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Whisper Numbers: Will Argo rise to the top?

The weekend before Halloween brings four new wide releases, but many moviegoers will be partying in costumes rather than visit the multiplexes. Warner Bros. targets older adults with the sci-fi epic Cloud Atlas [CLATL] directed by the Wachowskis [WACHO] and Tom Tykwer [TTYKW]. The R-rated epic features time-spanning storylines that inter-connect with an all-star cast playing multiple characters lead by Tom Hanks [THANK] and Halle Berry [HBERR]. Despite mostly positive reviews, the ambitious film at nearly 3 hours long may not appeal to a broad audience and attract just sci-fi fans Breaking into 2008 theaters, Cloud Atlas may book around $14 million.

After declining a miniscule 15% in its second weekend, Argo [ARGO] could retain 80% during its third outing for $13 million, which could be enough to finish in first place should the new releases falter.

Silent Hill: Revelation [SHIL2] arrives six years after the release of the first Silent Hill which Sony opened to $20.2 million. The R-rated horror sequel is distributed by Open Roads, and features a couple of new young faces in the lead. Although Silent Hill is based on a videogame series, its best-selling days are in the past, unlike the still popular Resident Evil series. Stepping into 2933 theaters, Silent Hill: Revelation could survive with $12 million.

Paranormal Activity 4 [PNAC4] was down sharply from the previous installment. With horror fans tired of the series and partying for Halloween this weekend, the sequel looks to drop more than 60% to $11 million.

Victoria Justice [VJUST] and Jane Levy [JLEVY] star in the Halloween comedy Fun Size [FUNSZ]. The PG-13 rated film presents a trick or treat dilemma for moviegoers. The film might be too tame for teens, while too for parents with young children. Paramount may have to settle for an audience of tween girls, who could be finicky in their fandom support. Hitting 3014 locations, Fun Size could score $8.5 million.

Gerard Butler [GBUTL] stars in the biographical drama Chasing Mavericks [MVRCK] about the late surfing legend Jay Moriarty. Fox has barely marketed the PG rated film, which looks to wash out with $5 million from 2002 theaters.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): CLATL, WACHO, TTYKW, THANK, HBERR, ARGO, SHIL2, PNAC4, VJUST, JLEVY, FUNSZ, GBUTL, MVRCK

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 25, 2012 @ 03:46 PM 6395 views

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Melissa Leo (MLEO) 25000 29.43 (+0.98)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 22 5.94 (0.00)          Killing Castro (KILLC) 17 4.63 (+0.03)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 21 6.69 (+0.11)          Control (COTRL) 14 6.01 (+0.45)          Keke Palmer (KPALM) 25000 62.18 (-1.29)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 1 230.52 (-0.66)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 100000 138.73 (-4.07)          Killing Castro (KILLC) 150000 4.63 (+0.03)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 6.69 (+0.11)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 149999 13.81 (+0.38)          Control (COTRL) 150000 6.01 (+0.45)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 5.94 (0.00)          Golshifteh Farahani (GFARA) 25000 55.04 (-1.16)          Eiza Gonzalez (EGONZ) 25000 12.24 (+0.49)          Don Cheadle (DCHEA) 25000 122.52 (+1.86)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 150000 230.52 (-0.66)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 5 418.06 (+2.21)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 75.00 (0.00)          Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 50000 408.29 (+0.52)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 50000 418.06 (+2.21)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 75.00 (0.00)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 16.89 (-1.77)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 109.79 (-0.61)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 109.79 (-0.61)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 10000 5.20 (-0.17)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 5.20 (-0.17)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 50000 243.48 (+0.29)          The Revenge of La Llorona (LORN2) 150000 23.73 (+1.35)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Martin Freeman (MAFRE) 25000 53.87 (-1.17)          Martin Freeman (MAFRE) 25000 53.87 (-1.17)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 10000 22.22 (-0.69)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 150000 3.76 (+0.09)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 150000 3.76 (+0.09)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 150000 22.22 (-0.69)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 16.89 (-1.77)          Dominic Sessa (DSESS) 25000 26.75 (-0.37)          Dominic Sessa (DSESS) 25000 26.75 (-0.37)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 45634 418.06 (+2.21)          Ariana DeBose (ADEBO) 25000 16.25 (0.00)          Ariana DeBose (ADEBO) 25000 16.25 (0.00)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 140311 138.73 (-4.07)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 65000 10.00 (0.00)          Young Washington H$10 Put (YWASH.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)