HSX Forums: Movies Board






Official Adjusts

Posted by: Antibody on Jul 01, 10:25

Ted [TED]
Halted: H$122.41
Weekend: $54.107M
Adjusted: H$146.09

Magic Mike [MGCMK]
Halted: H$106.13
Weekend: $39.155M
Adjusted: H$105.72

Madea's Witness Protection [MADWP]
Halted: H$67.66
Weekend: $26.35M
Adjusted: H$71.15

People Like Us [PLKUS]
Halted: H$11.78
Weekend: $4.306M
Adjusted: H$11.63

Moonrise Kingdom [MNRSK]
Halted: H$27.73
Weekend: $4.873M
Previous: $13.533M
Adjusted: H$28.15


Tag(s): TED, MGCMK, MADWP, PLKUS, MNRSK

Official Adjusts   Antibody on Jul 01, 10:25

time to short both ted & magic mike {nm}   jamesbik333 on Jul 01, 10:30

Interesting call to action? {nm}   ryancoke2 on Jul 01, 10:42

Careful there - looks like a call to action. {nm}   grammar on Jul 01, 10:43

I would point out that Bad Teacher last year at the end of June delisted with a 2.85 multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:44

Also in June was the Hangover which delisted at 4.07... The point is that you can find reasons for both directions {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 10:53

Most decently received R-comedy does have legs, however most R-comedy does not have a built in audience like TED.   BionicMoron on Jul 01, 10:58

Let's get real here. :-) Against SPID4, ICEA4, and BATM3? {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 10:56

ICEA4? What kind of overlap does that have with TED? {nm}   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 10:58

I think it's more to do with screen space, All three of those are going to command a good percentage of theater screens {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:04

Thing is...how many theaters got multiple prints of Ted or Magic Mike. They don't get squeezed if attendance is there, slower films will.   Catzan on Jul 01, 11:08

True, just giving what his probable reason was. As my post below says though, I think Ted has a good chance, Magic Mike not as much {nm}   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:21

I had higher hopes for Magic Mike...but it has begun to feel like Satc2...   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:00

Worse than SatC2. Before actuals, which may show a worse drop, it sits at No. 9 for percentage of OW coming from Friday...    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 14:09

With weekday business being as strong as it is this time of year, something like 35-22-14 on the weekends would be enough   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 11:13

That's a possibility, but your average of about 35% drops every weekend is going to be difficult, doable, but difficult. The question is...   LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 17:50

Yeah, I'm not sure it's going to happen, but screencounts won't be the determining factor.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 01, 19:17

I went to TED with my son instead of Brave and loved it and my daughter went to watch Mike instead of Brave...just kidding..but could have    b4bad on Jul 01, 11:41

You mean like...Transformers 3, Harry Potter 8 and Captain America??? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 01, 11:01

Yes, but BDTCH is only delisted at $88, and not the $146, and seemingly frontloaded TED numbers, though. {nm}   elchan on Jul 01, 11:14

I think the others point is that they both had the same daily dropoffs OW, barring any strange fluctuations with the final numbers, so it's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:27

Why do you think TED is frontloaded, it had an identical OW internal multiplier to Hangover {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:29

I did say, "seemingly". I don't have historical data, but from other comments of others on the board the Sat drop off was significant.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:36

Yeah, from my standpoint if that Sunday number holds then it bodes well for TED's future prospects, but it could easily be overestimated. {nm}   stevie1der328 on Jul 01, 11:41

BOM shows the drop as about 13% for both Sat and Sun. Bad Teach was 10% & 24% and Hangover was 10% & 12.4%.   Catzan on Jul 01, 12:31

A comparable would be WEDCR, which delisted at 143, but it did not have to contend with any major blockbusters in the following weeks.   elchan on Jul 01, 11:29

I'd say Magic Mike's the only obvious short, if its Friday to Saturday drop is correct, I doubt if it even gets to the estimate, if that's    LanceStorm22 on Jul 01, 11:03

I note that The Avengers have finally dropped out of the top 10 {nm}   Rednax on Jul 02, 08:53





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Ghost Recon (GRCON) 100000 0.83 (-0.04)         Mean Moms (MMOMS) 100000 0.69 (-0.07)         Popeye (POPEY) 100000 1.07 (-0.05)         Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (JURA5) 15000 381.45 (-8.33)         National Treasure 3 (NATR3) 38 3.45 (+0.13)         Beverly Hills Cop (BHCP4) 100000 1.29 (-0.07)         Her Smell (HERSM) 100000 3.45 (-0.55)         Peter Rabbit 2 (PRAB2) 24000 59.34 (-1.36)         Mulan (MULN) 4 129.44 (-0.43)         Missing Link (MSLNK) 2 30.25 (-0.04)         Jacob's Ladder (JLADR) 99999 9.78 (-1.03)         Ant-Man and the Wasp H$70 Call (ANTM2.CA) 20000 2.88 (+0.88)         Shadows (MSHDW) 1400 0.82 (-0.04)         Monster Hunter (MONHT) 2 23.20 (+0.06)         Ant-Man and the Wasp - Opening W (ANTM2.OW) 100000 71.37 (+1.37)         Minions 2 (MNIO2) 3 173.22 (-0.37)         Ant-Man and the Wasp H$70 Put (ANTM2.PU) 20000 1.64 (-0.36)         The First Purge (PURG4) 45000 52.82 (-1.74)         Memphis (MEMPH) 100000 0.12 (+0.01)         Mad Max: The Wasteland (MMAX5) 999 23.38 (-0.08)         Miss Bala aka I Am Gloria (MISSB) 7 10.39 (+0.08)         Five Feet Apart (5FTAP) 99999 13.24 (-0.74)         Mission: Impossible - Fallout (MISS6) 5 162.21 (-0.68)         The First Purge H$25 Call (PURG4.CA) 20000 2.38 (+0.38)         Harley Quinn (GOTCS) 25000 62.69 (-0.72)         Micro (MICRO) 1299 9.37 (+0.05)         The First Purge - Opening Weeken (PURG4.OW) 100000 27.05 (+2.05)         Men in Black Untitled (MIB4) 7 111.25 (-0.71)         The First Purge H$25 Put (PURG4.PU) 20000 2.44 (+0.44)         Overcomer (OVRCM) 1 20.00 (0.00)         Jojo Rabbit (JOJOR) 64000 23.75 (-0.67)         Methuselah (METHU) 100 16.68 (-0.07)         Overcomer (OVRCM) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         The Little Mermaid (MERMD) 9 1.09 (+0.01)         Her Smell (HERSM) 100000 3.45 (-0.55)         Merlin (MERLN) 1549 39.07 (-0.17)         Stuck (STUC) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (JURA5) 800 381.45 (-8.33)         Terminator sequel (TERM6) 5757 60.12 (+2.38)         The Meg (MEG) 5 48.79 (-0.24)         Midway (MDWAY) 3 32.62 (-0.12)         Mary (MARY1) 1000 1.69 (-0.03)         Her Smell (HERSM) 100000 3.45 (-0.55)         Welcome to Marwen (MARWN) 15 46.29 (+0.69)         Stuck (STUC) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Poor Boy (POORB) 100000 0.82 (+0.10)         Mario Movie (MARIO) 75 36.50 (-0.28)         Ocean's 8 (OCEN4) 3383 110.89 (-2.30)         Margie Claus (MARGC) 75 32.84 (-0.04)         The First Purge H$25 Call (PURG4.CA) 20000 2.38 (+0.38)