SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Star Wars to dominate the holidays

After shattering multiple box office records during last weekend, Star Wars: The Force Awakens [STAR7] continues to set a new high for each weekday. The second weekend promises to be another bonanza as Christmas Day held the third highest advance ticket sales. The Hobbit: Battle of Five Armies declined 25% in its sophomore weekend over Christmas last year, while The Lord of the Rings: Return of the King slipped 30% over the same period. With its massive opening weekend, Star Wars: The Force Awakens is likely to be more frontloaded. A still respectable 35% drop-off would result in about $161 million.

Will Ferrell [WFERR] and Mark Wahlberg [MWAHL] reunite for the family comedy Daddy’s Home [DHOME]. Their previous PG-13 rated effort The Other Guys debuted to $35.5 million in August 2010. With a more crowded marketplace and male teenagers unlikely to be interested in a movie about fatherhood, Daddy’s Home may bring in $20.0 million from 3271 theaters.

Jennifer Lawrence [JLAWR] toplines Joy [JOY] from writer-director David O. Russell [DORUS]. The PG-13 rated biopic has earned mixed reviews, which has muted its Oscar buzz. Interest from women remains high. Sweeping into 2896 theaters, Joy could mop up $15 million.

Sony’s Concussion [GAMEB] stars Will Smith [WSMIT] as the real-life doctor who discovered a degenerative brain disease among former NFL players. Smith’s last dramatic role came 7 years ago with Seven Pounds, which opened to $14.8 million. Concussion may be able to hit $12 million from 2841 locations.

The 1991 action classic Point Break [PTBR2] has been unnecessarily remade with Luke Bracey [LBRAC] and Edgar Ramirez [EDRAM]. Reviews are mostly negative, which will turn off older fans of the original. Launching in 2910 theaters, Point Break may ride out $11 million.

Steve Carell [SCARE], Brad Pitt [BPITT], Christian Bale [CBALE] and Ryan Gosling [RGOSL]combine their starpower for the R-rated drama The Big Short [BIGSH] about the 2007 financial collapse. After netting $1.3 million in limited release, Paramount exapnded the film wide to 1585 theaters on Wednesday and earned $2.3 million. With excellent reviews, The Big Short could add another $9 million over the weekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): STAR7, WFERR, MWAHL, DHOME, JLAWR, JOY, DORUS, GAMEB, WSMIT, PTBR2, LBRAC, EDRAM, SCARE, BPITT, CBALE, RGOSL, BIGSH

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, December 24, 2015 @ 11:11 AM 5770 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 150000 497.03 (-1.54)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 11329 16.50 (+0.02)          Matthew Lillard (MLILL) 9647 72.36 (+0.53)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 23502 421.39 (+1.39)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 150000 137.09 (-0.95)          Baz Luhrmann (BLUHR) 25000 71.29 (-0.25)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 150000 13.78 (-0.48)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 150000 13.78 (-0.48)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 60680 421.39 (+1.39)          They Will Kill You - Opening Wee (TWKYU.OW) 100000 7.71 (+0.09)          By Any Means (CI34) 149999 18.83 (+0.54)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 18.83 (+0.54)          They Will Kill You - Opening Wee (TWKYU.OW) 100000 7.71 (+0.09)          G.I. Joe sequel (GIJO4) 149999 19.01 (+0.43)          G.I. Joe sequel (GIJO4) 150000 19.01 (+0.43)          Amrum (AMRUM) 149999 0.68 (0.00)          Amrum (AMRUM) 150000 0.68 (0.00)          Rainbow Six (RNBW6) 74 12.44 (-0.04)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 149999 24.00 (-0.17)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 150000 24.00 (-0.17)          Baton (BATON) 149999 6.39 (+0.36)          Baton (BATON) 150000 6.39 (+0.36)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 77.62 (-0.85)          Kockroach (KOCKR) 149999 15.69 (+0.14)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 77.62 (-0.85)          Kockroach (KOCKR) 150000 15.69 (+0.14)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 43929 10.33 (-0.21)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 54 421.39 (+1.39)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come - Op (RONO2.OW) 100000 11.61 (-0.16)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come - Op (RONO2.OW) 100000 11.61 (-0.16)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 54 421.39 (+1.39)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 85584 305.10 (-0.17)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 3.52 (-0.21)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 45 219.87 (-0.31)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 3.52 (-0.21)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 1586 8.54 (0.00)          Charlie Harper (CHARP) 99775 4.67 (-0.03)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 176.00 (-0.66)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 279 421.39 (+1.39)          Barbarella (BARBA) 80000 26.40 (-0.02)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 148 103.82 (+1.00)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 40.70 (+0.03)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 30681 208.89 (-0.57)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 2668 421.39 (+1.39)          The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 20000 87.74 (+0.20)          Outcome (OUTCM) 150000 1.91 (+0.07)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 150000 62.16 (-0.58)          Star Trek (TREK4) 150000 22.51 (-0.08)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 120000 26.78 (-0.14)          Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 150000 38.08 (-0.23)