Playing & Trading Strategy

Advice on Cap3 if you can spare the cash until delist MattW May 06, 22:24

i would be careffull with that strategy JMT-NL May 07, 00:17

Though CAPA2 was also a great action flick with a Cinemascore of A and an RT score of 88 (vs 91 for CAPA3) {nm} RogerMore May 07, 09:50

History is against you. The last super hero movie to open in May and delist above 2.7 was the 1st Avengers in 2012. Only 3 movies from Iron JDolphin May 07, 19:59

yup...even worse, I think the first Avengers, Iron Man and Thor were delist shorts as well...unless my math is wrong... tealfan May 08, 00:21

I think you're using final multipliers instead of delist multiplers. warcraft86 May 08, 08:56

Your right so the multipliers are worse. Sorry the data is from the Google Docs spreadsheet posted here earlier, I forgot it was final gross {nm} JDolphin May 08, 09:38

Considering it's probably going to go up another $70 with the adjust Sunday, that seems like a sure money-loser. Short it after the adjust. {nm} FranklynStreet May 07, 12:54

Where do you get 70 more from? that would be and OW over 200. JDolphin May 07, 16:51

Yes, Boxofficemojo was predicting it doing 210. {nm} FranklynStreet May 08, 10:41

That was back on Thurs. You posted Friday afternoon - big changes can happen to movies in that period. {nm} JDolphin May 08, 11:46

oops - you posted Sat. based on Thurs and Friday box office it wasn't going to do that anymore. {nm} JDolphin May 08, 11:49

only on HSX is the 5th best domestic opening considered "not awesome" {nm} john May 08, 11:53

Very similar daily path as Iron Man 3 after removing Thursday previews. I'll be surprised with a multiplier over 2.6 MattW May 09, 14:57

Weekend #2 coming in around 72m MattW May 14, 00:23

Comes out to 348k per day holding short from today to delist. {nm} MattW May 14, 00:24