HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

You have to remember that stocks of movies that are opening soon always have a lot of movement up OR down the week of opening...

Posted by: Flash on Feb 04, 08:18 in response to horrorfanatic's post sigh, im down 365k on lego.ow, why? because its supposed...

Remembe that prices are market driven, and sometimes these stocks also get "daytraded" where some players "play" the players here.

You have to go with your "gut" sometimes and decide "will this movie do well at the box office?"  "Will it NOT do well?"  What is the "buzz" on the movie? Stars? There are many factors that determine if a movie will do well sometimes...other times maybe the story just grabs people and they want to see it, even though critics and others think a movie is terrible.

IF you really feel a movie will do well, and adjust up from it's stock price, then hang on to it, and see what happens when it opens.  IF you think it won't make the price, then you can always sell it off, or short it and make money when it doesn't do well.

Don't forget to factor in commissions when you buy, sell, or short an opener.  Sometimes, I've changed my mind on an opener, and sold it off, and shorted it cause I didn't think it would make it's adjust price.  Sometimes I've been wrong in doing that..other times I've been right.

After all these years of playing, I'm still only about 50/50 or 60/40 in picking an opener correctly... but it's still one of the most fun aspects of playing the game for me.

Just remember to repeat this often:  "It's only play money, it's only play money!" 





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Moana - Opening Weekend (MOAN1.OW) 100000 101.08 (-0.21)          Moana H$100 Put (MOAN1.PU) 25000 1.62 (0.00)          Moana H$100 Call (MOAN1.CA) 25000 2.90 (+0.31)          Evil Dead Burn H$20 Put (EVLD6.PU) 25000 1.58 (-0.16)          Cut Off (CUTOF) 150000 26.02 (-2.13)          Cut Off (CUTOF) 150000 26.02 (-2.13)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 42.40 (-3.29)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 42.40 (-3.29)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 50000 5.00 (0.00)          Moana H$100 Call (MOAN1.CA) 25000 2.90 (+0.31)          Moana H$100 Put (MOAN1.PU) 25000 1.62 (0.00)          Evil Dead Burn H$20 Put (EVLD6.PU) 25000 1.58 (-0.16)          Evil Dead Burn H$20 Call (EVLD6.CA) 25000 3.06 (+0.28)          Goblin (GBLIN) 30000 19.63 (+0.05)          Ariana Grande (AGRAN) 5000 172.72 (-0.60)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 100000 124.58 (-4.80)          Skyler Gisondo (SGISO) 10000 84.22 (+0.10)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 8.38 (+0.20)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 124.58 (-4.80)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 5000 5.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 10000 61.96 (+1.45)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 124.58 (-4.80)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 16.68 (-0.02)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 16000 270.86 (-2.68)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 50000 42.40 (-3.29)          Jon Erwin (ERWIN) 25000 29.40 (-0.50)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Goblin (GBLIN) 150000 19.63 (+0.05)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 42.40 (-3.29)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 42.40 (-3.29)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 77348 124.58 (-4.80)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 124.58 (-4.80)          Jon Erwin (ERWIN) 25000 29.40 (-0.50)          Matthias Schoenaerts (MSCHO) 25000 31.99 (-1.12)          Matthias Schoenaerts (MSCHO) 25000 31.99 (-1.12)          Steven Spielberg (SSPIE) 25000 38.95 (-0.50)          Steven Spielberg (SSPIE) 25000 38.95 (-0.50)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 9.89 (-0.11)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Colin Jost (CJOST) 25000 34.01 (-1.12)          Colin Jost (CJOST) 25000 34.01 (-1.12)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 40000 124.58 (-4.80)          Hercules (HRCUL) 9000 16.20 (+0.01)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 10000 124.58 (-4.80)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 124.58 (-4.80)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 124.58 (-4.80)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 8037 124.58 (-4.80)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 4.49 (-0.66)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 4.49 (-0.66)