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Advice on Cap3 if you can spare the cash until delist
Short it now.
Age of Ultron delisted at H$411.37 (2.15*OW)
Winter Soldier would have delisted at about 2.42*OW if it had a 4-day weekend for it's 4th weekend like Ultron and Cap3.
Cap3 will open much smaller than ultron (175-180) so even with significantly better legs I don't think it'll delist above 435 (2.4*180)
Which gives you at least H$7 million in 26 days, that's H$270k per day.
Advice on Cap3 if you can spare the cash until delist May 06, 22:24
i would be careffull with that strategy May 07, 00:17
Though CAPA2 was also a great action flick with a Cinemascore of A and an RT score of 88 (vs 91 for CAPA3) {nm} May 07, 09:50
yup...even worse, I think the first Avengers, Iron Man and Thor were delist shorts as well...unless my math is wrong... May 08, 00:21
I think you're using final multipliers instead of delist multiplers. May 08, 08:56
Where do you get 70 more from? that would be and OW over 200. {nm} May 07, 16:51
Yes, Boxofficemojo was predicting it doing 210. {nm} May 08, 10:41
That was back on Thurs. You posted Friday afternoon - big changes can happen to movies in that period. {nm} May 08, 11:46
oops - you posted Sat. based on Thurs and Friday box office it wasn't going to do that anymore. {nm} May 08, 11:49
only on HSX is the 5th best domestic opening considered "not awesome" {nm} May 08, 11:53
Very similar daily path as Iron Man 3 after removing Thursday previews. I'll be surprised with a multiplier over 2.6 May 09, 14:57
Weekend #2 coming in around 72m May 14, 00:23
Comes out to 348k per day holding short from today to delist. {nm} May 14, 00:24