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The Week in Review/The Week Ahead: The Universal Fund [UNIVX], Episode 24

Posted by: UNIVX (a.k.a UNIVXFund) on Mar 04, 10:20

We were up 4.1% last week (Saturday close-Saturday close).  Most of that was a result of Pacific Rim 2 taking a bounce on the news of Steven S. DeKnight picking up the director's reins, thereby signaling that the sequel is indeed getting made after all, though obviously not with del Toro at the helm.  And that's really it.  There's been more varied sources for the fund's increases this week, but that will be reported in 2-3 days when I post about this week.

So let's simply move ahead with looks at the next 3 Universal properties.

 

The Young Messiah

I'm circling back to highlight this film, which opens wide next week on March 11th.  It's a Focus release, but for some reason I hadn't had it in the portfolio until this week.  I think perhaps there had been some confusion (at least on my end) whether Focus was indeed going to release it or if it was going to be handled by a different distributor.  In any case, it's with Focus now.

The Young Messiah is based on the Anne Rice novel Christ the Lord: Out of Egypt and explores Jesus' childhood, featuring a central performance by Sean Bean in the role of Roman soldier Severus.  I have no idea how this will land with audiences, and so I can't really recommend it as a buy.  It doesn't look particularly good to me; the real question in my mind is then whether or not it will draw the religious crowds.  The best place I can look for comparison is the recently released Risen, which is currently on track to do $30-31.  If The Young Messiah duplicates, there's still some room left in its current trading price for some profits, and so the fund is playing it long for the time being.

 

Dambusters

A penny stock about an Allied air raid on three German dams circa 1954.  Had an IPO way back in 2006, and was intended to be the directorial debut of Christian Rivers (an AD & visual effects supervisor for Peter Jackson) with Jackson producing.  The last news we had on it was back in 2013; it's basically dead in the water and no longer even has an in-development credit at imdb.

 

Delirium

A haunted mansion movie courtesy of Blumhouse, starring Topher Grace, Genesis Rodriguez, and Patricia Clarkson.  It was scheduled for release on April 1st, then September 30th, and a couple of days ago it lost its date again.  It's currently trading for a couple of bucks, so it's a pretty cheap investment.  The question here is whether or not Blumhouse is going to finally find a release date and stick with it, or decide to dump it on VOD as they've done with some of their output.  It could go either way at this point, but it's not a huge investment, and there's probably not very much downside as long as anyone who buys it watches news items and dumps it within a day or so if it does indeed forego theatrical.  The upside is probably somewhere around $10-30 range if it doesn't.

 

So that catches us up.  Universal's next release is London Has Fallen, which opens wide today.


Tag(s): UNIVX





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The Little Mermaid (TLMRD) 20000 3.25 (+0.60)         Child's Play (CHLDP) 30000 30.87 (+2.35)         Rob Riggle (RRIGG) 20000 31.18 (+0.08)         The Little Mermaid (TLMRD) 20000 3.25 (+0.60)         Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 (GOTG3) 2500 215.27 (-0.92)         Scooby aka S.C.O.O.B. (SCOBY) 100000 17.89 (+0.12)         All About Nina (ANINA) 100000 1.09 (+0.10)         Kumail Nanjiani (KNANJ) 20000 39.41 (-0.24)         All About Nina (ANINA) 100000 1.09 (+0.10)         Rainn Wilson (RAWIL) 10000 13.96 (+0.17)         Katie Holmes (KHOLM) 20000 21.75 (0.00)         All About Nina (ANINA) 99998 1.09 (+0.10)         All About Nina (ANINA) 100000 1.09 (+0.10)         Flarsky (FLRSK) 6255 31.57 (+0.04)         All About Nina (ANINA) 100000 1.09 (+0.10)         Allison Janney (AJANN) 20000 92.67 (-0.20)         Ethan Hawke (EHAWK) 20000 24.58 (-0.16)         Rainn Wilson (RAWIL) 20000 13.96 (+0.17)         Rainn Wilson (RAWIL) 20000 13.96 (+0.17)         Aladdin (ALADN) 10000 293.11 (-0.77)         Crazy Rich Asians H$15 Call (CRASN.CA) 20000 4.09 (+0.14)         Crazy Rich Asians - Opening Week (CRASN.OW) 100000 20.11 (+0.49)         Uncut Gems (UNCUT) 100000 6.74 (+0.10)         Crazy Rich Asians (CRASN) 100000 66.18 (+4.63)         Nicolas Cage (NCAGE) 20000 29.90 (-0.48)         Anne Hathaway (AHATH) 20000 61.53 (-0.26)         Anne Hathaway (AHATH) 20000 61.53 (-0.26)         Henry Golding (HGOLD) 20000 25.00 (0.00)         Queen & Slim (QNSLM) 100000 22.30 (-1.35)         White Boy Rick (WBRIC) 100000 19.98 (-1.37)         Queen & Slim (QNSLM) 100000 22.30 (-1.35)         White Boy Rick (WBRIC) 100000 19.98 (-1.37)         Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 100000 90.49 (-1.89)         Common (COMMN) 20000 81.67 (-0.19)         Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 100000 90.49 (-1.89)         Common (COMMN) 20000 81.67 (-0.19)         The Wedding Guest (TWEDG) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         The Meg (MEG) 100000 106.50 (+1.80)         The Meg (MEG) 100000 106.50 (+1.80)         Ron's Gone Wrong (RONGW) 100000 59.90 (+5.73)         Ron's Gone Wrong (RONGW) 100000 59.90 (+5.73)         Child's Play (CHLDP) 20000 30.87 (+2.35)         The Wedding Guest (TWEDG) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Family Guy Movie (FMGUY) 100000 13.18 (+0.82)         Rainn Wilson (RAWIL) 9000 13.96 (+0.17)         Will Patton (WPATT) 20000 9.25 (+0.08)         Judy Greer (JGREE) 20000 69.81 (+0.26)         Judy Greer (JGREE) 20000 69.81 (+0.26)         Child's Play (CHLDP) 66558 30.87 (+2.35)         Child's Play (CHLDP) 100000 30.87 (+2.35)