HSX Forum

Movies

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping.

Posted by: PVL Admin (a.k.a Rocket123) on May 01, 19:40 in response to secretstalker's post RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high...

They are still going to be wrong if their track record holds true... and it will.

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm} secretstalker May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm} secretstalker May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test. Facto May 01, 18:58

But it's surely... second gary May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm} Facto May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question. second gary May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm} Facto May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm} ty97 May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm} secretstalker May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm} ty97 May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm} Facto May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm} secretstalker May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm} Facto May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm} Rolling_Thunder May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm} notfabio May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm} notfabio May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm} Rolling_Thunder May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-) Facto May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm} secretstalker May 01, 18:59

irony, right? Facto May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm} Facto May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm} islander May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm} Facto May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm} notfabio May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double. Facto May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm} Facto May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil Facto May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm} islander May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm} Facto May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking jane_citizen May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful jane_citizen May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance? Facto May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button jane_citizen May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm} dsbman May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm} secretstalker May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm} Facto May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm} Rolling_Thunder May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm} secretstalker May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points? Facto May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm} BionicMoron May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit Facto May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm} Facto May 01, 23:24

agreed jane_citizen May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping. PVL Admin May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm} Facto May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america.. b4bad May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm} PVL Admin May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm} xiayun May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk... Facto May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role osmosis2003 May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm} Facto May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars, Facto May 02, 00:58





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Snack Shack (SNACK) 150000 0.87 (-0.13)          Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 1 17.79 (+0.12)          Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 60000 17.79 (+0.12)          A Big Bold Beautiful Journey (ABBBJ) 100000 35.69 (+1.97)          The Running Man (TRUNM) 1 14.99 (-0.10)          The Running Man (TRUNM) 1 14.99 (-0.10)          Joker: Folie à Deux aka Joker 2 (JOKE2) 4400 266.45 (+0.74)          Black Bag (BLCBG) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Kung Fu Panda 4 (PAND4) 12500 143.18 (+1.06)          Immaculate (IMACU) 150000 15.50 (+0.42)          Joker: Folie à Deux aka Joker 2 (JOKE2) 5600 266.45 (+0.74)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 150000 40.36 (-1.93)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 11000 146.46 (+0.43)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 25000 86.94 (+0.50)          Russell Crowe (RCROW) 25000 62.18 (-0.25)          Immaculate (IMACU) 150000 15.50 (+0.42)          Dune: Part Two (DUNE2) 12500 232.61 (-1.21)          Matthew Goode (MTGOO) 5000 27.24 (+0.02)          Liam Hemsworth (LHEMS) 25000 33.45 (-0.11)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.PU) 25000 2.31 (-0.08)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 10000 42.62 (+0.86)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 10000 42.62 (+0.86)          Jamie Bell (JBELL) 5000 29.64 (-0.35)          Isabela Merced (IMONE) 25000 49.94 (+0.33)          Knox Goes Away (KNOXG) 150000 2.14 (-0.15)          The Literary Fund (BOOKS) 20000 56.13 (-0.18)          Science-Fiction Fund (SCIFI) 19000 81.77 (+0.08)          Anthony Hopkins (AHOPK) 25000 46.53 (+0.16)          A Big Bold Beautiful Journey (ABBBJ) 1 35.69 (+1.97)          Black Bag (BLCBG) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire H$45 (GHST5.PU) 25000 3.02 (+0.10)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.PU) 25000 2.31 (-0.08)          Black Bag (BLCBG) 149999 20.00 (0.00)          Black Bag (BLCBG) 149999 20.00 (0.00)          One Life (1LIFE) 150000 5.49 (+1.25)          Immaculate (IMACU) 150000 15.50 (+0.42)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 56.72 (+1.03)          They Listen (THEYL) 150000 29.07 (+2.59)          Black Bag (BLCBG) 75000 20.00 (0.00)          Black Bag (BLCBG) 6000 20.00 (0.00)          Knox Goes Away (KNOXG) 150000 2.14 (-0.15)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 133.78 (+0.68)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 133.78 (+0.68)          Dr. Seuss' The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 33.92 (+1.36)          Untitled Guy Ritchie Film (UGRIT) 150000 29.60 (+1.19)          Cleopatra (CLEOP) 150000 56.72 (+0.96)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 56545 133.78 (+0.68)          Monkey Man (MNKYM) 11873 27.07 (+0.31)          Dune: Part Two (DUNE2) 150000 232.61 (-1.21)          A Big Bold Beautiful Journey (ABBBJ) 200 35.69 (+1.97)