HSX Forums: Movies Board






Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}

Posted by: Facto on May 01, 18:56 in response to secretstalker's post Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that.

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test.   Facto on May 01, 18:58

But it's surely...   second gary on May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question.   second gary on May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm}   Facto on May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm}   ty97 on May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-)   Facto on May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 18:59

irony, right?   Facto on May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm}   islander on May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm}   notfabio on May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double.   Facto on May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil   Facto on May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm}   islander on May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance?   Facto on May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button   jane_citizen on May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm}   dsbman on May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm}   Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm}   secretstalker on May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points?   Facto on May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm}   BionicMoron on May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit   Facto on May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm}   Facto on May 01, 23:24

agreed   jane_citizen on May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.   PVL Admin on May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm}   Facto on May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america..   b4bad on May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm}   PVL Admin on May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm}   xiayun on May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk...    Facto on May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role    osmosis2003 on May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm}   Facto on May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars,   Facto on May 02, 00:58





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Florence Pugh (FPUGH) 20000 19.44 (-0.05)         Blake Lively (BLIVE) 20000 32.78 (0.00)         Florence Pugh (FPUGH) 20000 19.44 (-0.05)         Lucy in the Sky (PBDOT) 100000 16.24 (+5.20)         Tyler Perry (TPERR) 20000 42.87 (+1.50)         Jennifer Connelly (JCONN) 20000 38.47 (-0.08)         Vince Vaughn (VVAUG) 20000 25.78 (+0.31)         The British Fund (BRITS) 10000 20.00 (0.00)         Tyler Perry (TPERR) 20000 42.87 (+1.50)         Naomi Scott (NSCOT) 20000 110.00 (0.00)         Naomi Scott (NSCOT) 20000 110.00 (0.00)         Christopher Mintz-Plasse (CMINT) 20000 134.32 (+5.73)         Kate McKinnon (KAMCK) 20000 38.23 (+0.09)         24 Jump Street aka 21 Jump Stree (21JS3) 100000 31.19 (+0.10)         Nicole Kidman (NKIDM) 20000 72.85 (+2.21)         Scoot McNairy (SMCNA) 20000 56.09 (-0.87)         Jacob Latimore (JLATI) 20000 40.86 (0.00)         John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellu (WICK3) 20000 116.54 (+2.27)         Dumbo - Opening Weekend (DUMBO.OW) 45226 78.39 (+0.77)         Penelope Cruz (PCRUZ) 20000 23.27 (0.00)         Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 20000 99.19 (-22.19)         Untitled Christopher Nolan (UCNOL) 10000 126.73 (+0.83)         Channing Tatum (CTATU) 20000 61.97 (+0.14)         Jonah Hill (JHILL) 20000 57.73 (+6.43)         Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 20000 99.19 (-22.19)         Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 20000 99.19 (-22.19)         Dumbo H$70 Call (DUMBO.CA) 20000 3.49 (+0.20)         Jay Baruchel (JBARU) 20000 94.54 (+14.29)         Regina Hall (RHALL) 20000 43.02 (+0.26)         Us (US) 45999 134.32 (+2.52)         Jay Baruchel (JBARU) 20000 94.54 (+14.29)         Jonah Hill (JHILL) 2 57.73 (+6.43)         Dumbo H$70 Put (DUMBO.PU) 20000 2.34 (+0.10)         Lily Collins (LICOL) 20000 22.57 (+0.16)         Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 20000 99.19 (-22.19)         Gerard Butler (GBUTL) 20000 58.49 (+4.89)         Gerard Butler (GBUTL) 20000 58.49 (+4.89)         Barbie (BARBI) 100000 24.87 (-0.18)         Green Lantern Corps (GLAN2) 100000 31.98 (+0.16)         Taylor Schilling (TSCHI) 20000 16.14 (+0.04)         Maika Monroe (MMONR) 20000 29.79 (+0.24)         Beau Knapp (BKNAP) 20000 20.22 (-2.88)         Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 20000 99.19 (-22.19)         Ang Lee (ALEE) 20000 47.88 (-0.14)         Maika Monroe (MMONR) 20000 29.79 (+0.24)         Toby Kebbell (TKEBB) 20000 64.50 (-0.24)         Sesame Street (SESAM) 5000 42.83 (+0.74)         The Rhythm Section (RHYTM) 100000 27.41 (-0.26)         Michelle Rodriguez (MRODR) 20000 122.03 (-1.14)         Christopher Mintz-Plasse (CMINT) 20000 134.32 (+5.73)