SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Ender’s Game begins the box office battle

The holiday movie season kicks off this year with the adaptation of the sci-fi classic Ender’s Game [EGAME]. Asa Butterfield [ABUTT] plays a boy genius who is being groomed and trained as the Earth’s best hope in defeating an alien invasion. Ender’s Game is the first book of a very successful young adult sci-fi novel series. Unfortunately, it was first published in 1985 and the fanbase has already aged up into their 30s and 40s. Therefore, Summit has centered the marketing around Harrison Ford [HFORD] in hopes of capturing these Generation Xers. The PG-13 rated film hasn’t generated as much excitement as the sci-fi fanboys can be hard to please. Ender’s Game may score $30 million from 3407 theaters.

Free Birds [TURKY] is Relativity’s first foray into animation. Owen Wilson [OWILS] and Woody Harrelson [WHARR] voice a pair of turkeys who travel back in time to prevent their kind from becoming a Thanksgiving dinner tradition. The PG-rated comedy should attract families with young children, but is unlikely to broaden into other demographics. Serving in 3736 locations, Free Birds may gobble up $17 million.

The audience for Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa [JCKA4] was slightly older than those of its predecessors. The previous installment Jackass 3D tumbled 58% in its second weekend, while Number Two dropped 50%. A similar drop-off would put Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa around $14 million.

The comedy Last Vegas [LASTV] brings together Oscar-winners Michael Douglas [MDOUG], Robert De Niro [RDENI], Morgan Freeman [MFREE] and Kevin Kline [KKLIN] for a bachelor party in Sin City. While CBS Films is marketing the film like a senior edition of The Hangovers, the PG-13 rated humor is more akin to a geriatric version of The Grown Ups. The starpower should bring out the older crowd, though not necessarily opening weekend. Happening in 2065 theaters, Last Vegas could stay with $13 million.

Universal will open About Time [ABTIM] in 176 theaters this week to get the word of mouth rolling ahead of its wide expansion next weekend. Rachel McAdams [RMCAD] and Domhnall Gleeson [DGLEE] star in the R-rated time-travelling romance. About Time could clock in with $2.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): EGAME, ABUTT, HFORD, TURKY, OWILS, WHARR, JCKA4, LASTV, MDOUG, RDENI, MFREE, KKLIN, ABTIM, RMCAD, DGLEE

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 31, 2013 @ 02:59 PM 4542 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 50000 17.93 (+0.42)          Zi (ZI) 1000 1.28 (+0.01)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 50000 17.93 (+0.42)          Buddy (BUDDY) 75000 7.39 (+0.55)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 25000 13.82 (+0.07)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.BW) 25000 7.02 (+0.03)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 12.32 (+0.07)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 15.82 (+0.14)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 183 75.71 (+0.71)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 10000 3.63 (0.00)          Lice (LICE) 1 3.75 (-0.25)          Please (PLESE) 10000 22.29 (+0.47)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 10000 21.17 (+0.02)          Lice (LICE) 150000 3.75 (-0.25)          Ken Russell's The Devil (KRSTD) 150000 1.81 (-0.09)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 10000 22.33 (0.00)          Wagner Moura (WMOUR) 25000 57.55 (0.00)          White Elephant (WELEP) 12500 14.21 (0.00)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 12500 17.93 (+0.42)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.18 (+0.18)          Gatto (GATTO) 12500 134.54 (-0.02)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 75.71 (+0.71)          Broadsword (BROSW) 10000 42.39 (+0.01)          Buddy (BUDDY) 27500 7.39 (+0.55)          Bad Blood (BDBLD) 19000 0.16 (0.00)          Assisted Living (ASLIV) 100000 0.06 (-0.02)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 20311 58.38 (-0.13)          Sigourney Weaver (SWEAV) 20166 129.82 (+0.07)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 50000 17.48 (+0.46)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.18 (+0.18)          Buddy (BUDDY) 1 7.39 (+0.55)          Noah Centineo (NCENT) 20311 52.34 (-0.13)          Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 2.20 (+0.20)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 9.94 (+0.66)          Naomi Ackie (NACKI) 20711 16.12 (+0.16)          Naomi Ackie (NACKI) 20610 16.12 (+0.16)          Buddy (BUDDY) 150000 7.39 (+0.55)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 682 17.48 (+0.46)          Lakeith Stanfield (LSTAN) 20185 9.62 (+0.08)          Lakeith Stanfield (LSTAN) 20166 9.62 (+0.08)          Keke Palmer (KPALM) 20191 61.98 (-0.20)          Jeremy Allen White (JEAWH) 145 43.95 (-0.16)          Mark Duplass (MDUPL) 25000 29.25 (+0.25)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.18 (+0.18)          Golshifteh Farahani (GFARA) 20299 54.74 (-0.30)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 28.11 (+0.60)          Don Cheadle (DCHEA) 20166 122.78 (+0.26)          Please (PLESE) 4999 22.29 (+0.47)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 50000 17.93 (+0.42)