SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pacific Rim: Uprising challenges Black Panther

While snow blankets the Northeast and rain pelts the Western U.S., Pacific Rim: Uprising [PACR2] leads five new wide releases. Directed by Guillermo Del Toro, the first Pacific Rim debuted July 2013 at $37.3 million and ended its domestic run at $101.8 million. The sci-fi film performed better overseas so Legendary produced a sequel with a new director and new leads played by John Boyega [JBOYE] and Scott Eastwood [SEAST]. While Warner Bros. released the original, Universal distributes the PG-13 rated sequel, which promises more giant robots vs. giant monsters CG action.  The film is likely to appeal only to the hardcore fans. Hitting 3708 theaters, Pacific Rim: Uprising may score $25 million.

Black Panther [BPNTH.BW] will finally give up the throne in its sixth weekend, but not before mining another $16 million.

Paramount’s animated Sherlock Gnomes [GNOM2] is the sequel to 2011’s Gnomeo & Juliet, which Disney opened to $25.4 million. Emily Blunt [EBLUN] and James McAvoy [JMCAV] reprise their voice roles, while Johnny Depp [JDEPP] joins the cast as the title character, which may no longer be a selling point. Seven years is also a long gap for a sequel aimed at kids, and Sherlock Gnomes doesn’t have the marketing machine of Disney. Playing in 3662 theaters, Sherlock Gnomes may track down $15 million.

As a male-targeted action film, Tomb Raider [TOMB3] is likely to tumble more than 50% in its second weekend to $11.5 million.

Connecting with MercyMe fans, I Can Only Imagine [ICOIM] outperformed expectations and looks to hold strong. A 40% decline would bring in $10 million.

Paul, Apostle of Christ [PAOCH] could be a victim of I Can Only Imagine’s success as they compete for the same faith-based audience. Sony is opening the PG-13 rated Bible epic in just 1473 theaters. Paul, Apostle of Christ may summon $7.0 million.

Bella Thorne [BTHOR] and Patrick Schwarzenegger couple up for Midnight Sun [MDNTS] from Open Road. The PG-13 rated romance will only interest teen girls. Performing in 2200 theaters, Midnight Sun could earn $4.5 million.

Claire Foy [CFOY] stars in the R-rated horror Unsane [UNSAN], whose sole selling point is that director Steven Soderbergh [SSODE] shot it on an iPhone. Bleecker Street has built little awareness. Unsane may commit $3 million from 2023 locations.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PACR2, JBOYE, SEAST, GNOM2, EBLUN, JMCAV, JDEPP, TOMB3, ICOIM, PAOCH, BTHOR, MDNTS, CFOY, UNSAN, SSODE

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, March 22, 2018 @ 02:25 PM 1518 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 81.47 (+0.51)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 7.83 (+0.03)          Ella McCay (EMCAY) 150000 8.91 (0.00)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 150000 6.89 (0.00)          Dust Bunny (DUSTB) 150000 3.34 (0.00)          Atropia (ATROP) 150000 1.94 (0.00)          Miami Vice (MIVIC) 150000 93.70 (+0.25)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 81.47 (+0.51)          Control (COTRL) 10000 6.97 (0.00)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 30000 17.44 (-0.24)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 19000 17.44 (-0.24)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 81.47 (+0.51)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 10000 19.36 (-0.19)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 20000 19.36 (-0.19)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 150000 29.14 (+0.10)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 150000 14.66 (+0.79)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 81.47 (+0.51)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 50000 3.80 (+0.50)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 149999 68.74 (+0.36)          The Drama (TDRAM) 10000 19.87 (+0.48)          Snoop Dogg Biopic (SNOOP) 30000 26.50 (+0.81)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 20000 7.92 (+0.01)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 150000 19.36 (-0.19)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 150000 19.36 (-0.19)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 10000 7.92 (+0.01)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 30000 14.66 (+0.79)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 80000 14.66 (+0.79)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 150000 19.95 (+0.02)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 150000 19.95 (+0.02)          Brian (BRIAN) 150000 3.35 (+0.28)          Brian (BRIAN) 150000 3.35 (+0.28)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 150000 120.04 (+0.33)          Archangel (ARCNG) 150000 17.76 (+0.05)          Infinite Icon (INFIC) 150000 1.58 (-0.01)          Full Phil (FPHIL) 150000 4.23 (+0.03)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 150000 68.74 (+0.36)          Kockroach (KOCKR) 150000 13.19 (+0.04)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 81.47 (+0.51)          Diamond (DIAMN) 150000 8.42 (+0.03)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 150000 14.66 (+0.79)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 81.47 (+0.51)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 1.74 (+0.02)          Michael (MJACK) 63110 163.48 (+0.14)          Empire City (EMPCT) 150000 18.46 (+0.06)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 10520 252.24 (+0.03)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.41 (+0.14)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 150000 19.36 (-0.19)          Solo Mio (SOLOM) 150000 17.29 (+0.06)          This Is Not a Test (TINAT) 150000 1.99 (+0.04)          GOAT (TGOAT) 150000 56.93 (+0.15)