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March Madness!

Posted by: wroberson on Feb 24, 22:41

Only 3 weeks to Selection Sunday.  And 3 weeks and 3 days until I'm in Vegas to bet on the NCAA Basketball Tounry.  I've had my plans since June, and have been researching the seeding trends for about 1 day longer. I am so into this I find myself lost with nothing to do.

Bracket Predictions: Updated Mondays.  CBS updated more often

http://www.bracketography.com/
http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/bracketology

These 2 predictions fits in well with my plans.  I have found the 10 wagers with the highest winning percentages in the 2nd round.  I like parlays.  I just do.  I like the idea of betting 25 bucks to win 1000or more.  I will be limiting myself to 6, 7 and 8 leg parlays while in Vegas.

2nd Round:
#2 U(avg) if total >134   65%
#3 U(avg) if total >133.7 64.1%
#4 O(avg) if total <142.5 61.5%
#4 ATS when favorite <9 84%
#5 Money Line 67%
#6 Money Line (3 dogs 2-1) 70%
#7 ATS Money Line (favorites 63.3%)
#8 O(avg) if total <142.(60%)
#5 over 55% <140.6
#6 under 55% >134.8

3rd Round:
#1 Over 27-11, 71.1% 150 total Average
#3 20-15-2 ATS 57.1%
#5 17-6 straight up 73.4%
#5 13-8-2, ATS 61.9%
#11 Under 11-3, 78.6% total average 137.7
#12 12-5, 61.5% ATS


Brackets:

To get the party started, here are 2 bracket predictions and for those in a bracket contest I have some information to help you gets keep it level. The table below does not include last years results, but I can tell you #1 Seeds are 115-1.  So now that we should all pick the 1st 3 seeds to move on to the 3rd round.

2nd Round

The #1 seed is 112–0 against the #16 seed (100%).
The #2 seed is 106–6 against the #15 seed (94.64%).
The #3 seed is 96–16 against the #14 seed (85.71%).
The #4 seed is 88–24 against the #13 seed (78.57%).
The #5 seed is 74–38 against the #12 seed (66.07%).
The #6 seed is 74–38 against the #11 seed (66.07%).
The #7 seed is 67–45 against the #10 seed (59.82%).
The #8 seed is 54–58 against the #9 seed (48.21%).

Wishing you the best brackets ever!





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Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 150000 29.64 (+0.36)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 150000 29.64 (+0.36)          The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 H$80 Cal (PRAD2.CA) 25000 5.60 (-0.06)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 56.04 (+2.02)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 150000 159.17 (+2.01)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 150000 159.17 (+2.01)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 246.95 (-1.08)          Michael (MJACK) 75000 234.01 (+1.28)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 201.67 (-1.98)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 201.67 (-1.98)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 227.39 (+0.25)          K-Pops! (KPOPS) 150000 0.16 (-0.02)          Zi (ZI) 109094 1.36 (-0.04)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 4000 8.64 (+0.03)          The Man I Love (TMILV) 150000 4.98 (-0.28)          Ice Fall (ICFAL) 150000 2.00 (-0.01)          Animal Farm - Opening Weekend (AFARM.OW) 1095 3.73 (-0.03)          The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Michel Gondry (MGOND) 2000 22.37 (+0.13)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 1 10.00 (0.00)          Martha Plimpton (MPLIM) 1000 48.32 (-0.17)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 H$80 Cal (PRAD2.CA) 10000 5.60 (-0.06)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 150000 50.98 (-0.83)          Wind of Change (WNDOC) 6000 4.50 (+0.01)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 8000 3.31 (+0.02)          Kristen Stewart (KSTEW) 25000 3.21 (+0.10)          Fatherland aka 1949 (FTHRL) 20000 1.53 (+0.02)          Dark Slides aka Polaris (POLRS) 150000 0.32 (+0.06)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 8000 3.31 (+0.02)          Fatherland aka 1949 (FTHRL) 20000 1.53 (+0.02)          The Bitter End (BTRND) 15000 0.86 (+0.01)          Varanasi (VARAN) 4000 8.22 (+0.02)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 960 1.69 (-0.02)          Zi (ZI) 149999 1.36 (-0.04)          Gambino (GMBNO) 4000 9.03 (+0.11)          Kristen Stewart (KSTEW) 25000 3.21 (+0.10)          The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 1 1.00 (0.00)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 25001 10.00 (0.00)          Alia Shawkat (ASHAW) 25000 4.97 (+0.25)          The Wrong Girls (TWRNG) 150000 9.28 (+1.03)          Voyagers (VOYGR) 10000 1.96 (-0.01)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 60000 4.98 (-0.02)          Moral Capacity (MORLC) 3000 4.87 (-0.01)          Giant (GIANT) 15000 0.92 (-0.01)          Cold War 1994 (CWAR3) 15000 0.57 (-0.01)          Cooler (COLER) 10000 1.63 (-0.01)          Chili Finger (CHILF) 4000 3.22 (-0.02)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 5000 2.67 (-0.01)          The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 150000 1.00 (0.00)