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Whisper Numbers: Fantastic Four to flame on or flame out?

Ten years after the Marvel's superhero team Fantastic Four first appeared on the big screen, the franchise has been rebooted with another Fantastic Four [FANT4]. The 2005 original debuted with $56.1 million, which its 2007 sequel Rise of the Silver Surfer topped with $58.1 million. While semi-successful at the box office, these two films were not beloved by moviegoers. Fox decided to go younger with an all-new cast, and a darker tone akin to director Josh Trank’s first film Chronicle. Unfortunately, the PG-13 rated film has had a troubled production and littered with bad press. Some comic fans also objected to the cast of Michael B. Jordan [MJORD] as Johnny Storm. While Jordan, Miles Teller [MTELL] and Kate Mara [KMAR] are rising stars, none have established box office draw. Tepid reviews from critics have only reinforced those already predisposed to hate the film. There’s also no news of breakout the advance ticket sales front. Arriving in 3995 theaters, Fantastic Four may bank $42 million.

After its solid opening, Mission: Impossible – Rogue Nation [MISS5] should continue to light the box office with its excellent word of mouth. The sequel could near a 50% drop-off with another $28 million.

Jason Bateman [JBATE] and Joel Edgerton [JEDGE] star in the R-rated thriller The Gift [WERDO], the inaugural release from STX Entertainment.  The buzz is not strong due to a muddled marketing campaign, but the favorable reviews could sway some adults to check it out. Opening in 2470 theaters, The Gift could unwrap $8 million.

Sony targets older women with Ricki and the Flash [RICFL] starring Meryl Streep [MSTRE] and her daughter Mamie Gummer [MGUMM]. The PG-13 rated drama appears too light to generate any genuine excitement. Playing in 1603 theaters, Ricki and the Flash could rock out $7 million.

Vacation [VACTN] couldn’t recapture the magic of the original. The sequel looks to tumble more than 50% in its second trip to $6.5 million.

After opening around the world, Shaun the Sheep [SHEEP] finally lands stateside from Lionsgate. The PG-rated film hopes to attract families with young children as well as adult fans of Aardman’s stop-motion animation. Shaun the Sheep grossed $0.85 million on Wednesday and may earn just $4 million over the weekend from 2202 locations.

After 3 weeks of limited release, Irrational Man [IRATM] expands wide into 925 theaters. Lacking critical acclaim, the latest dramedy from Woody Allen [WALLE] may tally just $2 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): FANT4, MJORD, MTELL, MISS5, JBATE, JEDGE, WERDO, RICFL, MSTRE, MGUMM, VACTN, SHEEP, IRATM, WALLE

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 6, 2015 @ 03:49 PM 5629 views

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The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 8000 225.63 (-0.71)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 149996 15.90 (+0.05)          Chris Pine (CPINE) 25000 34.71 (+0.25)          One Night Only (ONTON) 149996 25.14 (+0.06)          Who's That Girl aka Madonna biop (MDONA) 150000 9.03 (-0.03)          The Chain (CHAIN) 150000 1.60 (-0.02)          Hokum (HOKUM) 140000 12.18 (+0.41)          Metal Men (METAL) 150000 6.87 (-0.05)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 1035 10.36 (+0.02)          Cleopatra - Paramount (CEOPT) 150000 4.37 (-0.03)          Bambi (BAMBI) 150000 12.38 (-0.06)          Hershey (HERSH) 1000 13.00 (+1.23)          Michael (MJACK) 1235 235.18 (-0.66)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 500 3.27 (+0.35)          Michael (MJACK) 4189 235.18 (-0.66)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 500 9.43 (+0.83)          Aladdin 2 (ALAD2) 150000 22.96 (-0.30)          Ty Simpkins (TSIMP) 25000 84.46 (0.00)          Hourman (HRMAN) 150000 9.82 (-0.03)          The Man I Love (TMILV) 1000 5.17 (+1.04)          Hershey (HERSH) 500 13.00 (+1.23)          Fuze (FUZE) 498 4.99 (-0.02)          Michael (MJACK) 4189 235.18 (-0.66)          Mackenzie Foy (MFOY) 25000 67.41 (-0.25)          Michael (MJACK) 4189 235.18 (-0.66)          Fuze (FUZE) 845 4.99 (-0.02)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 500 9.20 (-1.24)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 84 29.35 (0.00)          Michael Sarnoski (MSARN) 25000 55.33 (+0.33)          Normal (NORML) 26 8.72 (-0.03)          Zachary Levi (ZLEVI) 25000 21.80 (+0.25)          You, Me & Tuscany (ITLIA) 43 18.99 (-0.18)          Zachary Levi (ZLEVI) 25000 21.80 (+0.25)          Neal McDonough (NMCDO) 25000 12.97 (+0.10)          CBS: DMV (DMVCBS) 25000 13.06 (+0.07)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 13.43 (+0.14)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 10000 12.66 (-0.14)          Travis Knight (TKNIG) 25000 90.08 (-0.05)          The Man I Love (TMILV) 3448 5.17 (+1.04)          The Sheep Detectives - Opening W (3BAGF.OW) 100000 13.90 (0.00)          Ono Ghost Market (ONOGM) 150000 82.66 (-0.02)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 245 56.50 (0.00)          Hokum (HOKUM) 10000 12.18 (+0.41)          Hershey (HERSH) 10000 13.00 (+1.23)          The Sheep Detectives H$15 Call (3BAGF.CA) 25000 2.51 (+0.06)          My Father's Shadow (MFSHD) 150000 0.17 (+0.02)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 9 155.66 (+0.28)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 25000 3.27 (+0.35)          ABC: RJ Decker (RJDECK) 25000 9.13 (-0.15)          Hokum - Opening Weekend (HOKUM.OW) 100000 5.39 (-0.08)