HSX Forum

Movies

Although I'm no expert myself, I can tell you from personal experience that movies (especially fanboy type movies) tend to be overpriced

Posted by: jeankie on Jun 30, 04:41 in response to EggNogAdam's post I'm sort of new - why is [CBALN] going down? Is it that,...

until they near their date of release. Chances are people are switching their longs (either just selling or shorting as well after) or fresh people are shorting the stock as they don't believe it will make current price / 2,7 on opening weekend.

I'm sort of new - why is [CBALN] going down? Is it that, using the forumla, people don't think it will make $300+Mill on OW? {nm} EggNogAdam Jun 30, 03:43

formula* {nm} EggNogAdam Jun 30, 03:47

I don't think u understand the formula. No movie is opening to 300m {nm} islander Jun 30, 04:41

hahaha I'm pretty sure I don't. {nm} EggNogAdam Jun 30, 07:45

Although I'm no expert myself, I can tell you from personal experience that movies (especially fanboy type movies) tend to be overpriced jeankie Jun 30, 04:41

This summer a lot of wide releases with once high expectations have been under pressure... second gary Jun 30, 06:24

oops. Meant this to be a reply to ENAdam. {nm} second gary Jun 30, 06:38

The formula ( for 3 day weekend) is OW*2.7=sunday adjust. Then the four week total for the movie is your delist price. {nm} Juiced Jun 30, 05:38

** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! ** EggNogAdam Jun 30, 07:47

and, yea, I know that nothing short of HP8 or Hobit is gonna pull that in less than 4 weeks. {nm} EggNogAdam Jun 30, 07:48

stock price is already multiplied. you divide by 2.7 to get the projected OW islander Jun 30, 07:55

oh. nice. thanks. didn't realize. {nm} EggNogAdam Jun 30, 08:55

If CBALN has an opening weekend of 50M, it would adjust to H$135. 40M, to H$108. {nm} second gary Jun 30, 08:24

oh my god, I've been multiplying this whole time... EggNogAdam Jun 30, 08:54

Oh well. By the way, the "OW" derivatives, of course, are exempt from opening weekend multipliers. {nm} second gary Jun 30, 08:56

... for a sec I was like "noooooooooo" then I realized that I knew that. haha. {nm} EggNogAdam Jun 30, 10:51

Antibody, could you delete this thread? It's speculative and jerking the price for no reason. prahainsider Jul 08, 10:51

Too much egg nog? {nm} bloopster Jun 30, 09:42

it's ok. I only drink BEFORE work! {nm} EggNogAdam Jun 30, 10:51





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 56.80 (+0.51)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 150000 37.21 (-0.16)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 150000 37.21 (-0.16)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 39.55 (+0.10)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 100000 73.35 (+2.27)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 149999 73.35 (+2.27)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 150000 28.75 (-0.15)          Naughty (NAUTY) 150000 35.34 (+0.78)          Naughty (NAUTY) 150000 35.34 (+0.78)          The Princess Diaries 3 (PDIA3) 149999 36.67 (-0.09)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 49.39 (+2.70)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 49.39 (+2.70)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 149999 37.21 (-0.16)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 0.39 (-0.12)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 43999 36.91 (+0.08)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 54 551.59 (+0.95)          Mina Harker aka Dracula - Blumho (DRACU) 26501 0.07 (0.00)          Tony Leung Chiu-wai (TLEUN) 25000 46.60 (-0.33)          Tony Leung Chiu-wai (TLEUN) 25000 46.60 (-0.33)          Lea Seydoux (LSEYD) 25000 50.30 (-0.50)          Lea Seydoux (LSEYD) 25000 50.30 (-0.50)          Menace (MENAC) 55000 0.05 (+0.02)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 50000 77.75 (-0.08)          Zoey Deutch (ZDEUT) 25000 32.54 (+0.12)          Zoey Deutch (ZDEUT) 25000 32.54 (+0.12)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 240 73.35 (+2.27)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 150000 2.39 (-0.01)          The Fence (TCOTG) 50000 0.04 (+0.01)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 50000 73.35 (+2.27)          Jesse Eisenberg (JEISE) 25000 46.84 (+0.50)          Jesse Eisenberg (JEISE) 25000 46.84 (+0.50)          Jeff Bridges (JBRID) 25000 53.96 (+0.33)          Jeff Bridges (JBRID) 25000 53.96 (+0.33)          Christoph Waltz (CWALT) 25000 85.54 (+0.75)          Christoph Waltz (CWALT) 25000 85.54 (+0.75)          Allison Janney (AJANN) 25000 66.93 (+0.50)          Love Child (LOVCH) 1 0.01 (0.00)          Allison Janney (AJANN) 25000 66.93 (+0.50)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 73.35 (+2.27)          Love Child (LOVCH) 1 0.01 (0.00)          Matthias Schoenaerts (MSCHO) 25000 20.88 (+0.50)          Matthias Schoenaerts (MSCHO) 25000 20.88 (+0.50)          Emily Beecham (EBEEC) 25000 15.70 (-0.30)          Emily Beecham (EBEEC) 25000 15.70 (-0.30)          Wicker (WCKER) 10000 6.44 (+0.02)          David Corenswet (DCORE) 25000 141.83 (-0.66)          David Corenswet (DCORE) 25000 141.83 (-0.66)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 22940 73.35 (+2.27)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 25000 139.29 (-0.06)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 10000 14.69 (+1.57)