HSX Forum

Movies

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm}

Posted by: Facto on May 01, 19:19 in response to Facto's post Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and...

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm} secretstalker May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm} secretstalker May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test. Facto May 01, 18:58

But it's surely... second gary May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm} Facto May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question. second gary May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm} Facto May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm} ty97 May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm} secretstalker May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm} ty97 May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm} Facto May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm} secretstalker May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm} Facto May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm} Rolling_Thunder May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm} notfabio May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm} notfabio May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm} Rolling_Thunder May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-) Facto May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm} secretstalker May 01, 18:59

irony, right? Facto May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm} Facto May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm} islander May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm} Facto May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm} notfabio May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double. Facto May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " Facto May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil Facto May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm} islander May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm} Facto May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking jane_citizen May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful jane_citizen May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance? Facto May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button jane_citizen May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm} dsbman May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm} secretstalker May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm} Facto May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm} Rolling_Thunder May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm} secretstalker May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points? Facto May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm} BionicMoron May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit Facto May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm} Facto May 01, 23:24

agreed jane_citizen May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping. PVL Admin May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm} Facto May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america.. b4bad May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm} PVL Admin May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm} xiayun May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk... Facto May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role osmosis2003 May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm} Facto May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars, Facto May 02, 00:58





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 89200 16.30 (+0.66)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 3200 16.30 (+0.66)          My Old Ass (MOLAS) 6006 5.93 (-0.08)          Joker: Folie a Deux (JOKE2) 137202 78.45 (+1.60)          Megalopolis (MEGAL) 6000 7.34 (-0.06)          Saturday Night (SNL75) 150000 15.91 (-0.39)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 102 115.89 (+0.20)          Ethan Coen (COEN) 5000 48.18 (+0.36)          Joker: Folie a Deux (JOKE2) 150000 78.45 (+1.60)          Fall 2 (FALL2) 5064 6.14 (+1.08)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 150000 40.22 (-0.19)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 149999 40.22 (-0.19)          Dog Man (DOGM1) 3 43.53 (+0.05)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 5.55 (+0.93)          Lear Rex (LEREX) 2 10.28 (-0.02)          Megalopolis (MEGAL) 1500 7.34 (-0.06)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 2 29.53 (+0.03)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 1 74.93 (+0.08)          Death Of A Unicorne (DUNIC) 50006 19.02 (-0.04)          Lee (LEE) 2001 2.12 (0.00)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 50005 27.88 (-0.03)          Lee (LEE) 1499 2.12 (0.00)          Beetlejuice Beetlejuice $250M Bl (BEET2.BW) 25000 12.17 (-0.21)          The Wild Robot (TWRBT) 2 99.35 (-0.83)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 11000 4.51 (+0.01)          Bob the Builder (BOBTB) 2 23.57 (-0.06)          Empire Waist (EMPWS) 998 0.11 (0.00)          Beetlejuice Beetlejuice $250M Bl (BEET2.BW) 25000 12.17 (-0.21)          Planes, Trains and Automobiles (PTAUT) 5 16.71 (0.00)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 4 14.23 (0.00)          Empire Waist (EMPWS) 1998 0.11 (0.00)          Fall 2 (FALL2) 10369 6.14 (+1.08)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 aka Reve (PRAD2) 1 77.61 (+1.12)          Until Dawn (UDAWN) 6 23.62 (+0.02)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 aka Reve (PRAD2) 1 77.61 (+1.12)          Marty Supreme (MRTSU) 2 17.88 (+0.90)          Marty Supreme (MRTSU) 2 17.88 (+0.90)          Azrael (AZRAL) 1000 0.70 (0.00)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 6 142.31 (+0.04)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 1 16.30 (+0.66)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 1 16.30 (+0.66)          Azrael (AZRAL) 1000 0.70 (0.00)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 3 162.88 (0.00)          Conclave - Opening Weekend (CNCLV.OW) 100000 5.86 (-0.16)          Heretic (HERTC) 1 24.27 (0.00)          Conclave - Opening Weekend (CNCLV.OW) 100000 5.86 (-0.16)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 3 71.86 (0.00)          Terrifier 3 (TERF3) 664 30.95 (+0.97)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 3 71.86 (0.00)          Devara Part 1 (DEVAR) 1998 8.57 (-0.02)