HSX Forum

Movies

Ah, that's true. I forgot it was just Thanksgiving that did that. Thank you sir. If the 5-day is only $23m-$25m though, it would still not

Posted by: tomcat90 on Aug 16, 12:20 in response to RazorHawk's post There was no "old 2.0 5-day adjust"...

adjust near $78 though. If Wed is $5m, and we assume that Thurs is the same, that would only leave $15m for FSS (although that sounds low to me). So under the old adjust formula, $15m*2.7=$40.5 + $10m is $50.5  Certainly nowhere near $78m

** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! ** hefevista Aug 16, 12:03

11 Threads Down {nm} RollingThunder Aug 16, 12:04

If that 5-day forecast holds up, it's trade above a 3.1 multiple for the 5 days. That's pretty "rich" compared to the old 2.0 5-day adjust {nm} tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:08

Can you post the math? I have never understood how multipliers work. {nm} Wilderness_Journey Aug 16, 12:14

Sure, it's pretty simple. Just take the current price of $78.05 and divide by the 5-day total of $25m (which is just a guess by D). But as tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:27

Thanks! {nm} Wilderness_Journey Aug 16, 12:28

Sounds like WOM could be excellent, but it does presume it will attract additional audiences. Many WOM giants never gain that traction. {nm} RollingThunder Aug 16, 12:14

There was no "old 2.0 5-day adjust"... RazorHawk Aug 16, 12:15

This, Wed and Thu are holidays. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:17

or rather Thu and Fri of Thanksgiving are holidays, not so this week. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:18

Ah, that's true. I forgot it was just Thanksgiving that did that. Thank you sir. If the 5-day is only $23m-$25m though, it would still not tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:20

Adjust does not = delist. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:21

I know. I was just pointing out that the legs being priced in seem pretty aggressive. It all subjective at this point until the data is out {nm} tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:29

Or your assumption of $15M is too low. Thu is usually lower than Wed. V says $19M. Antibody Aug 16, 12:36

If V is correct about $19m for FSS, and they are only calling for "$25m+" for 5-day, and Wed was $5m, that only leaves $1m for Thurs haha. {nm} tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:40

$25+ include $26, 27, 28, 29...etc. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:41

Well I was certainly basing my math off of Deadline's "$23m-$25m' Projection. But since you seem to want to tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:46

The point is you're using forecast/projection based on Wed. Wait until we get Friday box office. Antibody Aug 16, 13:03





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Merlin (MERLN) 150000 0.09 (+0.02)          Clayface (CLAYF) 5000 71.98 (-0.37)          Michael Stuhlbarg (MSTUH) 25000 54.75 (0.00)          Dog Stars (DOGST) 5000 63.22 (+0.21)          Sandra Huller (SHULL) 25000 12.20 (+0.20)          Sandra Huller (SHULL) 25000 12.20 (+0.20)          Deeper (DEPER) 37500 36.75 (-0.09)          They Will Kill You (TWKYU) 30000 24.36 (-0.03)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 20000 177.03 (+2.14)          Shiver (SHVER) 150000 64.31 (+6.91)          The Secret Agent (TSAGN) 150000 3.51 (+0.15)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 120000 24.32 (+0.01)          Dracula (DRALT) 21616 4.06 (+0.27)          The Gauntlet (GNTLT) 37500 39.21 (-0.03)          Shelter (SELTR) 100000 13.27 (+0.47)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 177.03 (+2.14)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 10000 191.56 (+1.16)          Will Smith (WSMIT) 500 101.17 (+1.01)          Michael (MJACK) 150000 170.08 (+5.41)          Shiver (SHVER) 150000 64.31 (+6.91)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 630 362.14 (-0.19)          Shiver (SHVER) 5000 64.31 (+6.91)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 31000 44.61 (-0.29)          The Voice Of Hind Rajab (TVOHR) 100000 0.43 (+0.08)          The Shitheads (SHTHD) 69189 5.47 (+0.02)          Melania (MLNIA) 100 14.88 (+3.83)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 100 5.02 (+1.81)          Miss Piggy (MSPIG) 90000 33.38 (+0.03)          A Magnificent Life (MLOMP) 1 1.02 (+0.03)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 1 3.46 (-0.45)          Highlander (HIGHL) 37500 36.27 (-0.25)          The Shitheads (SHTHD) 80811 5.47 (+0.02)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 2014 162.64 (+0.25)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 17.08 (-0.92)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 20000 181.03 (-0.78)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 1804 162.64 (+0.25)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 37500 36.83 (-0.06)          Magic: The Gathering (MGCTG) 37500 36.00 (-0.08)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 37500 37.30 (+0.04)          District 10 (DIS10) 9199 16.24 (-0.01)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 67934 30.87 (+0.23)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 50 162.88 (+0.53)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 4 29.37 (+0.03)          Harold & Kumar 4 (HAKU4) 150000 20.52 (-0.09)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 5 350.09 (+0.28)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 5 113.15 (+0.44)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 4 97.06 (+0.19)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 12 120.11 (+1.01)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 6 169.25 (-0.87)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 5 311.71 (+1.19)