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Well I was certainly basing my math off of Deadline's "$23m-$25m' Projection. But since you seem to want to

Posted by: tomcat90 on Aug 16, 12:46 in response to Antibody's post $25+ include $26, 27, 28, 29...etc.

argue for the sake of argument haha, even if we went with $19m FSS and an aggressive $30m for the 5-day, the old adjust would still only be $62.3m. So $78m is pricing in some aggressive legs, which was my original point. I'm off to the pool! Ā :)

** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! ** hefevista Aug 16, 12:03

11 Threads Down {nm} RollingThunder Aug 16, 12:04

If that 5-day forecast holds up, it's trade above a 3.1 multiple for the 5 days. That's pretty "rich" compared to the old 2.0 5-day adjust {nm} tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:08

Can you post the math? I have never understood how multipliers work. {nm} Wilderness_Journey Aug 16, 12:14

Sure, it's pretty simple. Just take the current price of $78.05 and divide by the 5-day total of $25m (which is just a guess by D). But as tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:27

Thanks! {nm} Wilderness_Journey Aug 16, 12:28

Sounds like WOM could be excellent, but it does presume it will attract additional audiences. Many WOM giants never gain that traction. {nm} RollingThunder Aug 16, 12:14

There was no "old 2.0 5-day adjust"... RazorHawk Aug 16, 12:15

This, Wed and Thu are holidays. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:17

or rather Thu and Fri of Thanksgiving are holidays, not so this week. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:18

Ah, that's true. I forgot it was just Thanksgiving that did that. Thank you sir. If the 5-day is only $23m-$25m though, it would still not tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:20

Adjust does not = delist. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:21

I know. I was just pointing out that the legs being priced in seem pretty aggressive. It all subjective at this point until the data is out {nm} tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:29

Or your assumption of $15M is too low. Thu is usually lower than Wed. V says $19M. Antibody Aug 16, 12:36

If V is correct about $19m for FSS, and they are only calling for "$25m+" for 5-day, and Wed was $5m, that only leaves $1m for Thurs haha. {nm} tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:40

$25+ include $26, 27, 28, 29...etc. {nm} Antibody Aug 16, 12:41

Well I was certainly basing my math off of Deadline's "$23m-$25m' Projection. But since you seem to want to tomcat90 Aug 16, 12:46

The point is you're using forecast/projection based on Wed. Wait until we get Friday box office. Antibody Aug 16, 13:03





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Once Upon a Time in Harlem (OUATH) 150000 0.88 (+0.11)          Night Nurse (NTNRS) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 22.95 (-0.46)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 22.95 (-0.46)          Jo Koy (JKOY) 25000 25.00 (0.00)          Night Nurse (NTNRS) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 30000 138.19 (-2.07)          Jo Koy (JKOY) 25000 25.00 (0.00)          Disclosure Day H$45 Call (SKIES.CA) 25000 5.40 (-0.29)          Disclosure Day H$45 Call (SKIES.CA) 25000 5.40 (-0.29)          Night Nurse (NTNRS) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Once Upon a Time in Harlem (OUATH) 149999 0.88 (+0.11)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 150000 7.82 (-0.09)          Once Upon a Time in Harlem (OUATH) 150000 0.88 (+0.11)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 50000 48.81 (-2.46)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 50000 48.81 (-2.46)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 50000 48.81 (-2.46)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 50000 48.81 (-2.46)          Night Nurse (NTNRS) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 99999 79.81 (+2.32)          Night Nurse (NTNRS) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Night Nurse (NTNRS) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Night Nurse (NTNRS) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Night Nurse (NTNRS) 100000 1.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 79.81 (+2.32)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 150000 530.14 (+1.24)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 138.19 (-2.07)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 138.19 (-2.07)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 200 106.22 (+0.44)          Night Nurse (NTNRS) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 100 390.83 (+1.55)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 177 48.81 (-2.46)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 100000 48.81 (-2.46)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 100000 48.81 (-2.46)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 37500 28.19 (+3.19)          Death of a Salesman (DOASM) 973 8.14 (+0.01)          The Invite (TINVT) 150000 19.79 (+0.14)          The Invite (TINVT) 150000 19.79 (+0.14)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 63.22 (-1.20)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 100000 79.81 (+2.32)          Night Nurse (NTNRS) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 150000 29.92 (+2.69)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 25000 150.29 (-0.05)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 50000 383.36 (+0.69)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 140000 56.76 (-2.69)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 50000 138.19 (-2.07)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 383.36 (+0.69)          Jo Koy (JKOY) 25000 25.00 (0.00)          Night Nurse (NTNRS) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Backrooms (BACRM) 150000 153.63 (-1.59)