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Whisper Numbers: Will Argo rise to the top?

The weekend before Halloween brings four new wide releases, but many moviegoers will be partying in costumes rather than visit the multiplexes. Warner Bros. targets older adults with the sci-fi epic Cloud Atlas [CLATL] directed by the Wachowskis [WACHO] and Tom Tykwer [TTYKW]. The R-rated epic features time-spanning storylines that inter-connect with an all-star cast playing multiple characters lead by Tom Hanks [THANK] and Halle Berry [HBERR]. Despite mostly positive reviews, the ambitious film at nearly 3 hours long may not appeal to a broad audience and attract just sci-fi fans Breaking into 2008 theaters, Cloud Atlas may book around $14 million.

After declining a miniscule 15% in its second weekend, Argo [ARGO] could retain 80% during its third outing for $13 million, which could be enough to finish in first place should the new releases falter.

Silent Hill: Revelation [SHIL2] arrives six years after the release of the first Silent Hill which Sony opened to $20.2 million. The R-rated horror sequel is distributed by Open Roads, and features a couple of new young faces in the lead. Although Silent Hill is based on a videogame series, its best-selling days are in the past, unlike the still popular Resident Evil series. Stepping into 2933 theaters, Silent Hill: Revelation could survive with $12 million.

Paranormal Activity 4 [PNAC4] was down sharply from the previous installment. With horror fans tired of the series and partying for Halloween this weekend, the sequel looks to drop more than 60% to $11 million.

Victoria Justice [VJUST] and Jane Levy [JLEVY] star in the Halloween comedy Fun Size [FUNSZ]. The PG-13 rated film presents a trick or treat dilemma for moviegoers. The film might be too tame for teens, while too for parents with young children. Paramount may have to settle for an audience of tween girls, who could be finicky in their fandom support. Hitting 3014 locations, Fun Size could score $8.5 million.

Gerard Butler [GBUTL] stars in the biographical drama Chasing Mavericks [MVRCK] about the late surfing legend Jay Moriarty. Fox has barely marketed the PG rated film, which looks to wash out with $5 million from 2002 theaters.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): CLATL, WACHO, TTYKW, THANK, HBERR, ARGO, SHIL2, PNAC4, VJUST, JLEVY, FUNSZ, GBUTL, MVRCK

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 25, 2012 @ 03:46 PM 6329 views

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Kieran Culkin (KCULK) 24876 7.46 (-0.19)          RJ Cyler (RCYLE) 25000 23.41 (0.00)          Molly Shannon (MSHAN) 25000 26.62 (0.00)          Mortal Kombat II H$40 Call (MKMB2.CA) 25000 3.52 (-0.21)          Iman Vellani (IVELL) 24775 32.15 (-1.12)          Glenn Close (GCLOS) 4 6.70 (+0.05)          In the Grey - Opening Weekend (NGREY.OW) 100000 5.69 (-0.09)          Shameik Moore (SMOOR) 25000 88.78 (+1.25)          Shameik Moore (SMOOR) 25000 88.78 (+1.25)          Young Washington (YWASH) 1 30.48 (+0.16)          Them (THEM) 1 40.00 (0.00)          Andy Serkis (ASERK) 19 119.10 (0.00)          Them (THEM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          J.K. Simmons (JKSIM) 25000 83.85 (-0.25)          Them (THEM) 10000 40.00 (0.00)          Lena Headey (LHEAD) 25000 17.59 (+0.10)          Renny Harlin (RHARL) 24874 15.82 (-0.39)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 1 4.48 (+0.05)          Hokum (HOKUM) 9 15.68 (-0.96)          Mortal Kombat II H$40 Call (MKMB2.CA) 25000 3.52 (-0.21)          In the Grey - Opening Weekend (NGREY.OW) 100000 5.69 (-0.09)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 149774 2.15 (+0.25)          Them (THEM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 150000 19.03 (0.00)          RZA (RZA) 24868 54.80 (+0.01)          Shameik Moore (SMOOR) 14 88.78 (+1.25)          I Love Boosters (ILBOS) 150000 14.60 (+0.02)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 150000 101.16 (+2.47)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 150000 0.77 (+0.06)          Them (THEM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 1 0.77 (+0.06)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 149876 0.77 (+0.06)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 149876 7.92 (+0.07)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 3000 266.01 (+1.00)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 3000 378.13 (-0.80)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 3000 152.02 (-0.74)          The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 1 0.83 (-0.09)          The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 149876 0.83 (-0.09)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 1 12.10 (-0.93)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 149876 12.10 (-0.93)          Obsession (OBSSN) 10 22.32 (+0.06)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 206.14 (-10.82)          In the Grey - Opening Weekend (NGREY.OW) 100000 5.69 (-0.09)          Colony (CLONY) 10 2.01 (-0.04)          Horsegirls (HRSGR) 149876 0.77 (-0.01)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 149776 2.90 (+0.05)          Ibelin (IBELN) 150000 6.97 (+0.79)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 1 9.45 (-0.15)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 150000 4.63 (+0.64)          Michael (MJACK) 50000 243.97 (+11.34)