SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Star Wars to dominate the holidays

After shattering multiple box office records during last weekend, Star Wars: The Force Awakens [STAR7] continues to set a new high for each weekday. The second weekend promises to be another bonanza as Christmas Day held the third highest advance ticket sales. The Hobbit: Battle of Five Armies declined 25% in its sophomore weekend over Christmas last year, while The Lord of the Rings: Return of the King slipped 30% over the same period. With its massive opening weekend, Star Wars: The Force Awakens is likely to be more frontloaded. A still respectable 35% drop-off would result in about $161 million.

Will Ferrell [WFERR] and Mark Wahlberg [MWAHL] reunite for the family comedy Daddy’s Home [DHOME]. Their previous PG-13 rated effort The Other Guys debuted to $35.5 million in August 2010. With a more crowded marketplace and male teenagers unlikely to be interested in a movie about fatherhood, Daddy’s Home may bring in $20.0 million from 3271 theaters.

Jennifer Lawrence [JLAWR] toplines Joy [JOY] from writer-director David O. Russell [DORUS]. The PG-13 rated biopic has earned mixed reviews, which has muted its Oscar buzz. Interest from women remains high. Sweeping into 2896 theaters, Joy could mop up $15 million.

Sony’s Concussion [GAMEB] stars Will Smith [WSMIT] as the real-life doctor who discovered a degenerative brain disease among former NFL players. Smith’s last dramatic role came 7 years ago with Seven Pounds, which opened to $14.8 million. Concussion may be able to hit $12 million from 2841 locations.

The 1991 action classic Point Break [PTBR2] has been unnecessarily remade with Luke Bracey [LBRAC] and Edgar Ramirez [EDRAM]. Reviews are mostly negative, which will turn off older fans of the original. Launching in 2910 theaters, Point Break may ride out $11 million.

Steve Carell [SCARE], Brad Pitt [BPITT], Christian Bale [CBALE] and Ryan Gosling [RGOSL]combine their starpower for the R-rated drama The Big Short [BIGSH] about the 2007 financial collapse. After netting $1.3 million in limited release, Paramount exapnded the film wide to 1585 theaters on Wednesday and earned $2.3 million. With excellent reviews, The Big Short could add another $9 million over the weekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): STAR7, WFERR, MWAHL, DHOME, JLAWR, JOY, DORUS, GAMEB, WSMIT, PTBR2, LBRAC, EDRAM, SCARE, BPITT, CBALE, RGOSL, BIGSH

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, December 24, 2015 @ 11:11 AM 5942 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Kenneth Branagh (KBRAN) 25000 112.90 (-1.33)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 150000 108.39 (-3.44)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie - Ope (PAWP3.OW) 60 18.59 (-0.37)          Coward (COWRD) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 50 29.19 (-1.68)          Isabel May (IMAY) 25000 38.49 (-0.37)          Isabel May (IMAY) 25000 38.49 (-0.37)          Katy Perry: The Lifetime Tour - (KPTLT) 50 8.64 (+0.35)          Spider-Woman (SPDWM) 10000 16.78 (+0.08)          Atonement (ATONM) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Atonement (ATONM) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 10000 236.47 (+0.91)          Yura Borisov (YBORI) 200 10.96 (+0.30)          Dennis (DENIS) 50 5.12 (-0.68)          Uncharted 2 (UNCH2) 10000 16.58 (+0.04)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 100 3.90 (-1.14)          Coward (COWRD) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 150000 66.47 (-1.98)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 1 102.46 (+0.11)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 149999 62.31 (-0.04)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 150000 108.39 (-3.44)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 150000 108.39 (-3.44)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 3 93.54 (-0.16)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 3 93.54 (-0.16)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 3 9.80 (-0.29)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 3 9.80 (-0.29)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 1 62.31 (-0.04)          Naruto (NARUT) 1 23.30 (+0.52)          Naruto (NARUT) 1 23.30 (+0.52)          Clayface (CLAYF) 3 78.13 (+0.24)          Clayface (CLAYF) 3 78.13 (+0.24)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 3 14.42 (+0.26)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 3 14.42 (+0.26)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 566.70 (+22.79)          Five Nights at Freddy's 3 (5NAF3) 1 78.10 (+0.80)          Five Nights at Freddy's 3 (5NAF3) 1 78.10 (+0.80)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 3 92.92 (+1.11)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 3 92.92 (+1.11)          Zero A.D.: The Birth of Christ (BTLHM) 3 30.96 (+0.20)          Zero A.D.: The Birth of Christ (BTLHM) 3 30.96 (+0.20)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 3 30.00 (+0.16)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 3 30.00 (+0.16)          Fleur (FLEUR) 2 7.16 (+0.11)          Fleur (FLEUR) 2 7.16 (+0.11)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 3 4.58 (+0.35)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 3 4.58 (+0.35)          Katy Perry: The Lifetime Tour - (KPTLT) 150000 8.64 (+0.35)          Katy Perry: The Lifetime Tour - (KPTLT) 3 8.64 (+0.35)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 150000 21.48 (+0.40)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 1 21.48 (+0.40)