SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Deadpool sizes up the long weekend

For over a decade, Hollywood has been trying to make Ryan Reynolds [RREYN] happen, and now, Deadpool [DEADP] will finally make him a star. He first played the character in 2009’s X-Men Origins: Wolverine. However, that bastardized, PG-13 rated version bare little resemblance to the foul-mouthed superhero found in his Marvel Comics. Fan reaction to a leaked concept trailer finally convinced Fox to produce the R-rated superhero movie. Deadpool has long been a fan-favorite as seen in the numerous cosplays at conventions. Early reactions to the film have been phenomenal and lighting up social media. Advance ticket sales are pacing ahead of Antman’s $57.2 million 3-day debut. The merc with a mouth should get a boost from the long holiday weekend that includes Valentines’ Day on Sunday. Breaking into 3558 theaters, Deadpool may load up $76 million over the 4-day weekend.

Nearly 15 years after Zoolander became a cult hit, Ben Stiller [BSTIL] finally makes the sequel Zoolander 2 [ZOOL2] along with Owen Wilson [OWILS] and Will Ferrell [WFERR]. Paramount hopes the PG-13 rated comedy appeal to nostalgic fans in the same way manner as Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues. However, reviews have not been kind, and young millennials are more likely to check out Deadpool. Hitting 3394 theaters, Zoolander 2 may nab $26 million over the long President's Day weekend.

The R-rated comedy How to be Single [HTBSN] targets young women, some of whom New Line hope will drag their boyfriends for Valentine’s Day. Dakota Johnson [DJOHN] and Rebel Wilson [WBWIL] star in what looks like a cruder version of Sex and the City. How to be Single may notch $19 million from 3343 theaters.

Even with a lack of competition. Kung Fu Panda 3 [PAND3] fell nearly 50% in its second weekend. The holiday weekend looks to bring in another $15 million.

Despite the starpower, Hail, Caesar! [HAILC] didn’t meet audience expectations and received a lowly CinemaScore of C-. The black comedy could salvage $8 million over the long weekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RREYN, DEADP, BSTIL, ZOOL2, OWILS, WFERR, HTBSN, DJOHN, PAND3, HAILC

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, February 11, 2016 @ 04:05 PM 2444 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.


twitter

@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!


First Look teaser for #GodzillavsKong in theaters and on HBO Max on March 26 https://t.co/cV2noBCAPe       Matt Damon will be joining Thor: Love and Thunder        First Look at The Hitman's Wife's Bodyguard https://t.co/sy4NGVA3O9       Box Score: The Marksman knocks off Wonder Woman 1984 at the weekend #BoxOffice https://t.co/944uv6C3Hl       Rob Brydon, Shabana Azmi and Sajal Ali join What’s Love Got To Do With It?       #GodzillavsKong moved up its release date to March 26 https://t.co/4LzFVBCm2Z       New trailer for Music starring Kate Hudson https://t.co/JqdG2kuPUg       First Look at #MortalKombat https://t.co/EMTxDotUjy       Robert De Niro, Mike Myers, Timothy Olyphant, Michael Shannon, Chris Rock, Anya Taylor-Joy, Andrea Riseborough, Mat…       Whisper Numbers: The Marksman sets sight on Wonder Woman 1984. #HSX #BoxOffice weekend forecast…      
Keegan-Michael Key (KMKEY) 25000 142.82 (+1.00)         Spider-Man: Homecoming 3 (SPID8) 1 277.27 (-0.33)         Glen Powell (GPOWE) 25000 86.24 (+1.25)         Billy Crystal (BCRYS) 25000 97.25 (+0.45)         Glen Powell (GPOWE) 25000 86.24 (+1.25)         Billy Crystal (BCRYS) 20000 97.25 (+0.45)         Rebecca Ferguson (RFERG) 25000 86.36 (-0.20)         Ben Affleck (BAFFL) 25000 74.19 (+1.25)         Infinite (INFIN) 10000 37.47 (-0.08)         Ben Affleck (BAFFL) 25000 74.19 (+1.25)         CW: Walker (WALKER) 25000 9.91 (+0.08)         ABC: Big Sky (BIGSKY) 10000 14.74 (+0.10)         Patty Jenkins (PJENK) 25000 85.07 (+1.49)         Patty Jenkins (PJENK) 25000 85.07 (+1.49)         The Animal Fund (ZOO) 10000 76.83 (+0.02)         Common (COMMN) 20000 13.30 (-0.04)         Free Guy (FREEG) 2000 97.37 (-0.41)         Jeremy Piven (JPIVE) 25000 12.88 (+0.05)         James Mangold (JMANG) 20000 137.83 (+0.26)         Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (SNWHT) 100 120.59 (+0.11)         Lesley Manville (LMANV) 20000 32.56 (-0.08)         After Ever Happy (AFTR4) 1000 5.15 (+1.01)         Scoot McNairy (SMCNA) 20000 90.32 (+0.20)         Michael Pena (MPENA) 930 79.85 (0.00)         Tim Story (TSTOR) 930 58.95 (0.00)         Samaritan (SAMTN) 25000 22.19 (-1.26)         Angelina Jolie (AJOLI) 20000 103.21 (-0.29)         The Color Purple (TCPRP) 25000 26.81 (-1.47)         Rebecca Ferguson (RFERG) 20000 86.36 (-0.20)         Rebecca Ferguson (RFERG) 25000 86.36 (-0.20)         Aaron Taylor-Johnson (AJOHN) 831 96.78 (-0.25)         Avatar 2 (AVAT2) 10000 367.03 (-0.30)         Jodie Turner-Smith (JTSMI) 19233 19.99 (-0.07)         The Little Mermaid - Disney (TLMER) 40126 212.48 (+0.20)         A Quiet Place 3 aka A Quiet Worl (AQPL3) 150000 58.03 (-0.25)         Cillian Murphy (CMURP) 970 46.56 (0.00)         Top Gun: Maverick (TOPG2) 99 139.66 (-0.55)         The Color Purple (TCPRP) 10000 26.81 (-1.47)         After Ever Happy (AFTR4) 10000 5.15 (+1.01)         A Problem Of Providence (APROP) 10000 2.74 (-0.01)         Bios (BIOS) 3 31.54 (-0.02)         Transformers: Cybertron prequel (TFCYB) 12500 26.88 (-0.10)         Top Gun: Maverick (TOPG2) 439 139.66 (-0.55)         Chungking Express 2020 (CKXP2) 27500 1.88 (+0.01)         Judas And The Black Messiah (JWMHB) 25000 11.44 (+1.44)         Playboy (HUHEF) 6042 1.64 (+0.02)         Now You See Me 3 (NYSM3) 25000 13.21 (+1.07)         After Ever Happy (AFTR4) 30000 5.15 (+1.01)         Gold (GOLD1) 30000 4.34 (-0.44)         Luck (LUCK) 150000 19.98 (+0.14)