HSX Forum

Movies

It might work for them, at least on a small scale, their data might line up for them, but it's less useful on a national scale {nm}

Posted by: Moviesnob on Jan 01, 15:04 in response to RogerMore's post Then I hope they don't rely on it when deciding how many...

Following on from last night's movie prediction accuracy thread, here are the accuracy figures for 2011 and 2010. RogerMore Jan 01, 09:27

Time for RS to update its model. They are consistent losers. {nm} elchan Jan 01, 09:38

Can you believe they are a business? Makes me think I should start my own movie tracking company. {nm} RogerMore Jan 01, 09:54

i dont think they make much money off it. it supplements their main business (they are a theater chain) {nm} Moviesnob Jan 01, 12:35

Then I hope they don't rely on it when deciding how many theatres should show the new releases :) {nm} RogerMore Jan 01, 14:44

It might work for them, at least on a small scale, their data might line up for them, but it's less useful on a national scale Moviesnob Jan 01, 15:04

Yeah, I'm just being snarky. Thanks for the info. {nm} RogerMore Jan 01, 16:21

So here is the answer to JDolphin's question about how prediction sites performed with blockbusters: RogerMore Jan 01, 09:52

Wow - thanks a lot for all that work!! Happy New Year! {nm} JDolphin Jan 01, 13:20

How did I do overall at BOF for 2011? think somewhere in the 73-75% range? {nm} xiayun Jan 01, 10:05

I'm away from my computer at the moment, but for Jan to May 2012 you were at 77%, second to EW RogerMore Jan 01, 10:54

thx for putting all that together {nm} tealfan Jan 01, 10:24

Just wondering, for those in the know. How do these prediction companies make money from their predictions? elchan Jan 01, 14:01

I wouldn't say I am in the know, but movie studios and theatre companies would be the main customers RogerMore Jan 01, 14:43

to be clear - most "tracking" companies do not predict box office, they measure marketing. {nm} Moviesnob Jan 01, 14:45

Roger, thanks so much for putting this together. Truthfully, I'm honored that you even included me in the list and FilmGo Jan 02, 20:28





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Behemoth! (BEHEM) 149999 21.04 (+0.17)          Hershey (HERSH) 150000 14.18 (+0.11)          Wicker (WCKER) 30000 6.74 (+0.24)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 90000 5.59 (-0.20)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 149999 5.59 (-0.20)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 20000 615.35 (-1.50)          NDA (NDA) 10000 8.09 (+0.26)          Wicker (WCKER) 50000 6.74 (+0.24)          NDA (NDA) 10000 8.09 (+0.26)          Hershey (HERSH) 150000 14.18 (+0.11)          Hershey (HERSH) 150000 14.18 (+0.11)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 3023 615.35 (-1.50)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 190 615.35 (-1.50)          Viva La Madness (VLMAD) 99999 18.78 (-0.60)          Viva La Madness (VLMAD) 150000 18.78 (-0.60)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 60000 15.11 (+0.51)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 14052 15.11 (+0.51)          Tony (TONY) 149999 17.42 (+0.63)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 150000 17.16 (+0.83)          Tony (TONY) 150000 17.42 (+0.63)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 615.35 (-1.50)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 20000 5.59 (-0.20)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 104396 17.16 (+0.83)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 75000 17.16 (+0.83)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 615.35 (-1.50)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 14052 15.11 (+0.51)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 6.74 (+0.24)          Viva La Madness (VLMAD) 150000 18.78 (-0.60)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 351 615.35 (-1.50)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 150000 21.04 (+0.17)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 150000 21.04 (+0.17)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 150000 5.59 (-0.20)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 615.35 (-1.50)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 150000 17.16 (+0.83)          Stiletto (STLTO) 150000 3.51 (+0.26)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 150000 17.16 (+0.83)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 150000 12.92 (+0.68)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 150000 12.92 (+0.68)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 150000 17.16 (+0.83)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 30000 17.16 (+0.83)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 30000 13.90 (+0.49)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 1 615.35 (-1.50)          Tony (TONY) 10000 17.42 (+0.63)          One Night Only (ONTON) 149999 23.67 (+0.29)          Tony (TONY) 20000 17.42 (+0.63)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 100000 615.35 (-1.50)          Tony (TONY) 40000 17.42 (+0.63)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 1 615.35 (-1.50)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 20000 5.59 (-0.20)          Viva La Madness (VLMAD) 150000 18.78 (-0.60)