Movies

Forbes: STAR7 is being set up to fail. "$300M (OW Prediction)...is so fantastical that it almost resembles an act of industrial sabatoge" islander Aug 29, 06:45

I understand how 300 seems a bit out there, but then again people would have said the same thing about 210 for JW Strider907 Aug 29, 07:03

"a bit" is a huge understatement. The article explains it well (why it is extremely unlikely to even get JW numbers). And it's the same BSmurf Aug 29, 07:14

No, it doesn't explain it well. His entire premise is it won't happen because it hasn't happened before in December. That is absurd.... nilephelan Aug 29, 08:00

Agreed. {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Aug 29, 08:00

agreed as well {nm} Dorfman Aug 29, 09:14

This article was written by Scott Mendelson, who wrote multiple off base and terrible articles this summer about the industry {nm} nilephelan Aug 29, 08:03

good luck with those 5AM showings in December. {nm} islander Aug 29, 08:08

also, I can tell you right now multiple theaters are not going to be open 24 hours. ;) islander Aug 29, 08:17

I can't go into specifics, but I can tell you demand is unlike anything I have seen including Avengers/Dark Knight Returns/JW and others {nm} nilephelan Aug 29, 08:28

I think if it hasn't happened before, the onus is on the people arguing that it will to say why it will - preferably using math RogerMore Aug 29, 08:45

I believe the excitement is across every age group. How about younger kids who have never sat in a theater tradermark Aug 29, 17:58

its not absurd i agree with the article and am willing to wager 10k that 300m aint happening !! bunty_ketti Aug 29, 09:40

That's not true. Nobody ever thought that JW would make 210 million OW. {nm} AgentEvil Aug 31, 08:44

300 Will never happen for this franchise....have you all forgotten how terrible part 4, 5 and 6 were... And yes... JMT-NL Aug 29, 08:18

Lol. Anyone who thinks the prequels have any bearing on Star Wars: The Force Awakens should also be completely ignored {nm} nilephelan Aug 29, 08:23

Dude, let them be bears - it won't change our mega-adjust ;) {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Aug 29, 08:58

I will let the Bear's have their fun, going to be fun seeing the numbers come in. {nm} nilephelan Aug 29, 09:08

I'm saving this page. Compared to you I'm very bearish MattW Aug 29, 09:13

Why would you compare it to that? {nm} Dorfman Aug 29, 09:15

The status of the LotR series, great blockbusters on top of awards-level quality, the finale factor of RotK.... MattW Aug 29, 09:41

Not a great comparison for the 3hour 21 minute run time alone. {nm} nilephelan Aug 29, 10:09

high anticipation, GFB enthusiasm, multi-generational appeal, same weekend (but con: long time ago, less 3D/IMAX) {nm} RogerMore Aug 29, 09:42

3D/IMAX/LPF and also that the prequels were big midnight movies will make today's previews an even bigger factor MattW Aug 29, 10:08

Do I think it will open to $300M? Probably not, but not impossible. I'm calling $250M the floor, though {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Aug 29, 09:21

And the (-) comes from physical screen limitations - they're right, not gonna run 24* or fill 5am seats {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Aug 29, 09:26

Yeah, my guess would be above JW but below the 300. {nm} wilypueo Aug 29, 09:41

So much venom on both sides of this debate, jeez... skunkrunner Aug 29, 11:10

Who cares what the OW is, my profit is already guaranteed, everything hereafter is gravy :) {nm} hyperzeitgeist Aug 29, 09:08

+9000 {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Aug 29, 09:22

Star Wars: The Force Awakens has a 2 hour run time (124 min right now). All of the other December comparisons ran 40+ minutes longer nilephelan Aug 29, 09:54

your opinion reeks that of a fanboy ... will love to see the look in your face when it doesnt beat JW {nm} bunty_ketti Aug 29, 10:25

Nah - he's an insider, with access to info that we don't have. {nm} RogerMore Aug 29, 10:51

I like the run time - that will help us for sure! Don't get me wrong, I would LOVE to see $300M!! {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Aug 29, 11:50

I would LOVE to see a great movie first and foremost. {nm} islander Aug 29, 12:19

300? Imagine if it have a 500 million OW. OR, it goes Avengers 2 way? {nm} mattep74 Aug 29, 13:27