SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Ender’s Game begins the box office battle

The holiday movie season kicks off this year with the adaptation of the sci-fi classic Ender’s Game [EGAME]. Asa Butterfield [ABUTT] plays a boy genius who is being groomed and trained as the Earth’s best hope in defeating an alien invasion. Ender’s Game is the first book of a very successful young adult sci-fi novel series. Unfortunately, it was first published in 1985 and the fanbase has already aged up into their 30s and 40s. Therefore, Summit has centered the marketing around Harrison Ford [HFORD] in hopes of capturing these Generation Xers. The PG-13 rated film hasn’t generated as much excitement as the sci-fi fanboys can be hard to please. Ender’s Game may score $30 million from 3407 theaters.

Free Birds [TURKY] is Relativity’s first foray into animation. Owen Wilson [OWILS] and Woody Harrelson [WHARR] voice a pair of turkeys who travel back in time to prevent their kind from becoming a Thanksgiving dinner tradition. The PG-rated comedy should attract families with young children, but is unlikely to broaden into other demographics. Serving in 3736 locations, Free Birds may gobble up $17 million.

The audience for Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa [JCKA4] was slightly older than those of its predecessors. The previous installment Jackass 3D tumbled 58% in its second weekend, while Number Two dropped 50%. A similar drop-off would put Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa around $14 million.

The comedy Last Vegas [LASTV] brings together Oscar-winners Michael Douglas [MDOUG], Robert De Niro [RDENI], Morgan Freeman [MFREE] and Kevin Kline [KKLIN] for a bachelor party in Sin City. While CBS Films is marketing the film like a senior edition of The Hangovers, the PG-13 rated humor is more akin to a geriatric version of The Grown Ups. The starpower should bring out the older crowd, though not necessarily opening weekend. Happening in 2065 theaters, Last Vegas could stay with $13 million.

Universal will open About Time [ABTIM] in 176 theaters this week to get the word of mouth rolling ahead of its wide expansion next weekend. Rachel McAdams [RMCAD] and Domhnall Gleeson [DGLEE] star in the R-rated time-travelling romance. About Time could clock in with $2.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): EGAME, ABUTT, HFORD, TURKY, OWILS, WHARR, JCKA4, LASTV, MDOUG, RDENI, MFREE, KKLIN, ABTIM, RMCAD, DGLEE

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 31, 2013 @ 02:59 PM 4866 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 150000 15.38 (-0.06)          Super Troopers 3 H$15 Put (STRO3.PU) 18433 2.89 (+0.03)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 5.27 (+0.27)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 35 157.83 (-0.11)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 6 67.70 (0.00)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 25 23.54 (0.00)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 1 44.06 (-0.79)          The Worst (TWORS) 148517 6.75 (+0.04)          Drag (DRAG) 150000 7.69 (+0.63)          Drag (DRAG) 150000 7.69 (+0.63)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 1000 239.83 (+0.25)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 4409 225.90 (+0.06)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 50000 19.11 (+0.97)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 5.27 (+0.27)          Manny Jacinto (MJACI) 25000 33.73 (+0.12)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 16404 506.99 (+0.08)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day H$220 (SPID9.CA) 25000 7.87 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day - Open (SPID9.OW) 100000 244.99 (+1.00)          The Man I Love (TMILV) 1 2.86 (0.00)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 46.17 (-0.35)          Clayface (CLAYF) 25000 76.77 (+0.25)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 100000 65.59 (-0.10)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 20000 44.06 (-0.79)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 5.27 (+0.27)