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Whisper Numbers: Pacific Rim: Uprising challenges Black Panther

While snow blankets the Northeast and rain pelts the Western U.S., Pacific Rim: Uprising [PACR2] leads five new wide releases. Directed by Guillermo Del Toro, the first Pacific Rim debuted July 2013 at $37.3 million and ended its domestic run at $101.8 million. The sci-fi film performed better overseas so Legendary produced a sequel with a new director and new leads played by John Boyega [JBOYE] and Scott Eastwood [SEAST]. While Warner Bros. released the original, Universal distributes the PG-13 rated sequel, which promises more giant robots vs. giant monsters CG action.  The film is likely to appeal only to the hardcore fans. Hitting 3708 theaters, Pacific Rim: Uprising may score $25 million.

Black Panther [BPNTH.BW] will finally give up the throne in its sixth weekend, but not before mining another $16 million.

Paramount’s animated Sherlock Gnomes [GNOM2] is the sequel to 2011’s Gnomeo & Juliet, which Disney opened to $25.4 million. Emily Blunt [EBLUN] and James McAvoy [JMCAV] reprise their voice roles, while Johnny Depp [JDEPP] joins the cast as the title character, which may no longer be a selling point. Seven years is also a long gap for a sequel aimed at kids, and Sherlock Gnomes doesn’t have the marketing machine of Disney. Playing in 3662 theaters, Sherlock Gnomes may track down $15 million.

As a male-targeted action film, Tomb Raider [TOMB3] is likely to tumble more than 50% in its second weekend to $11.5 million.

Connecting with MercyMe fans, I Can Only Imagine [ICOIM] outperformed expectations and looks to hold strong. A 40% decline would bring in $10 million.

Paul, Apostle of Christ [PAOCH] could be a victim of I Can Only Imagine’s success as they compete for the same faith-based audience. Sony is opening the PG-13 rated Bible epic in just 1473 theaters. Paul, Apostle of Christ may summon $7.0 million.

Bella Thorne [BTHOR] and Patrick Schwarzenegger couple up for Midnight Sun [MDNTS] from Open Road. The PG-13 rated romance will only interest teen girls. Performing in 2200 theaters, Midnight Sun could earn $4.5 million.

Claire Foy [CFOY] stars in the R-rated horror Unsane [UNSAN], whose sole selling point is that director Steven Soderbergh [SSODE] shot it on an iPhone. Bleecker Street has built little awareness. Unsane may commit $3 million from 2023 locations.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PACR2, JBOYE, SEAST, GNOM2, EBLUN, JMCAV, JDEPP, TOMB3, ICOIM, PAOCH, BTHOR, MDNTS, CFOY, UNSAN, SSODE

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, March 22, 2018 @ 02:25 PM 1526 views

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Thandiwe Newton (TNEWT) 100 90.36 (0.00)          Tim Blake Nelson (TBNEL) 100 43.97 (0.00)          Sigourney Weaver (SWEAV) 60 91.39 (0.00)          Stephen Lang (SLANG) 100 63.22 (0.00)          Regina Hall (RHALL) 100 34.78 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 120000 437.88 (-1.28)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 437.88 (-1.28)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 150000 4.00 (+0.28)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 437.88 (-1.28)          Belly of the Beast (BELYB) 150000 4.84 (+0.27)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 150000 4.00 (+0.28)          Babies (BBIES) 20000 12.66 (-0.99)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 10.40 (+0.88)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.80 (+0.99)          Mira Sorvino (MSORV) 10 31.73 (-0.12)          Melania (MLNIA) 150000 1.47 (-0.02)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 11.32 (+0.68)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.80 (+0.99)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.80 (+0.99)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 4665 39.31 (0.00)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 10.40 (+0.88)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 10.40 (+0.88)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.03 (-0.29)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.03 (-0.29)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.11 (+0.40)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 24999 0.69 (-0.03)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.11 (+0.40)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.60 (-0.40)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.60 (-0.40)          Maika Monroe (MMONR) 25000 18.25 (-0.10)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 4395 39.31 (0.00)          Josh Safdie (JSAFD) 100 21.75 (0.00)          Magic: The Gathering (MGCTG) 150000 51.01 (+0.20)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.03 (-0.29)          Peaked (PEAKD) 5000 8.03 (-0.29)          Eleven Days (11DAY) 149999 14.06 (+0.88)          David (DAVID) 25000 73.05 (-0.77)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 35000 110.74 (-1.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 25000 437.88 (-1.28)          Johnny Flynn (JFLYN) 50 4.47 (0.00)          The Drama (TDRAM) 149999 19.72 (-0.08)          The Moment (MOMNT) 149999 11.32 (+0.68)          JUJUTSU KAISEN: Execution (JJTK3) 1 14.82 (0.00)          Jemaine Clement (JCLEM) 50 132.31 (+0.33)          Jason Clarke (JCLAR) 100 64.85 (-0.25)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 10 10.40 (+0.88)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 10 5.80 (+0.99)          Marty Supreme H$10 Put (MRTSU.PU) 24999 1.57 (+0.01)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 149999 437.88 (-1.28)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 149999 437.88 (-1.28)