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Whisper Numbers: Captain Phillips fights Gravity

After setting a new opening weekend record for October, the space-set thriller Gravity [GRVTY] has pull in strong summer-like weekday numbers. The phenomenal word of mouth has pegged the film as a must-see event in 3D, which accounted for 80% of the box office. The audience will broaden as Gravity attracts the less frequent moviegoers. Gravity could lose than 40% in its second weekend and remain in first place with about $35 million.

Tom Hanks [THANK] stars as the real-life Captain Phillips [CDUTY] of the cargo container ship Maersk Alabama that’ was hijacked by Somali pirates in 2009. The Sony film has the unenviable task of opening against a new box office juggernaut, though last year Argo managed to score $19.4 million against the second weekend of also massive Taken 2. Online ticket sales for Captain Phillips are currently ahead of Argo. Directed by Paul Greengrass [PGREE], the PG-13 rated film has earned rave reviews and award buzz since its festival premiere. Sailing into 3020 theaters, Captain Phillips could stow away $24 million.

Danny Trejo [DTREJ] is back in the R-rated action comedy sequel Machete Kills [MCHT2]. Although the first Machete opened to $11.4 million three years ago, the sequel is being distributed by Open Road rather than Fox. Writer-director Robert Rodriquez [RRODR] has loaded up more starpower with Sofia Vergara [SVERG], Lady Gaga, Mel Gibson [MGIBS], and Charlie Sheen [CSHEE], but the story and many of the stunts look like a rehash of the first film.  The novelty that began as a joke trailer in 2007’s Grindhouse has worn off, and the campy film looks to appeal only to the older male hardcore fans. Debuting in 2538 theaters, Machete Kills may cut through $9 million.

As the only family-friendly film, Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 [CWCM2] should once again hold around 35% to $14 million in its third weekend. With poor reviews and word of mouth, Runner Runner [RUNER] is likely to drop more than 50% in its second outing to $3.5 million.

Relativity is releasing the latest adaptation of Romeo & Juliet [RUMJU] in 461 theaters. The PG-13 rated period drama may be hard-pressed to attract much of the desirable under 25 crowd. Hailee Steinfeld [HSTEI] and Douglas Booth [DBOOT] are newcomers without any box office draw. Romeo & Juliet may be lucky to cross $2 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): GRVTY, THANK, CDUTY, PGREE, DTREJ, MCHT2, RRODR, SVERG, MGIBS, CSHEE, CWCM2, RUNER, HSTEI, DBOOT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 10, 2013 @ 03:17 PM 3383 views

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Denis Villeneuve (DVILL) 25000 113.96 (+1.33)          Blade (BLAD1) 150000 92.98 (+0.09)          I’m Still Here (IMSHR) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Big Trouble in Little China (BTILC) 50000 3.26 (+0.05)          Jason Momoa (JMOMO) 25000 152.29 (+1.51)          Jason Momoa (JMOMO) 25000 152.29 (+1.51)          Bride of Frankenstein (BRIDF) 50000 0.71 (-0.01)          The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 20000 28.66 (-0.05)          The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 20000 22.20 (+0.01)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 150000 146.76 (+0.11)          The Literary Fund (BOOKS) 20000 52.02 (+0.07)          Kensuke's Kingdom (KENSK) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Comic Fund (COMIC) 20000 19.19 (-0.06)          The Black Hole (BLKHO) 50000 0.03 (-0.02)          Red One (REDON) 150000 116.51 (+0.77)          Trap - Opening Weekend (TRAP.OW) 100000 23.65 (+0.50)          The Fire Inside aka Flint Strong (FLNTS) 150000 8.96 (+2.07)          Jennifer Garner (JEGAR) 25000 57.05 (-2.56)          Trap (TRAP) 150000 60.21 (-1.25)          Trap (TRAP) 150000 60.21 (-1.25)          Trap H$25 Call (TRAP.CA) 25000 2.15 (+0.06)          Trap H$25 Put (TRAP.PU) 25000 3.05 (-0.34)          Michael (MJACK) 500 68.44 (0.00)          Wolfs (WOLFS) 150000 66.40 (0.00)          Marcia Gay Harden (MGHAR) 25000 44.27 (0.00)          Transformers One (TFCYB) 150000 87.06 (+1.45)          Oliver Jackson-Cohen (OJCOH) 25000 19.89 (-0.10)          Julia Garner (JUGAR) 25000 10.78 (+0.10)          Robbie Amell (RAMEL) 25000 39.77 (+0.25)          Sam Claflin (SCLAF) 25000 10.79 (+0.40)          I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 50000 66.35 (+1.39)          Watch Dogs (WTDOG) 10000 24.76 (+1.27)          Jon Favreau (JFAVR) 25000 243.15 (+1.36)          Rob Marshall (RMARS) 25000 162.21 (0.00)          Jemaine Clement (JCLEM) 25000 135.53 (-1.34)          Jemaine Clement (JCLEM) 25000 135.53 (-1.34)          Scream 7 aka Scream VII (SCRM7) 50000 35.92 (+1.00)          Willem Dafoe (WDAFO) 25000 23.00 (-0.13)          Margaret Qualley (MQUAL) 25000 9.14 (-0.15)          Wicked (WICKD) 19241 168.68 (-0.50)          Scream 7 aka Scream VII (SCRM7) 50000 35.92 (+1.00)          Scream 7 aka Scream VII (SCRM7) 50000 35.92 (+1.00)          Black Five (BLAC5) 50000 1.41 (-0.01)          Scream 7 aka Scream VII (SCRM7) 50000 35.92 (+1.00)          Bagman (BAGMA) 20544 13.07 (+4.75)          Scream 7 aka Scream VII (SCRM7) 50000 35.92 (+1.00)          Battlestar Galactica (BGALA) 50000 8.23 (-0.04)          Scream 7 aka Scream VII (SCRM7) 50000 35.92 (+1.00)          Bob the Builder (BOBTB) 10001 30.79 (+2.07)          The Gauntlet (GNTLT) 4000 41.31 (-1.79)