed movie schedule and likely frontloadedness of the BO.

Taking into accound the large disparity between crtics and users. Male and female reviews and opinions.  

Could it be as bad as BvS which only had a 1.87 at time of delist.  That had bad word of mouth, very frontloaded, action movie.   If so that's be only 87 million

This weeks daily will be telling..  Next weeks should be worst then should fall off.

I'd say it's guaranteed to have a second weekend drop of over 60%,  probably 65% or higher.

 

Ghostbusters - 46 mill {nm} RazorHawk Jul 17, 08:32

Yeah sure thing Sony. ::eagerly awaits seeing the 43 million actual number on Monday:: {nm} Hersheybar Jul 17, 08:57

Why do you think it will have a 40% Saturday to Sunday drop? shadowking Jul 17, 09:03

Front loaded female audience, inaccurate overall weekend estimates, media fluffing to soften the blow to the female stars, etc. {nm} chosenone2oo5 Jul 17, 09:53

Good luck with that {nm} shadowking Jul 17, 09:54

Do you remember "Transformers: Age of Extinction" had its Opening Weekend numbers bumped up because Paramount was embarrassed of <$100M? {nm} chosenone2oo5 Jul 17, 09:59

Nope, wasn't paying attention to box office at the time. A Google seach turns up nothing on the matter - care to provide a link? shadowking Jul 17, 10:08

Here ya go buddy. chosenone2oo5 Jul 17, 10:15

I was not expecting a link to a legit source, so thanks for that shadowking Jul 17, 10:29

Like I said before--not only is Sony probably going to lose out on even worldwide gross, but there's profitable engines (Feig, etc.) at risk chosenone2oo5 Jul 17, 10:44

Where it will really lose out is if it can't release in China, where Warcraft and Pacific Rim made up a lot of their domestic losses {nm} FranklynStreet Jul 17, 13:08

This news has already been posted on the Forum. It HAS BEEN denied release in China. Link inside. chosenone2oo5 Jul 17, 17:20

performed below expectations all wknd. 19m Friday became 17m, 18m Sat became 16m, 50+m became "46M" {nm} Fitch3k Jul 17, 11:55

From Thursday night estimates to this morning, "Ghostbusters (2016)" literally dropped $10M. Read the forums here for all that jazz. {nm} chosenone2oo5 Jul 17, 11:59

+1 {nm} chosenone2oo5 Jul 17, 09:52

+1 {nm} Fitch3k Jul 17, 11:54

With "Pets" strong and "Star Trek," and "Ice Age" opening. "Ghost" will far to 4th (Maybe 5th) next weekend... Ouch. {nm} VictorY Jul 17, 09:16

"Suicide Squad" will kill it too--women will abandon "Ghostbusters (2016)" for Harley Quinn, not to mention supporting her supervillainesses {nm} chosenone2oo5 Jul 17, 10:17

First older women will abandon it for Bad Moms in 2 weeks, teen girls and twenty something for Nerve. It's legs will be stumpy. Baron_Darcon Jul 17, 10:33

I FORGOT "Bad Moms!" That rips McCarthy & Wiigs's audience right out from under 'em! Wow! "Nerve" is still uncertain as to how high it'll go {nm} chosenone2oo5 Jul 17, 10:38

How could you forget Bad Moms - that's the best comedy trailer of the summer?:) TwoMisfits Jul 17, 10:50

Actually, Jon Lucas and Scott Moore are excellent writers--but this is only the 2nd time they've directed their material (since 21OVR, meh). chosenone2oo5 Jul 17, 11:23

Sidenote: I think it qualifies a flop since it set the franchise back a step--opened at 27.7% less than "Ghostbusters II" inflation-adjusted {nm} chosenone2oo5 Jul 17, 11:41

Speaking of franchises getting set back--also looks unlikely "Independence Day: Resurgence" will make a profit, thus unlikely for a sequel. {nm} chosenone2oo5 Jul 17, 11:56

The real question is going to be the adjust numbers, how will it preform? Like a Cinemascore B+, frontloaded action, typical MMCCA? Baron_Darcon Jul 17, 13:02

+1 on MMCCA taking a hit. "Bad Moms" is in DIRECT contention, as it's the exact same demographic that usually goes to her movies. {nm} chosenone2oo5 Jul 17, 17:23





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