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Whisper Numbers: Star Wars to dominate the holidays

After shattering multiple box office records during last weekend, Star Wars: The Force Awakens [STAR7] continues to set a new high for each weekday. The second weekend promises to be another bonanza as Christmas Day held the third highest advance ticket sales. The Hobbit: Battle of Five Armies declined 25% in its sophomore weekend over Christmas last year, while The Lord of the Rings: Return of the King slipped 30% over the same period. With its massive opening weekend, Star Wars: The Force Awakens is likely to be more frontloaded. A still respectable 35% drop-off would result in about $161 million.

Will Ferrell [WFERR] and Mark Wahlberg [MWAHL] reunite for the family comedy Daddy’s Home [DHOME]. Their previous PG-13 rated effort The Other Guys debuted to $35.5 million in August 2010. With a more crowded marketplace and male teenagers unlikely to be interested in a movie about fatherhood, Daddy’s Home may bring in $20.0 million from 3271 theaters.

Jennifer Lawrence [JLAWR] toplines Joy [JOY] from writer-director David O. Russell [DORUS]. The PG-13 rated biopic has earned mixed reviews, which has muted its Oscar buzz. Interest from women remains high. Sweeping into 2896 theaters, Joy could mop up $15 million.

Sony’s Concussion [GAMEB] stars Will Smith [WSMIT] as the real-life doctor who discovered a degenerative brain disease among former NFL players. Smith’s last dramatic role came 7 years ago with Seven Pounds, which opened to $14.8 million. Concussion may be able to hit $12 million from 2841 locations.

The 1991 action classic Point Break [PTBR2] has been unnecessarily remade with Luke Bracey [LBRAC] and Edgar Ramirez [EDRAM]. Reviews are mostly negative, which will turn off older fans of the original. Launching in 2910 theaters, Point Break may ride out $11 million.

Steve Carell [SCARE], Brad Pitt [BPITT], Christian Bale [CBALE] and Ryan Gosling [RGOSL]combine their starpower for the R-rated drama The Big Short [BIGSH] about the 2007 financial collapse. After netting $1.3 million in limited release, Paramount exapnded the film wide to 1585 theaters on Wednesday and earned $2.3 million. With excellent reviews, The Big Short could add another $9 million over the weekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): STAR7, WFERR, MWAHL, DHOME, JLAWR, JOY, DORUS, GAMEB, WSMIT, PTBR2, LBRAC, EDRAM, SCARE, BPITT, CBALE, RGOSL, BIGSH

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, December 24, 2015 @ 11:11 AM 5369 views

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The Beast (TBEAS) 22999 18.30 (+0.37)          His Three Daughters (HIS3D) 2000 2.08 (+0.01)          Beetlejuice 2 (BEET2) 20000 96.90 (+0.75)          Mean Girls (MNGRL) 50000 55.30 (-0.09)          The Crow (TCROW) 150000 12.40 (+0.04)          Sacramento (SACTO) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Boy and The Heron - Opening (HDYL.OW) 99998 6.89 (+0.78)          Gambit (GAMBI) 50000 0.93 (+0.01)          Sacramento (SACTO) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Boy and The Heron (HDYL) 150000 15.02 (+0.98)          La Syndicaliste (LSYND) 200 0.25 (0.00)          Anyone But You H$10 Call Fri-Mon (ANOBU.CA) 25000 1.46 (+0.02)          The Iron Claw H$10 Call Fri-Mon (IRONC.CA) 25000 1.52 (-0.04)          Untitled Alien Movie Event (ALIE5) 150000 48.82 (+0.34)          Gears of War (GEARS) 150000 0.38 (+0.02)          The Boy and The Heron - Opening (HDYL.OW) 100000 6.89 (+0.78)          The Boy and The Heron - Opening (HDYL.OW) 100000 6.89 (+0.78)          The Boy and The Heron (HDYL) 150000 15.02 (+0.98)          Anyone But You - Opening Weekend (ANOBU.OW) 100000 9.04 (-0.01)          The Boy and The Heron (HDYL) 150000 15.02 (+0.98)          The Iron Claw - Opening Weekend (IRONC.OW) 100000 9.07 (-0.03)          Last Meals (LMEAL) 150000 5.00 (+0.03)          Poor Things (PRTHN) 1 20.14 (-0.06)          Poor Things (PRTHN) 150000 20.14 (-0.06)          Next Goal Wins (NGWIN) 4 7.22 (+0.01)          Nonnas (NONAS) 150000 14.31 (-0.57)          Fair Play (FRPLY) 15000 0.07 (+0.01)          Sacramento (SACTO) 100 4.00 (0.00)          Civil War (CVLWR) 149999 9.84 (-1.33)          The Boy and The Heron (HDYL) 150000 15.02 (+0.98)          Drive-Away Dolls (DRVAW) 8867 18.70 (+0.06)          Sacramento (SACTO) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Sacramento (SACTO) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Salem's Lot (SALOT) 150000 17.72 (+1.73)          Salem's Lot (SALOT) 150000 17.72 (+1.73)          The Boy and The Heron - Opening (HDYL.OW) 100000 6.89 (+0.78)          Boy Band (BOYBN) 150000 34.15 (+0.06)          War Pigs (WARPG) 149999 0.05 (0.00)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 150000 11.54 (-0.46)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 50000 21.95 (0.00)          Winner (WINNR) 19999 2.96 (+0.13)          Winner (WINNR) 9 2.96 (+0.13)          The Iron Claw - Opening Weekend (IRONC.OW) 100000 9.07 (-0.03)          Anyone But You - Opening Weekend (ANOBU.OW) 100000 9.04 (-0.01)          Logan's Run (LOGAN) 50000 14.78 (-0.02)          The Opening Weekend Fund (OPENR) 100 85.10 (+0.13)          Chicken Run: Dawn of the Nugget (CHCK2) 150000 1.57 (+0.07)          The Things They Carried (TTTHC) 30000 2.21 (-0.01)          Chicken Run: Dawn of the Nugget (CHCK2) 150000 1.57 (+0.07)          Chicken Run: Dawn of the Nugget (CHCK2) 150000 1.57 (+0.07)