HSX Forum

Movies

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}

Posted by: secretstalker (a.k.a TheWeekendWarrior) on May 01, 18:48 in response to secretstalker's post RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high...


Tag(s): BRDSM, PIRT4, HNOV2, PAND2

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm} secretstalker May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day secretstalker May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test. Facto May 01, 18:58

But it's surely... second gary May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm} Facto May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question. second gary May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm} Facto May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm} ty97 May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm} secretstalker May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm} ty97 May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm} Facto May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm} secretstalker May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm} Facto May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm} Rolling_Thunder May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm} notfabio May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm} notfabio May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm} Rolling_Thunder May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-) Facto May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm} secretstalker May 01, 18:59

irony, right? Facto May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm} Facto May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm} islander May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm} Facto May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm} notfabio May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double. Facto May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm} Facto May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil Facto May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm} islander May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm} Facto May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking jane_citizen May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful jane_citizen May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance? Facto May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button jane_citizen May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm} dsbman May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm} secretstalker May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm} Facto May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm} Rolling_Thunder May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm} secretstalker May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points? Facto May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm} BionicMoron May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit Facto May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm} Facto May 01, 23:24

agreed jane_citizen May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping. PVL Admin May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm} Facto May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america.. b4bad May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm} PVL Admin May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm} xiayun May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk... Facto May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role osmosis2003 May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm} Facto May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars, Facto May 02, 00:58





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Trailer for Triumph - in theaters on April 30th       First trailer for #12MightyOrphans starring Luke Wilson https://t.co/UB7dY7JW6V       Pilou Asbaek joins Aquaman 2       New redband trailer for Hitman's Wife's Bodyguard https://t.co/aYXhnObBIn       U.S. trailer for Riders of Justice starring Mads Mikkelsen https://t.co/JLHhjhULOM       Mads Mikkelsen is set to join Indiana Jones 5        U.S. trailer for The Dry starring Eric Bana https://t.co/7UfricvDne       Opening This Week: #IntheEarth https://t.co/yx0k3RgVEI       Sony to release Here Today in theaters on May 7th https://t.co/JhNCN476li       STX to distribute Universe’s Most Wanted starring Dave Bautista       
In The Earth (NERTH) 150000 3.27 (+0.72)         In The Earth (NERTH) 150000 3.27 (+0.72)         Bag Man (BAGMN) 150000 12.89 (+1.45)         Bag Man (BAGMN) 150000 12.89 (+1.45)         God Is A Bullet (GODAB) 150000 8.16 (-0.62)         God Is A Bullet (GODAB) 150000 8.16 (-0.62)         In The Earth (NERTH) 100 3.27 (+0.72)         12 Mighty Orphans (12MOR) 2000 5.61 (-0.41)         12 Mighty Orphans (12MOR) 2000 5.61 (-0.41)         Army of the Dead (ARMYD) 47019 0.25 (0.00)         Army of the Dead (ARMYD) 6000 0.25 (0.00)         Summertime (SUMRT) 150000 1.86 (+0.35)         Here Today (HTODA) 100000 6.73 (+0.90)         Here Today (HTODA) 150000 6.73 (+0.90)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 4999 122.44 (+0.27)         Black Adam (BADAM) 15000 140.66 (+0.25)         Bag Man (BAGMN) 1 12.89 (+1.45)         Bag Man (BAGMN) 15000 12.89 (+1.45)         Where is Anne Frank (ANNFR) 100000 0.05 (0.00)         Where is Anne Frank (ANNFR) 150000 0.05 (0.00)         Ballers (BALLR) 150000 0.04 (+0.03)         Friday Night Lights (FRIN2) 150000 14.63 (+0.42)         Friday Night Lights (FRIN2) 150000 14.63 (+0.42)         Shadow Force (SHDWF) 150000 13.26 (+0.37)         Shadow Force (SHDWF) 150000 13.26 (+0.37)         Ballers (BALLR) 100000 0.04 (+0.03)         The Down Under Fund (AUSIE) 20000 60.94 (-0.02)         The Meg 2 (TMEG2) 100000 40.59 (-0.08)         Tony Leung Chiu-wai (TLEUN) 20000 13.41 (-0.09)         Dungeons & Dragons (DNDGN) 100000 50.54 (-0.04)         Animal Farm (AFARM) 100000 0.02 (-0.01)         Uptown Saturday Night (USATN) 100000 8.15 (-0.03)         Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 0.02 (-0.01)         Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 0.02 (-0.01)         Bag Man (BAGMN) 15000 12.89 (+1.45)         Summertime (SUMRT) 1 1.86 (+0.35)         Summertime (SUMRT) 30000 1.86 (+0.35)         Holland, Michigan (HOLMI) 150000 0.03 (+0.02)         The Dry (THDRY) 26733 0.58 (+0.01)         Holland, Michigan (HOLMI) 100000 0.03 (+0.02)         RZA (RZA) 20810 6.99 (-0.01)         Shotgun Wedding (SHWED) 5000 22.57 (-0.02)         He’s All That (HEALT) 95 9.66 (-0.03)         Van Helsing (VANHL) 5000 10.85 (-0.01)         The Batman (TBATM) 900 227.77 (+0.50)         Tom Holland (TOHOL) 25000 52.30 (+0.30)         Here Today (HTODA) 1 6.73 (+0.90)         Inferno (IFRNO) 14000 10.58 (-0.05)         Here Today (HTODA) 25000 6.73 (+0.90)         Summertime (SUMRT) 30000 1.86 (+0.35)