HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

You have to remember that stocks of movies that are opening soon always have a lot of movement up OR down the week of opening...

Posted by: Flash on Feb 04, 08:18 in response to horrorfanatic's post sigh, im down 365k on lego.ow, why? because its supposed...

Remembe that prices are market driven, and sometimes these stocks also get "daytraded" where some players "play" the players here.

You have to go with your "gut" sometimes and decide "will this movie do well at the box office?"  "Will it NOT do well?"  What is the "buzz" on the movie? Stars? There are many factors that determine if a movie will do well sometimes...other times maybe the story just grabs people and they want to see it, even though critics and others think a movie is terrible.

IF you really feel a movie will do well, and adjust up from it's stock price, then hang on to it, and see what happens when it opens.  IF you think it won't make the price, then you can always sell it off, or short it and make money when it doesn't do well.

Don't forget to factor in commissions when you buy, sell, or short an opener.  Sometimes, I've changed my mind on an opener, and sold it off, and shorted it cause I didn't think it would make it's adjust price.  Sometimes I've been wrong in doing that..other times I've been right.

After all these years of playing, I'm still only about 50/50 or 60/40 in picking an opener correctly... but it's still one of the most fun aspects of playing the game for me.

Just remember to repeat this often:  "It's only play money, it's only play money!" 





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Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Bride! - Opening Weekend (BRIDE.OW) 100000 16.30 (+2.97)          The Bride! - Opening Weekend (BRIDE.OW) 100000 16.30 (+2.97)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come - Op (RONO2.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 41.40 (+1.87)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 41.40 (+1.87)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Hoppers H$50 Put (HOPPR.PU) 25000 2.61 (+0.86)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 79000 70.00 (0.00)          Hoppers - Opening Weekend (HOPPR.OW) 100000 50.94 (-2.29)          Hoppers H$50 Call (HOPPR.CA) 25000 2.68 (-1.28)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 150000 148.25 (-2.45)          Underland (UNDRL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Rose (ROSE) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Underland (UNDRL) 140000 1.00 (0.00)          Hexed (HEXED) 5000 104.21 (-0.24)          Hexed (HEXED) 5000 104.21 (-0.24)          Rose (ROSE) 140000 2.00 (0.00)          Star Trek (TREK4) 150000 24.01 (+0.02)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 10000 20.69 (-0.03)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 101.28 (-0.40)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 3.27 (-0.62)          Kodi Smit-McPhee (KSMCP) 25000 90.07 (+0.50)          The Young People (TYPEP) 150000 15.95 (+0.04)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 3.27 (-0.62)          Jack Ryan (RYAN1) 150000 26.66 (-0.88)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 145000 52.10 (-0.93)          King Snake (KSNAK) 10000 13.44 (-0.03)          Tow (TOW) 150000 3.10 (-0.41)          The Conjuring: First Communion (CNJU5) 1000 89.72 (-0.46)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 146000 52.10 (-0.93)          Killing Satoshi (KSATO) 10000 15.04 (-0.02)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 70.00 (0.00)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 10000 3.27 (-0.62)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 10000 3.27 (-0.62)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 10000 52.10 (-0.93)          Rose (ROSE) 100000 2.00 (0.00)          Pressure (PRSUR) 10000 18.65 (-0.03)          Pressure (PRSUR) 10000 18.65 (-0.03)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 150000 52.10 (-0.93)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 150000 52.10 (-0.93)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 25000 52.10 (-0.93)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Leonardo DiCaprio (LDCAP) 100 119.31 (0.00)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 41.40 (+1.87)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 41.40 (+1.87)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)