SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Will Argo rise to the top?

The weekend before Halloween brings four new wide releases, but many moviegoers will be partying in costumes rather than visit the multiplexes. Warner Bros. targets older adults with the sci-fi epic Cloud Atlas [CLATL] directed by the Wachowskis [WACHO] and Tom Tykwer [TTYKW]. The R-rated epic features time-spanning storylines that inter-connect with an all-star cast playing multiple characters lead by Tom Hanks [THANK] and Halle Berry [HBERR]. Despite mostly positive reviews, the ambitious film at nearly 3 hours long may not appeal to a broad audience and attract just sci-fi fans Breaking into 2008 theaters, Cloud Atlas may book around $14 million.

After declining a miniscule 15% in its second weekend, Argo [ARGO] could retain 80% during its third outing for $13 million, which could be enough to finish in first place should the new releases falter.

Silent Hill: Revelation [SHIL2] arrives six years after the release of the first Silent Hill which Sony opened to $20.2 million. The R-rated horror sequel is distributed by Open Roads, and features a couple of new young faces in the lead. Although Silent Hill is based on a videogame series, its best-selling days are in the past, unlike the still popular Resident Evil series. Stepping into 2933 theaters, Silent Hill: Revelation could survive with $12 million.

Paranormal Activity 4 [PNAC4] was down sharply from the previous installment. With horror fans tired of the series and partying for Halloween this weekend, the sequel looks to drop more than 60% to $11 million.

Victoria Justice [VJUST] and Jane Levy [JLEVY] star in the Halloween comedy Fun Size [FUNSZ]. The PG-13 rated film presents a trick or treat dilemma for moviegoers. The film might be too tame for teens, while too for parents with young children. Paramount may have to settle for an audience of tween girls, who could be finicky in their fandom support. Hitting 3014 locations, Fun Size could score $8.5 million.

Gerard Butler [GBUTL] stars in the biographical drama Chasing Mavericks [MVRCK] about the late surfing legend Jay Moriarty. Fox has barely marketed the PG rated film, which looks to wash out with $5 million from 2002 theaters.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): CLATL, WACHO, TTYKW, THANK, HBERR, ARGO, SHIL2, PNAC4, VJUST, JLEVY, FUNSZ, GBUTL, MVRCK

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 25, 2012 @ 03:46 PM 5829 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.


twitter

@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!


#TheLittleMermaid landed $38.0M Friday at the weekend #boxoffice https://t.co/J4h3w3dnc5       #TheMachine generated $2.2M Friday at the weekend #boxoffice https://t.co/lgu1um6myV       #AboutMyFather earned $1.46M Friday at the weekend #boxoffice https://t.co/rgLm60NhKP       #Kandahar opened with $920K Friday at the #boxoffice https://t.co/82E8sIx2gs       You Hurt My Feelings debuted with $474K Friday at the #boxoffice #YouHurtMyFeelings https://t.co/qQKoFwxZOz       She Came to Me gets September 29th release date https://t.co/YVnHnq5hEW       Holt McCallany and Julianne Nicholson joins #Amateur        #Problemista sets August 4th release date https://t.co/IvyStiCD4z       About My Father took home $285K in Thursday previews at the #boxoffice #AboutMyFather https://t.co/UcOPxt9LkB       The Machine produced $850K in Thu previews at the #boxoffice #TheMachine https://t.co/nYF1XsUwbG      
Thunderbolts (TBOLT) 150000 153.69 (-2.52)         Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 150000 90.93 (+0.93)         The Boogeyman H$15 Put (NTERR.PU) 25000 1.89 (0.00)         The Boogeyman H$15 Call (NTERR.CA) 25000 2.70 (0.00)         The Boogeyman - Opening Weekend (NTERR.OW) 100000 16.97 (0.00)         The Color Purple (TCPRP) 150000 42.23 (+0.30)         Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 15000 90.93 (+0.93)         Ruby Gillman, Teenage Kraken (GILLM) 150000 58.16 (-0.15)         Colman Domingo (CDOMI) 15000 46.61 (+0.26)         Transformers: Rise of the Beasts (TFRM7.PU) 25000 2.41 (-0.02)         Imaginary (IMGNR) 75000 21.14 (+0.07)         Transformers: Rise of the Beasts (TFRM7.OW) 100000 59.94 (+0.13)         Transformers: Rise of the Beasts (TFRM7.CA) 25000 3.67 (+0.03)         Shailene Woodley (SWOOD) 1000 35.48 (0.00)         Jane Fonda (JFOND) 1000 25.47 (0.00)         Gemma Arterton (GARTE) 25000 7.80 (-0.10)         Harvest Moon (HRVSM) 5000 0.46 (0.00)         The Nightingale (NITNG) 5000 0.98 (-0.04)         Deadpool 3 (DEAD3) 1000 249.74 (+0.50)         Bad Boys Ride or Die aka Bad Boy (BADB4) 1000 82.84 (+0.50)         Foster (FOSTR) 5000 0.86 (-0.01)         Star Wars: New Jedi Order (SWAR3) 1000 196.65 (+0.59)         The Chronology of Water (CHROW) 5000 0.80 (+0.01)         The Order (TORDR) 1000 13.91 (+0.63)         The Wolfman (TWLFM) 1000 13.54 (+1.00)         Dune: Part Two (DUNE2) 200 171.49 (-0.11)         Michelle Yeoh (MYEOH) 5000 138.90 (+0.06)         Blue Beetle (BLUBT) 5000 102.35 (+1.01)         Showing Up (SHWUP) 5000 0.69 (0.00)         Mickey 17 aka Mickey7 (MCKY7) 50000 108.27 (+0.11)         The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 5000 12.90 (+0.04)         Transformers: Rise of the Beast (TFRM7) 5000 147.14 (-0.50)         Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 5000 0.93 (+0.02)         The Little Mermaid (TLMER) 14287 286.84 (-0.85)         Avengers: The Kang Dynasty (AVNG5) 1000 339.84 (-2.35)         Thunderbolts (TBOLT) 1000 153.69 (-2.52)         Cynthia Erivo (CERIV) 25000 31.46 (0.00)         Dark Harvest (DHRVS) 50000 5.05 (-0.03)         Wicked (WICKD) 50000 134.63 (+0.16)         Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 50000 90.93 (+0.93)         Past Lives (PSTLV) 150000 5.33 (-0.06)         Padre Pio (PDPIO) 150000 0.76 (-0.02)         Lynch/Oz (LYNOZ) 150000 0.48 (-0.03)         Simulant (HSTRN) 150000 1.37 (-0.02)         Transformers: Rise of the Beast (TFRM7) 100 147.14 (-0.50)         Reality (REALT) 149786 0.07 (-0.01)         Avatar 3: The Seed Bearer (AVAT3) 10000 409.80 (+0.30)         Reality (REALT) 214 0.07 (-0.01)         Every Body (EVBOD) 10000 0.88 (-0.03)         The Machine (TMCHN) 10000 15.60 (+0.60)