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March Madness!

Posted by: wroberson on Feb 24, 22:41

Only 3 weeks to Selection Sunday.  And 3 weeks and 3 days until I'm in Vegas to bet on the NCAA Basketball Tounry.  I've had my plans since June, and have been researching the seeding trends for about 1 day longer. I am so into this I find myself lost with nothing to do.

Bracket Predictions: Updated Mondays.  CBS updated more often

http://www.bracketography.com/
http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/bracketology

These 2 predictions fits in well with my plans.  I have found the 10 wagers with the highest winning percentages in the 2nd round.  I like parlays.  I just do.  I like the idea of betting 25 bucks to win 1000or more.  I will be limiting myself to 6, 7 and 8 leg parlays while in Vegas.

2nd Round:
#2 U(avg) if total >134   65%
#3 U(avg) if total >133.7 64.1%
#4 O(avg) if total <142.5 61.5%
#4 ATS when favorite <9 84%
#5 Money Line 67%
#6 Money Line (3 dogs 2-1) 70%
#7 ATS Money Line (favorites 63.3%)
#8 O(avg) if total <142.(60%)
#5 over 55% <140.6
#6 under 55% >134.8

3rd Round:
#1 Over 27-11, 71.1% 150 total Average
#3 20-15-2 ATS 57.1%
#5 17-6 straight up 73.4%
#5 13-8-2, ATS 61.9%
#11 Under 11-3, 78.6% total average 137.7
#12 12-5, 61.5% ATS


Brackets:

To get the party started, here are 2 bracket predictions and for those in a bracket contest I have some information to help you gets keep it level. The table below does not include last years results, but I can tell you #1 Seeds are 115-1.  So now that we should all pick the 1st 3 seeds to move on to the 3rd round.

2nd Round

The #1 seed is 112–0 against the #16 seed (100%).
The #2 seed is 106–6 against the #15 seed (94.64%).
The #3 seed is 96–16 against the #14 seed (85.71%).
The #4 seed is 88–24 against the #13 seed (78.57%).
The #5 seed is 74–38 against the #12 seed (66.07%).
The #6 seed is 74–38 against the #11 seed (66.07%).
The #7 seed is 67–45 against the #10 seed (59.82%).
The #8 seed is 54–58 against the #9 seed (48.21%).

Wishing you the best brackets ever!





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Motor City (MTRCT) 150000 5.49 (+0.08)          The Fix aka Hotel Tehran (HTHRN) 149999 8.66 (+0.05)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 150000 7.05 (+1.06)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 149999 7.05 (+1.06)          Lee Daniels (LDANI) 25000 33.16 (+0.12)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Happy Death Day To Us (HDTH3) 1000 8.47 (+0.02)          Patty Jenkins (PJENK) 25000 96.85 (-0.25)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 150000 17.48 (-3.10)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 1 29.97 (-0.06)          Shane Black (SBLAC) 25000 73.96 (0.00)          Possession (PSESN) 2000 32.04 (-0.06)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Everybody Wants to F*ck Me (EWTFM) 1000 7.17 (-0.03)          Ben Foster (BFOST) 25000 1.96 (-0.09)          Niki Caro (NCARO) 25000 33.70 (-0.12)          Ben Foster (BFOST) 25000 1.96 (-0.09)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 5000 28.25 (-0.03)          Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 3000 10.98 (-0.08)          Five Nights at Freddy's 3 (5NAF3) 150000 68.66 (+2.37)          Kevin Macdonald (KMCDO) 25000 2.03 (-0.02)          Five Nights at Freddy's 3 (5NAF3) 150000 68.66 (+2.37)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 25000 67.91 (-1.05)          The Rescue (RSCUE) 1000 31.00 (-0.13)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 150000 17.48 (-3.10)          Eddie Izzard (EIZZA) 25000 51.71 (0.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 185.49 (+1.16)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 185.49 (+1.16)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Five Nights at Freddy's 3 (5NAF3) 150000 68.66 (+2.37)          Super Troopers 3 H$15 Put (STRO3.PU) 25000 2.96 (-0.16)          One Night Only H$10 Put (ONTON.PU) 25000 2.72 (-0.10)          Ice Cream Man - Opening Weekend (ICREM.OW) 100000 5.64 (-0.13)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 12.28 (+2.14)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 150000 13.76 (-0.20)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 150000 13.76 (-0.20)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 150000 67.91 (-1.05)          Five Nights at Freddy's 3 (5NAF3) 150000 68.66 (+2.37)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 14.05 (+0.49)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Zoey Deutch (ZDEUT) 25000 32.18 (0.00)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 150000 4.13 (-0.02)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 25000 37.61 (+0.09)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 50000 37.61 (+0.09)