SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Contagion looks to catch on at the box office.

The fall movie season commences with an all star cast populating the thriller Contagion [CONTG]. Audiences love disaster films about the end of humanity and one about a global pandemic of an unstoppable deadly virus should prove infectious with all demographics. The combined starpower of Matt Damon [MDAMO], Gwyneth Paltrow [GPALT], Jude Law [JLAW], Kate Winslet [KWINS] as well as director Steven Soderbergh [SSODE] should attract moviegoers looking for a quality film. Warner Bros. has effectively built up awareness and interest in the PG-13 rated film. Spreading into 3222 theaters, Contagion could claim about $22 million.

Tom Hardy [THARD] and Joel Edgerton [JEDGE] play brothers competing as MMA fighters in the PG-13 rated Warrior [WARIR]. The underdog sports drama has earned great reviews and Liongate sneaked the film last Sunday to generate buzz. However, Warrior remains a movie about  fighting and is unlikely to crossover outside the male crowd, at least not opening weekend. 2008’s Never Back Down bowed to $8.6 million, while 2009’s Fighting with Channing Tatum opened to $11 million. Warrior looks to do about the same business and punch out $11 million from 1869 locations.

Despite new competition from Contagion, the word of mouth hit The Help should still be able to earn another $10 million in its fifth weekend at the box office.

The Debt [TDEBT] outperformed expectations in its debut. Bringing out older adult moviegoers, the spy thriller should decline around 40% to $6 million.

Friend of Adam Sandler, Nick Swardson [NSWAR] stars in first lead role in Bucky Larson: Born to be a Star [BTBAS]. The R-rated comedy is unlikely to attract anyone but the hardcore young male fans of Happy Madison productions. The trailers and ad spots are more annoying than actually funny. Delayed for over a year and unspooling in just 1500 theaters, Bucky Larson may score just $3 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): CONTG, MDAMO, GPALT, JLAW, KWINS, SSODE, THARD, JEDGE, WARIR, TDEBT, NSWAR, BTBAS

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, September 8, 2011 @ 03:37 PM 3059 views

Recent Comments

Electricbassguy
Sunday, September 11 at 03:47 AM Pacific
$3m total at best for BTBAS. Who are the clowns who haven't shorted this load of Sandler?


twitter

@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!


The Talisman will now be adapted into a Netflix series       Bros gets August 12, 2022 release date        The Raid remake is back at Sony with director Patrick Hughes and Frank Grillo       Saban Films to release City of Lies starring Johnny Depp in theaters on March 19th https://t.co/Ymlj6BO664       First Look at The Last Son starring Thomas Jane https://t.co/zPIz7ugX16       Infinite has pushed back its release date to September 24, 2021       A Quiet Place Part II moves its release date back up to May 28, 2021 https://t.co/zxrQclmVfx       Whisper Numbers: #RayaAndTheLastDragon to breathe new life into theaters. #HSX #BoxOffice Forecasts…       Kalinda Vazquez to write an original Star Trek movie        Trailer for The Banishing, premiering April 15th on Shudder https://t.co/CVsw2gprH9      
Hunger Games: The Ballad of Song (HGAM5) 150000 73.57 (-0.50)         Hunger Games: The Ballad of Song (HGAM5) 100000 73.57 (-0.50)         Raya and the Last Dragon (RAYAD) 150000 45.83 (-0.77)         Raya and the Last Dragon (RAYAD) 150000 45.83 (-0.77)         The Last Son of Isaac LeMay (LSOIL) 150000 5.86 (-0.08)         Doctor Strange in the Multiverse (DRST2) 300 161.45 (+0.01)         Cryptozoo (CRPTZ) 149999 1.64 (+0.26)         Cryptozoo (CRPTZ) 150000 1.64 (+0.26)         Master (MSTER) 149999 2.07 (+0.47)         Master (MSTER) 150000 2.07 (+0.47)         The Whale (TWHLE) 149999 12.96 (+0.94)         The Whale (TWHLE) 150000 12.96 (+0.94)         The Boss Baby: Family Business (BOSS2) 149999 60.99 (+1.72)         The Boss Baby: Family Business (BOSS2) 150000 60.99 (+1.72)         The Last Son of Isaac LeMay (LSOIL) 75001 5.86 (-0.08)         The Raid (RAID1) 1 4.12 (+0.13)         The Raid (RAID1) 150000 4.12 (+0.13)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 5000 145.50 (-0.24)         Peter Rabbit 2: The Runaway (PRAB2) 12500 43.13 (-0.06)         F9: The Fast Saga aka Fast 9 (FAST9) 6250 169.75 (-0.13)         The Boss Baby: Family Business (BOSS2) 50000 60.99 (+1.72)         Cryptozoo (CRPTZ) 150000 1.64 (+0.26)         The Boss Baby: Family Business (BOSS2) 150000 60.99 (+1.72)         Cryptozoo (CRPTZ) 150000 1.64 (+0.26)         Boogie (BOOGE) 10000 4.75 (-0.11)         Am I Ok? (AMIOK) 25000 3.75 (-0.25)         Master (MSTER) 150000 2.07 (+0.47)         Master (MSTER) 150000 2.07 (+0.47)         Where The Crawdads Sing (WTCDS) 20000 17.14 (-0.46)         Those Who Wish Me Dead (TWWMD) 4 11.57 (-0.04)         The Whale (TWHLE) 4999 12.96 (+0.94)         Separation (SEPRT) 55000 7.42 (-0.32)         The Forever Purge (PURG5) 3000 23.79 (-0.51)         The Forever Purge (PURG5) 9999 23.79 (-0.51)         Raya and the Last Dragon (RAYAD) 200 45.83 (-0.77)         Raya and the Last Dragon (RAYAD) 8000 45.83 (-0.77)         Raya and the Last Dragon (RAYAD) 7500 45.83 (-0.77)         A Quiet Place Part II (AQPL2) 3000 112.68 (-0.01)         Dune (DUNE) 600 79.16 (+0.19)         Dune (DUNE) 100 79.16 (+0.19)         Master (MSTER) 30000 2.07 (+0.47)         Master (MSTER) 90000 2.07 (+0.47)         Master (MSTER) 30000 2.07 (+0.47)         Deep Water (DEPWT) 5000 24.91 (+0.43)         Deep Water (DEPWT) 10000 24.91 (+0.43)         Deep Water (DEPWT) 5000 24.91 (+0.43)         The Whale (TWHLE) 30000 12.96 (+0.94)         The Whale (TWHLE) 4999 12.96 (+0.94)         The Whale (TWHLE) 20000 12.96 (+0.94)         The Boss Baby: Family Business (BOSS2) 7000 60.99 (+1.72)