SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Ender’s Game begins the box office battle

The holiday movie season kicks off this year with the adaptation of the sci-fi classic Ender’s Game [EGAME]. Asa Butterfield [ABUTT] plays a boy genius who is being groomed and trained as the Earth’s best hope in defeating an alien invasion. Ender’s Game is the first book of a very successful young adult sci-fi novel series. Unfortunately, it was first published in 1985 and the fanbase has already aged up into their 30s and 40s. Therefore, Summit has centered the marketing around Harrison Ford [HFORD] in hopes of capturing these Generation Xers. The PG-13 rated film hasn’t generated as much excitement as the sci-fi fanboys can be hard to please. Ender’s Game may score $30 million from 3407 theaters.

Free Birds [TURKY] is Relativity’s first foray into animation. Owen Wilson [OWILS] and Woody Harrelson [WHARR] voice a pair of turkeys who travel back in time to prevent their kind from becoming a Thanksgiving dinner tradition. The PG-rated comedy should attract families with young children, but is unlikely to broaden into other demographics. Serving in 3736 locations, Free Birds may gobble up $17 million.

The audience for Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa [JCKA4] was slightly older than those of its predecessors. The previous installment Jackass 3D tumbled 58% in its second weekend, while Number Two dropped 50%. A similar drop-off would put Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa around $14 million.

The comedy Last Vegas [LASTV] brings together Oscar-winners Michael Douglas [MDOUG], Robert De Niro [RDENI], Morgan Freeman [MFREE] and Kevin Kline [KKLIN] for a bachelor party in Sin City. While CBS Films is marketing the film like a senior edition of The Hangovers, the PG-13 rated humor is more akin to a geriatric version of The Grown Ups. The starpower should bring out the older crowd, though not necessarily opening weekend. Happening in 2065 theaters, Last Vegas could stay with $13 million.

Universal will open About Time [ABTIM] in 176 theaters this week to get the word of mouth rolling ahead of its wide expansion next weekend. Rachel McAdams [RMCAD] and Domhnall Gleeson [DGLEE] star in the R-rated time-travelling romance. About Time could clock in with $2.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): EGAME, ABUTT, HFORD, TURKY, OWILS, WHARR, JCKA4, LASTV, MDOUG, RDENI, MFREE, KKLIN, ABTIM, RMCAD, DGLEE

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 31, 2013 @ 02:59 PM 4688 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 10000 195.16 (-1.82)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 5000 404.90 (-1.26)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 5000 404.90 (-1.26)          Disclosure Day H$105M Blockbuste (SKIES.BW) 25000 5.58 (+0.58)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 1 163.47 (0.00)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 11999 15.75 (-0.24)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 150000 62.11 (+0.14)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 11999 59.71 (-0.16)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 10000 76.78 (-0.23)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 10000 21.46 (-0.18)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 14999 76.78 (-0.23)          Gatto (GATTO) 10000 134.69 (-0.22)          Gatto (GATTO) 7799 134.69 (-0.22)          Clayface (CLAYF) 10000 80.69 (-0.08)          Clayface (CLAYF) 15000 80.69 (-0.08)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 3.21 (+0.19)          Don't Look Back in Anger ak (OASIS) 149999 16.69 (+1.57)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 3.21 (+0.19)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 19999 56.78 (-0.06)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 211.01 (-2.87)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 1 5.72 (-0.02)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 7.16 (-0.02)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 10000 66.19 (-0.04)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 15000 14.08 (-0.04)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 87.21 (+0.55)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 30000 14.08 (-0.04)          The Bell Jar (BLJAR) 100000 7.62 (-0.38)          The Teller (TELER) 150000 7.50 (-0.53)          The Teller (TELER) 150000 7.50 (-0.53)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 150000 15.75 (-0.24)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 60000 6.61 (-0.02)          Hershey (HERSH) 15000 14.17 (-0.02)          Hershey (HERSH) 30000 14.17 (-0.02)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 40000 12.42 (-0.02)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 30000 4.18 (-0.01)          Sleeping Dogs (SLPDG) 23000 6.81 (-0.01)          Sleeping Dogs (SLPDG) 40000 6.81 (-0.01)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 31.85 (+2.03)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 31.85 (+2.03)          George Michael: The Faith Tour (GMTFT) 80000 5.79 (-0.01)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 87.21 (+0.55)          Not Alone (NTALN) 178 89.10 (+1.93)          Clarissa (CLRIS) 149998 3.50 (-0.26)          Clarissa (CLRIS) 150000 3.50 (-0.26)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 150000 35.03 (-0.30)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 150000 35.03 (-0.30)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 149998 7.93 (-0.14)          Not Alone (NTALN) 150000 89.10 (+1.93)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 30000 121.31 (0.00)          Gravity Rush (GRVTR) 149998 8.09 (+0.16)