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Movies

Although I'm no expert myself, I can tell you from personal experience that movies (especially fanboy type movies) tend to be overpriced

Posted by: jeankie on Jun 30, 04:41 in response to EggNogAdam's post I'm sort of new - why is [CBALN] going down? Is it that,...

until they near their date of release. Chances are people are switching their longs (either just selling or shorting as well after) or fresh people are shorting the stock as they don't believe it will make current price / 2,7 on opening weekend.

I'm sort of new - why is [CBALN] going down? Is it that, using the forumla, people don't think it will make $300+Mill on OW? {nm} EggNogAdam Jun 30, 03:43

formula* {nm} EggNogAdam Jun 30, 03:47

I don't think u understand the formula. No movie is opening to 300m {nm} islander Jun 30, 04:41

hahaha I'm pretty sure I don't. {nm} EggNogAdam Jun 30, 07:45

Although I'm no expert myself, I can tell you from personal experience that movies (especially fanboy type movies) tend to be overpriced jeankie Jun 30, 04:41

This summer a lot of wide releases with once high expectations have been under pressure... second gary Jun 30, 06:24

oops. Meant this to be a reply to ENAdam. {nm} second gary Jun 30, 06:38

The formula ( for 3 day weekend) is OW*2.7=sunday adjust. Then the four week total for the movie is your delist price. {nm} Juiced Jun 30, 05:38

** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! ** EggNogAdam Jun 30, 07:47

and, yea, I know that nothing short of HP8 or Hobit is gonna pull that in less than 4 weeks. {nm} EggNogAdam Jun 30, 07:48

stock price is already multiplied. you divide by 2.7 to get the projected OW islander Jun 30, 07:55

oh. nice. thanks. didn't realize. {nm} EggNogAdam Jun 30, 08:55

If CBALN has an opening weekend of 50M, it would adjust to H$135. 40M, to H$108. {nm} second gary Jun 30, 08:24

oh my god, I've been multiplying this whole time... EggNogAdam Jun 30, 08:54

Oh well. By the way, the "OW" derivatives, of course, are exempt from opening weekend multipliers. {nm} second gary Jun 30, 08:56

... for a sec I was like "noooooooooo" then I realized that I knew that. haha. {nm} EggNogAdam Jun 30, 10:51

Antibody, could you delete this thread? It's speculative and jerking the price for no reason. prahainsider Jul 08, 10:51

Too much egg nog? {nm} bloopster Jun 30, 09:42

it's ok. I only drink BEFORE work! {nm} EggNogAdam Jun 30, 10:51





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The Weight (THEWT) 10000 7.92 (0.00)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 1 38.13 (-0.03)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 1 38.13 (-0.03)          Verity (VERTY) 3 70.02 (-0.04)          Verity (VERTY) 3 70.02 (-0.04)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 3 24.97 (-0.10)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 3 24.97 (-0.10)          Days Gone (DAYSG) 50 4.25 (+0.17)          Gambino (GMBNO) 50 7.00 (+0.18)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 80000 11.97 (+0.86)          Rachel Brosnahan (RBROS) 25000 102.48 (+0.33)          Artificial (AIFIC) 50000 21.10 (-0.25)          Momo (MOMO) 3000 2.45 (+0.05)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 1.92 (-0.08)          Verity H$25 Call (VERTY.CA) 25000 2.11 (+0.11)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 100000 25.12 (+0.12)          Artificial (AIFIC) 50000 21.10 (-0.25)          Digger H$25 Put (DIGER.PU) 25000 2.12 (+0.12)          Digger H$25 Call (DIGER.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger - Opening Weekend (DIGER.OW) 25000 24.66 (-0.34)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 2500 17.74 (+0.02)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 21.10 (-0.25)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 120000 4.49 (-0.05)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 150000 24.97 (-0.10)          Clay (CLAY) 2500 102.83 (0.00)          Days Gone (DAYSG) 150000 4.25 (+0.17)          Gambino (GMBNO) 150000 7.00 (+0.18)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 149998 17.93 (+1.11)          River (RIVE1) 149998 11.18 (+0.48)          K-Pop: The Debut aka K-Pop Super (KPOPM) 3 39.30 (0.00)          Verity H$25 Put (VERTY.PU) 25000 1.95 (-0.05)          K-Pop: The Debut aka K-Pop Super (KPOPM) 3 39.30 (0.00)          Digger H$25 Call (DIGER.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          November 1963 (NOV63) 3 6.32 (0.00)          November 1963 (NOV63) 3 6.32 (0.00)          The New Simpsons Movie (SIMP2) 3 168.91 (0.00)          The New Simpsons Movie (SIMP2) 3 168.91 (0.00)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 3 148.53 (0.00)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 3 148.53 (0.00)          The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 3 16.44 (0.00)          The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 3 16.44 (0.00)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 2 12.32 (0.00)          Sender (SENDR) 63545 6.26 (+0.15)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 2 12.32 (0.00)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 2 6.91 (0.00)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 2 6.91 (0.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 1 174.19 (0.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 1 174.19 (0.00)          Wicker (WCKER) 3 8.37 (0.00)          Wicker (WCKER) 3 8.37 (0.00)