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boxoffice.com estimates are within these ranges, too: AVATR 72, SHOLM 70, ALVI2 45, CMPLC 22.5

Posted by: second gary (a.k.a 80181597) on Dec 26, 10:54 in response to secretstalker's post Seems low on SHOLM, possibly high on ALVN2

http://boxoffice.com/numbers/

If last year's weekend-after-Christmas dropoffs are used as rough guideline (worst performance in the Top 10 was down 34%), then next weekend would look like this:

AVATR 48, SHOLM 45, ALVI2 30, CMPLC 15. Ā 

But I wouldn't be surprised, given this weekend, to see next weekend's dropoffs be smaller.

ERC estimates: AVATR 75, SHOLM 68, ALVN2 50 second gary Dec 26, 09:03

Seems low on SHOLM, possibly high on ALVN2 secretstalker Dec 26, 09:07

way low on SHOLM, ALVN2 is probably close and AVATR is a beast! {nm} lobogotti Dec 26, 09:10

It is really that good!!!!!! Went yestarday for my second viewing on IMAX REAL D. and its impressive, it may be worth a 3 gogreen Dec 26, 09:43

o rly? whats so good about the story in avatar? {nm} adrenalin112 Dec 26, 11:13

Seems that would be BOG - boxofficeguru (Gitesh Pandya), not BOM (Box Office Mojo) {nm} Facto Dec 26, 09:43

Yes, sorry... I meant BOG. {nm} secretstalker Dec 26, 09:45

No biggie, I just tend to trust BOM more than BOG.. ;-) Not sure if that is validated, though - just my feeling, for now {nm} Facto Dec 26, 09:55

Looks like RDJ Is On His Way To Being The Next Johnny Depp B.O Wise. {nm} wrongturn687 Dec 26, 10:01

True dat...but I don't think he has any indie duds laying around like Depp did after Pirates {nm} secretstalker Dec 26, 10:36

SOLOIST was pretty much the closest thing to that, POE is the lowest profile project he is attached to at this time. {nm} notfabio Dec 26, 11:43

That and the odds of POE actually being made are fairly slim. {nm} notfabio Dec 26, 11:44

Yeah, especially if James McTeigue's The Raven gets moving. but who knows? Maybe he'll be cast as Poe in that! :) {nm} secretstalker Dec 26, 12:22

boxoffice.com estimates are within these ranges, too: AVATR 72, SHOLM 70, ALVI2 45, CMPLC 22.5 second gary Dec 26, 10:54

Oops. No, SHOLM and AVATR are both below the BOM range estimates. {nm} second gary Dec 26, 10:58

So Avatar could break the record for biggest 2nd weekend of 75.166 (of TDK) even though it opened to half what TDK did. {nm} ceregon Dec 26, 11:03

all of the above are overestimated i see 68 for AVATR as well {nm} Smallville944 Dec 26, 20:32

that's like a 1% drop? amazing. {nm} JohnnyS2 Dec 26, 23:20





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