HSX Forum

Movies

How is this a guaranteed short?

Posted by: bloopster on Jun 24, 10:01 in response to secretstalker's post Deadline: [KNDAY] Disappointing" $3.6 million

81.3 - 5 (conservative number for Wed+Thr) = 76.3

76.3 / 2.7 = 28.26 (About a 9.5 mil avg over the weekend to break even)

Why are people comparing this to Ocean's 13 2nd weekend and General's Daughter from 11 years ago.  I would think Charlies Angels or True Lies (if you want to go 90s) would be better comparisons.

The target demo are people that work during the week, not teens who are off for the summer. I think the assertion that this is a 'short regardless' is a bit premature.

Deadline: [KNDAY] Disappointing" $3.6 million {nm} secretstalker Jun 24, 08:03

Sorry... stubby pinkie hit "Return" too early... Link inside secretstalker Jun 24, 08:03

ERC twitters $3.8m - about $10m less than TS3 {nm} marek66 Jun 24, 08:12

But I wouldn't put the cart before the horse on this one... it never was going to be a rush-out-and-see type of movie. secretstalker Jun 24, 08:17

That said, I can't imagine it doing more than $20 million over the three-day weekend and it's a short regardless. {nm} secretstalker Jun 24, 08:17

A somewhat sizeable one at that... {nm} Facto Jun 24, 09:32

Offhand, can you think of some Wednesday openers that increased on Thursday? {nm} Rolling_Thunder Jun 24, 08:18

Men in Black increased 1.2 %, a couple of movies stayed basically flat: marek66 Jun 24, 08:38

All is not Lost! Karthick24 Jun 24, 08:38

Tom's Scientology Buddy Karthick24 Jun 24, 08:44

Couldn't you argue that there's far more films being released these days and those kind of legs are rarer? {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 24, 08:47

Until July 16th Karthick24 Jun 24, 08:56

How is this a guaranteed short? bloopster Jun 24, 10:01

2.2 multiplier. {nm} sonic_death_monkey Jun 24, 10:11

Not for KNDAY, no... {nm} Facto Jun 24, 10:14

Wednesday openers almost always do between 2 and 5 times the Wednesday number for the first Friday to Sunday. shadowking Jun 24, 10:52

good to have you back. Hope to see your saturday analysis again someday {nm} gogreen Jun 24, 11:06

It's very difficult to get 100% Thurs-to-Friday increase in late June, regardless of the genre {nm} xiayun Jun 24, 11:18

Agreed.... Karthick24 Jun 24, 11:55

But that'll still be a sizeable short since the first two days won't get multiplied {nm} xiayun Jun 24, 12:28

Bada-bing, bada-boom..... *Ksschhh!* {nm} Facto Jun 24, 12:34

Tom Cruise curse Yowster Jun 24, 20:18





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 28.20 (+2.16)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 28.20 (+2.16)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 407.78 (+2.38)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 407.78 (+2.38)          Neal McDonough (NMCDO) 25000 13.95 (0.00)          Lakeith Stanfield (LSTAN) 25000 8.70 (-2.19)          Hexed (HEXED) 150000 118.37 (+5.71)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 1 12.71 (-0.09)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 12.71 (-0.09)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 1 11.28 (+1.36)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 11.28 (+1.36)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 6.13 (-0.22)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 6.13 (-0.22)          Sigourney Weaver (SWEAV) 25000 133.29 (+9.44)          Tony (TONY) 50000 20.81 (-0.04)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 1 18.24 (+1.21)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 18.24 (+1.21)          Pedro Pascal (PPASC) 111 126.81 (+0.99)          Lakeith Stanfield (LSTAN) 25000 8.70 (-2.19)          Lakeith Stanfield (LSTAN) 25000 8.70 (-2.19)          Clarissa (CLRIS) 150000 3.58 (+0.01)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 100000 12.75 (-0.04)          Brendan Fraser (BFRAS) 25000 23.25 (-1.38)          Andrew Scott (ANSCO) 25000 37.24 (-0.37)          Naomi Ackie (NACKI) 25000 14.06 (-0.32)          Naomi Ackie (NACKI) 25000 14.06 (-0.32)          Naomi Ackie (NACKI) 2111 14.06 (-0.32)          Naomi Ackie (NACKI) 10 14.06 (-0.32)          Keke Palmer (KPALM) 25000 63.47 (+1.25)          Keke Palmer (KPALM) 25000 63.47 (+1.25)          Martin Scorsese (MSCOR) 25000 46.74 (+13.85)          Jon Favreau (JFAVR) 25000 233.04 (-1.20)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 100000 22.29 (+0.04)          Noah Centineo (NCENT) 25000 52.99 (+0.07)          Sigourney Weaver (SWEAV) 25000 133.29 (+9.44)          Golshifteh Farahani (GFARA) 25000 56.20 (+0.31)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 308.31 (-3.00)          Josephine (JSPHN) 150000 6.83 (-0.09)          Emma Mackey (EMACK) 25000 51.08 (-1.23)          Toy Story 5 - Opening Weekend (TOYS5.OW) 100000 144.90 (+0.55)          Eiza Gonzalez (EGONZ) 25000 11.75 (-2.19)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 50000 308.31 (-3.00)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 11.28 (+1.36)          Chloe Sevigny (CSEVI) 25000 0.69 (-0.39)          Winston Duke (WDUKE) 25000 167.91 (+0.50)          Chloe Sevigny (CSEVI) 25000 0.69 (-0.39)          David Robert Mitchell (DRMIT) 25000 22.00 (0.00)          Mandy Moore (MMOOR) 25000 66.24 (-0.25)          Tramell Tillman (TTILL) 25000 145.98 (-0.33)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 59.71 (+1.02)