HSX Forum

Movies

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! {nm}

Posted by: Rolling_Thunder on May 01, 19:00 in response to notfabio's post two wedding comedies have never opened against each other...

RS: [THOR] high 50s, [JUMPB] 10 million, [STBRW] high single digits {nm} secretstalker May 01, 18:46

[BRDSM] low 20s [PRIEST] slightly higher low 20s [PIRT4] 100 million [HNOV2] mid-to-high 80s 5 day [PAND2] 120 mil 5 day {nm} secretstalker May 01, 18:48

Here's my wild guess that MTC will be higher on THOR and BRDSM, and lower on Priest. Now, let's put wild guesses to the test. Facto May 01, 18:58

But it's surely... second gary May 01, 20:34

Hmm.. Although, Boxoffice.com has predicted a 95M OW for it, iirc? {nm} Facto May 01, 20:39

Yes, but there's no comment there on the 4-day / 5-day question. second gary May 01, 20:49

Hmmm... Very interesting, thanks {nm} Facto May 01, 20:54

Huh. Hangover and Panda are opening on Thursday? What's that multiplier then, Thursday + (2.2 * 4-day weekend)? {nm} ty97 May 01, 19:13

Yes {nm} secretstalker May 01, 19:14

Argh, weekends like that make by brain hurt. {nm} ty97 May 01, 19:33

Boxoffice.com also did not have high expectations for STBRW or JUMPB, calling them "modest romantic comedies" (iirc). {nm} Facto May 01, 18:54

Pretty sure STBRW will do better than that. {nm} secretstalker May 01, 18:54

Why? You don't state any reasons - BoxOffice.Com said something as to why they think it won't do much business :-) {nm} Facto May 01, 18:56

I don't think so. Twitter has missed lately, but it's quite reliable in predicting underperformers with low tweet counts. {nm} Rolling_Thunder May 01, 18:57

yeah the young woman fanbase of the book is INTENSE {nm} notfabio May 01, 18:57

two wedding comedies have never opened against each other different demo or not {nm} notfabio May 01, 18:59

And then Bridesmaids follows the week after. Talk about wedding overload! Rolling_Thunder May 01, 19:00

.. but, just to play devil's advocate, it *is* wedding season, no.. ? :-) Facto May 01, 20:03

There's a book? :) {nm} secretstalker May 01, 18:59

irony, right? Facto May 01, 19:00

(and I am of course not talking about notfabio!) {nm} Facto May 01, 19:06

naw. kate hudson is played out and no one knows who the other one even is {nm} islander May 01, 18:58

Yup, even in 2003, DVORC did 9M full run.. "Le Divorce is a wacky romantic comedy starring Kate Hudson and Naomi Watts." {nm} Facto May 01, 19:04

that wasnt given even a moderate push domestically and a terrible title {nm} notfabio May 01, 19:07

Sure, but it had Kate Hudson on the posters and marquees.. And Something Borrowed is expected to do at least double. Facto May 01, 19:09

MBFSG, Oct 2008 delist of 18.75: "Dane Cook and Kate Hudson star in the romantic comedy [My Best Friend's Girl].... " {nm} Facto May 01, 19:19

Then again, Bride Wars of course delisted at 53.89 February 2009. But was that due to a snappy title and Anne Hathaway (fresh from The Devil Facto May 01, 19:11

stbrw also plain, generic, terrible title. bet 5 h-bucks at least one review will lead with "Soemthing Boring" {nm} islander May 01, 19:12

Heh :-) "Something boring, snored all through" {nm} Facto May 01, 19:13

yeah it's pretty bland-looking jane_citizen May 01, 19:54

I think it looks dreadful jane_citizen May 01, 19:23

Thanks! ;-) What would you say were your favourite "women's movies/chick flicks" of the last 5 years? Devil Wears Prada, for instance? Facto May 01, 19:28

I suppose it pushes a 'meek inheriting the earth' button jane_citizen May 01, 19:51

I honestly don't know how STBRW could open worse than MADE OF HONOR in the same frame. {nm} dsbman May 01, 18:57

Bingo... the advertising for STBRW has been better and more prevalent even though I'm sure it's just as bad. {nm} secretstalker May 01, 19:01

We'll find out (if and when it happens, next weekend ;)) {nm} Facto May 01, 19:01

The BOM poll for STBRW is already starting out markedly weaker, which is a poor sign. {nm} Rolling_Thunder May 01, 19:04

You can't judge women's movies based on BOM Polls... I'd be shocked if they had more than 4 women responding {nm} secretstalker May 01, 19:14

I'm not 100% sure, but feel that I recall that you have overestimated at least a couple women's movies, making similar sounding points? Facto May 01, 19:18

