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Weak

Posted by: JohnnyGodard on Jun 27, 04:36 in response to Paul2k's post THR: pre-release tracking for [SPID4] suggests 6-day...

Here are the comps for the first 6 days:

Spiderman  1 = 144

Spiderman 2  = 192

Spiderman 3 = 176

THR: pre-release tracking for [SPID4] suggests 6-day opening of 125 or more. (adjust should be Tue-Thur + [Fri-Sun x 2.7]) Paul2k Jun 20, 18:52

"Total awareness strong across every demo...def interest, males of all ages appear eager...interest also is good among females < 25, less Paul2k Jun 20, 18:55

I really don't have the numbers to compare to other past super hero movies but... skamanfu Jun 20, 19:09

Do you mean no film "ever" has matched those numbers, or just no film coming up in the future? {nm} Paul2k Jun 20, 19:11

No film that is currently in their list of upcoming films. Numbers only go through 7/6/12 {nm} skamanfu Jun 20, 19:12

Not surprising considering the dearth of "must see" product. The real test is to see how it compares when BATM3 comes on the radar. {nm} Paul2k Jun 20, 19:13

Not sure why the formatting was all funky. But the info is at the bottom of the long blank space. {nm} skamanfu Jun 20, 19:11

Comparison for MIB3 two weeks out: 07, 93, 49, 12 (closest comp I could quickly find) {nm} skamanfu Jun 20, 19:14

Thanks for providing the actual numbers, btw. {nm} Paul2k Jun 20, 19:18

No prob. If D.Mac has a problem with it, just let me know. I know someone used to post them years ago. {nm} skamanfu Jun 20, 19:20

the real question is: how much of that 125 will be spent Tue-Thur without the multiplier? {nm} Oleg Max Jun 20, 19:05

FYI, the last year we had July 4th fall on a Wednesday was 2007. The top opener that year was Transformers 1 which opened on Monday the 1st Paul2k Jun 20, 19:08

no {nm} Oleg Max Jun 20, 19:26

no, no one asked for reboot so fast... {nm} Oleg Max Jun 20, 19:29

ugh, Spidey...you're gonna make me do extra math next month {nm} tealfan Jun 20, 19:32

Isn't SPID4 a 2.2 multiplier because of July 4th? {nm} PVL Admin Jun 20, 22:48

I wouldn't think so, considering it's still a 3 day BO count. {nm} elchan Jun 21, 05:23

I wouldn't think so, considering it's still a 3 day BO count. {nm} elchan Jun 21, 05:23

Hmm, how did that happen? {nm} elchan Jun 21, 05:24

Weak JohnnyGodard Jun 27, 04:36





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David (DAVID) 10003 76.67 (-0.01)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 10000 2.92 (+0.04)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 1000 1.68 (-0.02)          Mary Elizabeth Winstead (MEWIN) 100 30.95 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 22 460.44 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 12025 127.69 (+0.55)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 12026 5.55 (-0.13)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 150000 4.43 (+0.72)          Zachary Levi (ZLEVI) 2025 22.35 (-0.01)          Lakeith Stanfield (LSTAN) 100 18.99 (-0.04)          Zachary Levi (ZLEVI) 25 22.35 (-0.01)          Tim Blake Nelson (TBNEL) 24 43.46 (+0.16)          The Testament of Ann Lee (ANLEE) 150000 8.17 (-0.03)          The Testament of Ann Lee (ANLEE) 25 8.17 (-0.03)          Empire City (EMPCT) 12500 19.06 (-0.17)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 1.93 (+0.04)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 5000 107.91 (+0.11)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.50 (-0.07)          Sonequa Martin-Green (SMGRE) 2025 25.82 (-0.01)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 25.00 (-0.36)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 78.77 (-0.96)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 78.77 (-0.96)          Robert Pattinson (RPATT) 25000 78.16 (-0.25)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 1.93 (+0.04)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.50 (-0.07)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 25.00 (-0.36)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 141206 78.77 (-0.96)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 114119 78.77 (-0.96)          Wizard of Kremlin (WZKRM) 149975 5.87 (-0.04)          Richard E. Grant (RGRAN) 25000 13.24 (-0.10)          Paul Mescal (PMESC) 25000 36.04 (+0.12)          Michael Shannon (MISHA) 25 33.11 (0.00)          Lakeith Stanfield (LSTAN) 12026 18.99 (-0.04)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 1027 132.00 (+0.11)          Lucy Liu (LLIU) 100 63.64 (0.00)          Kumail Nanjiani (KNANJ) 100 93.45 (0.00)          Kate McKinnon (KAMCK) 100 85.75 (0.00)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 142 83.61 (0.00)          Jessie Buckley (JSBUC) 100 17.91 (0.00)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 16.51 (-0.36)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 16.51 (-0.36)          Josh O'Connor (JOOCO) 10 11.49 (0.00)          Jamie Lee Curtis (JLCUR) 100 39.06 (0.00)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 26.97 (-0.30)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 26.97 (-0.30)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 25000 2.44 (-0.06)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 110411 9.62 (-0.38)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 25000 2.44 (-0.06)          Johnny Flynn (JFLYN) 100 4.12 (0.00)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 10000 107.91 (+0.11)