HSX Forum

Movies

Ah, that's true. I forgot it was just Thanksgiving that did that. Thank you sir. If the 5-day is only $23m-$25m though, it would still not

Posted by: tomcat90 on Aug 16, 12:20 in response to RazorHawk's post There was no "old 2.0 5-day adjust"...

adjust near $78 though. If Wed is $5m, and we assume that Thurs is the same, that would only leave $15m for FSS (although that sounds low to me). So under the old adjust formula, $15m*2.7=$40.5 + $10m is $50.5  Certainly nowhere near $78m

** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! ** hefevista Aug 16, 12:03

11 Threads Down {nm} RollingThunder Aug 16, 12:04

If that 5-day forecast holds up, it's trade above a 3.1 multiple for the 5 days. That's pretty "rich" compared to the old 2.0 5-day adjust {nm} tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:08

Can you post the math? I have never understood how multipliers work. {nm} Wilderness_Journey Aug 16, 12:14

Sure, it's pretty simple. Just take the current price of $78.05 and divide by the 5-day total of $25m (which is just a guess by D). But as tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:27

Thanks! {nm} Wilderness_Journey Aug 16, 12:28

Sounds like WOM could be excellent, but it does presume it will attract additional audiences. Many WOM giants never gain that traction. {nm} RollingThunder Aug 16, 12:14

There was no "old 2.0 5-day adjust"... RazorHawk Aug 16, 12:15

This, Wed and Thu are holidays. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:17

or rather Thu and Fri of Thanksgiving are holidays, not so this week. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:18

Ah, that's true. I forgot it was just Thanksgiving that did that. Thank you sir. If the 5-day is only $23m-$25m though, it would still not tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:20

Adjust does not = delist. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:21

I know. I was just pointing out that the legs being priced in seem pretty aggressive. It all subjective at this point until the data is out {nm} tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:29

Or your assumption of $15M is too low. Thu is usually lower than Wed. V says $19M. Antibody Aug 16, 12:36

If V is correct about $19m for FSS, and they are only calling for "$25m+" for 5-day, and Wed was $5m, that only leaves $1m for Thurs haha. {nm} tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:40

$25+ include $26, 27, 28, 29...etc. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:41

Well I was certainly basing my math off of Deadline's "$23m-$25m' Projection. But since you seem to want to tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:46

The point is you're using forecast/projection based on Wed. Wait until we get Friday box office. Antibody Aug 16, 13:03





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Assisted Living (ASLIV) 6997 0.03 (0.00)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 19.68 (+0.06)          Triplets (TRPLT) 899 0.02 (+0.01)          The Great Emu War (GEMUW) 3492 0.02 (0.00)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 19.66 (-0.57)          Bad Blood (BDBLD) 797 0.02 (0.00)          Happy Death Day To Us (HDTH3) 150000 11.89 (0.00)          Attack the Block 2 (ATBL2) 299 0.02 (0.00)          The Astronaut (ASTRN) 3000 0.02 (0.00)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 19.66 (-0.57)          Happy Death Day To Us (HDTH3) 150000 11.89 (0.00)          Hey Joe (TUMIA) 10292 0.01 (0.00)          Hey Joe (TUMIA) 507 0.01 (0.00)          Happy Death Day To Us (HDTH3) 150000 11.89 (0.00)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 2.55 (+0.66)          The Fence (TFENC) 1995 0.01 (-0.01)          Claire Foy (CFOY) 8 14.82 (-0.10)          Happy Death Day To Us (HDTH3) 150000 11.89 (0.00)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 19.66 (-0.57)          Headhunters (HDHUN) 135 12.54 (0.00)          The Garfield Movie 2 (GRFL2) 300 29.91 (-0.03)          Semplica Girl Diaries (SEMGD) 150 3.76 (+0.01)          The Garfield Movie 2 (GRFL2) 300 29.91 (-0.03)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 15 1.00 (+0.01)          Kent State (KENTS) 8 1.97 (+0.01)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 1 17.26 (-0.81)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 19.66 (-0.57)          The Familiars (FAMIL) 210 9.99 (0.00)          Night Has Fallen (HFAL4) 5 2.17 (-0.01)          Night Has Fallen (HFAL4) 5 2.17 (-0.01)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 5 24.07 (-0.10)          Latchkey Kids (LTCHK) 9993 0.01 (-0.02)          Passenger (PSNGR) 145 14.18 (-0.02)          Latchkey Kids (LTCHK) 506 0.01 (-0.02)          The Kingsman 3 (KTSS4) 450 4.02 (-0.01)          Cold Pursuit 2 (CLDP2) 17 0.69 (-0.01)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 115 19.18 (-0.10)          Losing Clementine (LCLEM) 7398 0.01 (0.00)          Dark Slides aka Polaris (POLRS) 2000 0.06 (-0.01)          A Place Like Hell (APHEL) 150000 5.85 (-0.07)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 4 39.87 (-0.03)          Losing Clementine (LCLEM) 505 0.01 (0.00)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 5 105.30 (+0.33)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 4 14.07 (-0.02)          In the Grey (NGREY) 150000 15.67 (+1.06)          Reptilia (REPTI) 230 7.17 (-0.01)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 22.92 (+0.14)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 114797 110.31 (+2.51)          Fairyland (FARYL) 56 0.01 (0.00)          The Legend of Aang: The Last Air (ATLA1) 50 34.48 (-0.19)