If those 4 women answer every womens movie poll on BOM something can be gleaned from it via comparison. {nm} BionicMoron May 01, 19:29

actually, *something* fruitful has to come out of the hours I've wasted surfing twitter, and this is it: There are *plenty* of women on Twit Facto May 01, 19:34

(snark;) {nm} Facto May 01, 23:24

agreed jane_citizen May 01, 20:07

So, RS amended numbers. They used to be low 50's for THOR, mid teens for Borrowed and low double digits for Jumping. PVL Admin May 01, 19:40

Borrowed and Broom heading south - and in line with BoxOffice.com's predictions. So, MTC should be lower - but we'll see. {nm} Facto May 01, 19:42

Those are pretty weak numbers for Thor... it opened 82 million world wide... and no one knows about Thor outside america.. b4bad May 01, 20:41

No way! The bark-o-meter has it lower than Fast5. More to follow later in the week. {nm} PVL Admin May 01, 20:54

Thor has more oversea appeal {nm} xiayun May 01, 21:01

Now that's just crazy talk... Facto May 01, 22:44

I'd suggest Thors Australian popularity is more to do with the fact Chris Hemsworth rose to fame playing a key role osmosis2003 May 01, 22:45

makes a lot of sense. Not much love for Thor from the Germans, though - perhaps they remember their previous führer that dug Norse mythology {nm} Facto May 02, 00:56

fuhrer/leader - Hitler dug Norse mythology, iirc, as did his favourite composer Richard Wagner ("March of the Valkyries", used in Star Wars, Facto May 02, 00:58





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Rhys Ifans (RIFAN) 4968 62.60 (+0.04)          My Hero Academia: You're Next (MHAYN) 2011 7.65 (-0.11)          Fast X Part 2 aka Fast & Furious (FAF11) 2000 133.55 (-0.35)          Saturday Night (SNL75) 150000 15.63 (-0.67)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 3000 171.89 (+0.80)          The Apprentice (APRNT) 150000 6.56 (-0.21)          Aladdin 2 (ALAD2) 5000 35.19 (-0.13)          Woman of the Hour (DATGM) 3000 1.00 (0.00)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 150000 37.63 (-0.14)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 3000 159.58 (0.00)          The Substance (SBSTN) 150000 11.47 (-0.26)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 6000 116.23 (+0.54)          Woman of the Hour (DATGM) 505 1.00 (0.00)          Christopher Nolan (CNOLA) 25000 149.62 (+0.66)          Snow White (SNWHT) 37 202.17 (-0.84)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 3000 273.87 (+0.24)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 1 4.67 (-0.26)          Woman of the Hour (DATGM) 995 1.00 (0.00)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 150000 16.35 (+0.71)          Untitled Monsterverse Godzilla x (GOKO3) 150000 109.33 (+1.02)          The Apprentice (APRNT) 2067 6.56 (-0.21)          Terrifier 3 (TERF3) 150000 31.05 (+1.07)          Joker: Folie a Deux (JOKE2) 35000 78.37 (+1.52)          Goodrich (GDRCH) 1 4.16 (-0.16)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 150000 116.23 (+0.54)          The Apprentice (APRNT) 19933 6.56 (-0.21)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 85995 145.02 (+0.11)          Drop (DROP) 58000 24.87 (-0.39)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 7.76 (-0.30)          Drop (DROP) 1600 24.87 (-0.39)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 7.76 (-0.30)          McCarthy (MCRTY) 150000 0.24 (+0.01)          Aladdin 2 (ALAD2) 150000 35.19 (-0.13)          Brothers (BROHS) 3003 0.46 (-0.02)          Stuntnuts: The Movie (STUNT) 149999 24.96 (-4.53)          Cynthia Erivo (CERIV) 24999 29.65 (+0.12)          Brothers (BROHS) 997 0.46 (-0.02)          Venom: The Last Dance (VENM3) 162 197.67 (-0.61)          Smile 2 H$25 Put (SMIL2.PU) 25000 1.89 (+0.04)          White Bird (WHBRD) 5018 4.44 (0.00)          Spider-Man Untitled (SPID9) 76866 336.67 (-0.22)          Homestead (HMSTD) 10000 10.08 (0.00)          White Bird (WHBRD) 982 4.44 (0.00)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 18499 5.60 (+0.98)          Three Bags Full: A Sheep Detecti (3BAGF) 150000 32.27 (-0.01)          Rhys Ifans (RIFAN) 24999 62.60 (+0.04)          The Seed of the Sacred Fig (TSOSF) 150000 1.29 (+0.02)          Madden (MADEN) 5000 30.99 (+0.06)          The Brutalist (BRUTL) 10000 4.84 (-0.01)          Madden (MADEN) 1000 30.99 (+0.06)