HSX Forum

Movies

There was no "old 2.0 5-day adjust"...

Posted by: RazorHawk on Aug 16, 12:15 in response to tomcat90's post If that 5-day forecast holds up, it's trade above a 3.1...

Movies that opened midweek were adjusted:

previous + (Fri - Sun x 2.7)

Ā 

Thanksgiving Weekend was the only exception, which adjusted:

2.0 x (Weds - Sun)

** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! ** hefevista Aug 16, 12:03

11 Threads Down {nm} RollingThunder Aug 16, 12:04

If that 5-day forecast holds up, it's trade above a 3.1 multiple for the 5 days. That's pretty "rich" compared to the old 2.0 5-day adjust {nm} tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:08

Can you post the math? I have never understood how multipliers work. {nm} Wilderness_Journey Aug 16, 12:14

Sure, it's pretty simple. Just take the current price of $78.05 and divide by the 5-day total of $25m (which is just a guess by D). But as tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:27

Thanks! {nm} Wilderness_Journey Aug 16, 12:28

Sounds like WOM could be excellent, but it does presume it will attract additional audiences. Many WOM giants never gain that traction. {nm} RollingThunder Aug 16, 12:14

There was no "old 2.0 5-day adjust"... RazorHawk Aug 16, 12:15

This, Wed and Thu are holidays. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:17

or rather Thu and Fri of Thanksgiving are holidays, not so this week. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:18

Ah, that's true. I forgot it was just Thanksgiving that did that. Thank you sir. If the 5-day is only $23m-$25m though, it would still not tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:20

Adjust does not = delist. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:21

I know. I was just pointing out that the legs being priced in seem pretty aggressive. It all subjective at this point until the data is out {nm} tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:29

Or your assumption of $15M is too low. Thu is usually lower than Wed. V says $19M. Antibody Aug 16, 12:36

If V is correct about $19m for FSS, and they are only calling for "$25m+" for 5-day, and Wed was $5m, that only leaves $1m for Thurs haha. {nm} tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:40

$25+ include $26, 27, 28, 29...etc. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:41

Well I was certainly basing my math off of Deadline's "$23m-$25m' Projection. But since you seem to want to tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:46

The point is you're using forecast/projection based on Wed. Wait until we get Friday box office. Antibody Aug 16, 13:03





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


The End We Start From (TEWSF) 1999 0.50 (-0.01)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 16645 157.08 (+3.25)          Ian McShane (IMCSH) 25000 115.26 (+0.33)          Queen Rock Montreal (QROCM) 1495 2.32 (0.00)          Civil War H$20 Put (CVLWR.PU) 24999 2.10 (-0.13)          DeWanda Wise (DWISE) 25000 89.99 (+0.75)          Look Who's Talking (LWTLK) 50000 4.83 (+0.05)          The Settlers (TSTLR) 1000 0.09 (0.00)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 21.74 (+2.04)          Driving Madeleine (DRVMD) 906 0.53 (0.00)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.OW) 75000 60.81 (+2.46)          Tank Girl (TANKG) 30000 13.76 (+0.47)          Cleopatra (CLEOP) 150000 60.10 (+0.48)          Driving Madeleine (DRVMD) 194 0.53 (0.00)          Dustin Hoffman (DHOFF) 25000 99.80 (+0.50)          Tank Girl (TANKG) 70000 13.76 (+0.47)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 21.74 (+2.04)          The American Society of Magical (ASOMN) 100000 3.62 (+0.07)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 21.74 (+2.04)          Civil War H$20 Put (CVLWR.PU) 25000 2.10 (-0.13)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 150000 111.27 (-0.55)          Civil War H$20 Put (CVLWR.PU) 25000 2.10 (-0.13)          Jack Black (JBLAC) 25000 145.53 (-0.33)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 21.74 (+2.04)          The Conjuring: Last Rites (CNJU4) 150000 41.23 (-0.11)          I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 150000 62.48 (-0.05)          The Accountant 2 (ACTN2) 5 23.83 (-0.03)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 150000 46.45 (-0.05)          Cleopatra (CLEOP) 150000 60.10 (+0.48)          The American Society of Magical (ASOMN) 150000 3.62 (+0.07)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 150000 45.34 (+0.86)          A Simple Favor 2 (ASFA2) 1 18.53 (+1.82)          Winnie-the-Pooh: Blood and Honey (WTPB2) 100000 1.91 (-0.16)          The American Society of Magical (ASOMN) 150000 3.62 (+0.07)          Snack Shack (SNACK) 150000 0.77 (+0.02)          Here (HERE1) 499 44.23 (+0.45)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 19.51 (-0.49)          A Simple Favor 2 (ASFA2) 150000 18.53 (+1.82)          Immaculate (IMACU) 50000 13.95 (-0.14)          Civil War H$20 Put (CVLWR.PU) 25000 2.10 (-0.13)          The Room Next Door (TRND) 150000 5.67 (+0.03)          Novocaine (NOVCN) 150000 23.58 (+0.04)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 19.51 (-0.49)          Immaculate (IMACU) 150000 13.95 (-0.14)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.PU) 25000 1.69 (-0.69)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.PU) 25000 1.69 (-0.69)          Save the Green Planet (STGPL) 150000 19.19 (-0.27)          Immaculate (IMACU) 150000 13.95 (-0.14)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.CA) 25000 3.40 (+0.53)          City on Fire (CTOFR) 150000 23.07 (+0.05)