HSX Forum

Movies

I really suspect that Las Vegas shooting may hurt the film's box office potential; now isn't a good time to release a R-rated violence film {nm}

Posted by: Peterlee (a.k.a Peterlee (from past)) on Oct 07, 08:48 in response to tomcat90's post It's getting worse...THR: Blade Runner 2049 Crashing With...

It's getting worse...THR: Blade Runner 2049 Crashing With $30M-$35M Debut tomcat90 Oct 07, 08:42

I really suspect that Las Vegas shooting may hurt the film's box office potential; now isn't a good time to release a R-rated violence film Peterlee Oct 07, 08:48

nah. it's just overlong and boring {nm} slipping jimmy Oct 07, 08:49

A- CinemaScore and overall 83% positive PostTrak audience score indicate that most audience who watched the film are satisfied {nm} Peterlee Oct 07, 08:55

That doesn't help if not enough people want to watch the film in the first place. {nm} warcraft86 Oct 07, 09:10

yes. ( I think MGM is smart to move "Death Wish" to 2018) {nm} Peterlee Oct 07, 09:11

So that potential goes back to the first point of the Vegas shooting spoiling appetites for a movie like Blade Runner 2049. {nm} Jay_Beezy Oct 07, 09:22

there's no logical connection between the two things {nm} slipping jimmy Oct 07, 09:25

But the shooting didn't seem to impact the Thurs preview number, which was in-line with PRME2, a similarly violent, R-rated, sci-fi sequel {nm} warcraft86 Oct 07, 09:28

Core fan bases aren't deterred by much (if anything). Casual audiences are, and casual audiences drive Fri-Sat-Sun more than Thurs shows. {nm} ShawnMR Oct 07, 15:53

IMO casual audiences were more referred by having to do homework (watch the original movie) than anything in the real world {nm} RogerMore Oct 07, 20:17

nope, most moviegoers don't care about a 35 year old box office flop {nm} jamesbik333 Oct 07, 09:07

of course they do. Blade Runner is the most influential sci-fi movie post-Star Wars. {nm} slipping jimmy Oct 07, 09:31

They really don't. {nm} CSBD Oct 07, 09:33

Nope, the original was terrible and boring just like 2049 is boring and terrible. {nm} skunkrunner Oct 07, 10:25

So, I guess you saw them both. Well, I dont understand, why you went to 2049 if you think, the original was terrible and boring. sphere Oct 08, 05:41

It's the only explanation that makes sense at this point. There were barely any indications this would open below $35-40M -- at the floor. {nm} ShawnMR Oct 07, 15:43

Closest comparison for precedent here would be the effect of Aurora on the box office when TDKR opened. Not on the same level $$-wise for BR ShawnMR Oct 07, 15:49

Wouldn't the effect of the shooting have shown up in the pre-sales and "social buzz" metrics? {nm} warcraft86 Oct 07, 17:08

Not necessarily, but maybe (great non-answer answer, I know). Presales are geared toward fans to begin with, while social buzz is usually ShawnMR Oct 07, 17:26

Thanks for elevating the discussion with your insights today. {nm} Qix Oct 07, 17:46

alternative explanation: it's just not very good (or at least not appealing enough to mainstream audiences, especially at a 2:45 hr runtime) {nm} slipping jimmy Oct 07, 18:32

even mike255 couldn't make this argument and keep a straight face {nm} slipping jimmy Oct 07, 17:45

Mike who? {nm} fricnfractal Oct 07, 23:14

The demographics explain it all.This connected to a specific group of filmgoers. I would question the forecasts before blaming Vegas. {nm} leo21 Oct 08, 13:27

Antifa and the news cycle has everybody staying away from "Soft Targets" from theaters to churches to parades. {nm} arf Oct 07, 21:13

Very pleased to see this, audiences not being fooled by pretentious, boring BS. {nm} skunkrunner Oct 07, 10:26





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 150000 21.94 (-0.12)          Dreams (DREMS) 100000 4.99 (-0.03)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 13.84 (+0.85)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 13.84 (+0.85)          Fall 2 (FALL2) 150000 6.78 (-0.05)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 20000 10.41 (+0.41)          Jay Baruchel (JBARU) 25000 75.96 (-0.25)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 55555 10.41 (+0.41)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 100000 64.39 (+0.35)          Aang: The Last Airbender (ATLA1) 20000 43.42 (-0.37)          Aang: The Last Airbender (ATLA1) 100000 43.42 (-0.37)          Apartment 7A (APT7A) 150000 7.03 (-0.14)          Humane (HUMNE) 150000 0.66 (-0.02)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 10000 10.41 (+0.41)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 55000 33.26 (+0.12)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 1000 64.39 (+0.35)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 33.26 (+0.12)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 150000 8.72 (+0.01)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 10000 21.94 (-0.12)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 150000 21.94 (-0.12)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 36857 64.39 (+0.35)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 19999 117.19 (+0.37)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 1 10.41 (+0.41)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 10000 64.39 (+0.35)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 10000 10.41 (+0.41)          Challengers (CHALN) 40000 39.10 (-0.17)          Challengers (CHALN) 15000 39.10 (-0.17)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 60000 54.84 (+0.06)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 13.84 (+0.85)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 25000 117.19 (+0.37)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 13.84 (+0.85)          Jak and Daxter (JADAX) 150000 13.05 (+0.78)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 20000 117.19 (+0.37)          Jak and Daxter (JADAX) 150000 13.05 (+0.78)          The Crow (TCROW) 50000 23.37 (-0.06)          The Crow (TCROW) 20000 23.37 (-0.06)          Challengers (CHALN) 20000 39.10 (-0.17)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 1477 45.58 (0.00)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 25000 117.19 (+0.37)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 15000 117.19 (+0.37)          Challengers (CHALN) 9000 39.10 (-0.17)          Challengers (CHALN) 25000 39.10 (-0.17)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 20000 10.41 (+0.41)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 0.73 (-0.02)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 10.41 (+0.41)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 5.61 (-0.05)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 64.39 (+0.35)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 64.39 (+0.35)          Apartment 7A (APT7A) 150000 7.03 (-0.14)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 99800 10.41 (+0.41)