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I am sure that this will make more than that if gets made. Disney + Pixar = money. Lots of it.
What I am saying is this if
a) you short this based in the asumption of that article that seems to sugest that the movie will not be made or its gonna be years if ever it is made (2 reason while you should short any movie as a rule) and the movie is made (most probably as you say and I believe so too) then you loose lots of H$ fake dollars, right? remember this will go up as hell and shorts don't have limit in losses. Also If you consider that this movie IPO was June 7, 2007 and that is gonna be 3 years in a couple of months in that stage then adds 2 to 3 to it based in that article then you will have a movie that will have no change in 5 or 6 years which by that time and while not written in stone HSX will say no change and it is time to dead delist. So far if we ask you if HSX treats movies by any distributor or studio the same you will answer us with yes, we make no diference nor have any alliance with anyone and all that you can write telling that you guys are fair and impartial and we will believe you. So if you do not make any exceptions based in studio or movie everything so far (that article and HSX informal "long time no change" guide) seems to sugest dead delist which users will think as a short oportunity, right?
b) you buy long this cheap and waits for the classical Disney- Pixar magic and the movie gets a dead delist because it has been 3 to 6 years without change since IPO and HSX does not have any preferences with studios or anything like that. Since the available information seens to sugest that and from time to time you re-ipo some movies there is no reason to suspect any different.
Conclusion while I believe the same as you that it will be made the available information sugest short and without any new info this is a 10 point risk minimum in the best scenario. My impresion or comment was that it was a risk and for now it should be avoided until any new information appears (tip the balance either way).
BlueSkyDisney: 1906 is no closer to happening, due to budget approvals not coming through [1906] Jan 26, 09:33
Read that last night and it sounded more like an opinion piece =) Have no clue though. {nm} Jan 26, 09:38
darn...I want to see some new Brad Bird work {nm} Jan 26, 09:41
opinion or not. It is my impresion that the movie as it is priced now (without any other information) is a risk. Jan 26, 09:47
How is the current price a risk? What's the average Pixar gross? How many Pixar has been dead delist? Jan 26, 09:56
your reply.. Jan 26, 11:20
I am sure that this will make more than that if gets made. Disney + Pixar = money. Lots of it. Jan 26, 11:15