HSX Forum

Movies

Over, for the same reason as RamsFan2004.

Posted by: DTshakes on Dec 09, 11:18 in response to shaunwins' post So are you taking the over or the under on the SW7 $190...

I also max on the call + put when movies are projected to make so much, because often the box office is off the projection by enough to justify the cost of both.Ā 

So are you taking the over or the under on the SW7 $190 million opening weekend warrant? {nm} shaunwins Dec 09, 10:58

over. I did some additional research this morning, it is a pretty high number, but this movie has been 32 years in the making so.... {nm} beansnap Dec 09, 11:03

i don't play the warrants but would take the over if i did {nm} slipping jimmy Dec 09, 11:03

Why the aversion to the warrants? I'm curious to know... {nm} DTshakes Dec 09, 11:07

no aversion, just a pain in the balls to spend the time on {nm} slipping jimmy Dec 09, 11:09

Doesn't help that it's sort of at the bottom of your port so you tend forget about it. {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 09, 11:12

I check the Opening This Week tab. Do you only scroll through your port to find decisions to make? {nm} DTshakes Dec 09, 11:16

I'm talking about after I buy in at IPO... that whole first week I own it, I kind of forget i own them (sometimes I forget to flip it etc) {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 09, 11:19

Ah, you're very active. When I long or short an OW, I usually just let it ride. {nm} DTshakes Dec 09, 11:20

i used to be active 20 years ago, now i pretty much just let it sit. {nm} beansnap Dec 09, 11:21

+1 {nm} Dorfman. Dec 09, 11:23

Usually I let it ride when I'm confident I made the right call (even if numbers come out saying otherwise) {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 09, 11:32

That's why they have the 'Jump to' tabs. {nm} hyperzeitgeist Dec 09, 11:48

Talking re: mental real estate. {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 09, 12:03

I'm sorry that playing this HSX game causes you testicular pain. DTshakes Dec 09, 11:19

the struggle is real {nm} slipping jimmy Dec 09, 11:26

I don't want to end up on the wrong side of history... over {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 09, 11:04

It's about 99.5% weighted in one direction. Whoever is in that half percent will either be very happy or very upset with themselves. {nm} RollingThunder Dec 09, 11:05

I'm new to HSX, and hence warrants. If 95+% of the buyers are taking the "over", will the price move significantly tomorrow when it adjusts? {nm} shaunwins Dec 09, 11:19

Price movements are based on today's trades. (So investments made today at the IPO price won't affect the price movements tomorrow) {nm} RogerMore Dec 09, 11:27

Gotcha. So basically all trades made during the 24 hour IPO period doesn't affect the price of the stock/warrant? {nm} shaunwins Dec 09, 11:54

(15 hour IPO period) but basically, yes. {nm} RogerMore Dec 09, 12:04

I'll buy my OW-stocks early tomorrow , ty {nm} jmt-nl Dec 09, 12:35

$190 puts the stock at $513, so currently it would be undervalued..according to the consensus on the warrant. {nm} beansnap Dec 09, 11:15

Over, for the same reason as RamsFan2004. DTshakes Dec 09, 11:18

Over here. {nm} Flash Dec 09, 12:51

Over. The presales are one thing--record-breaking one thing--but remember a CORE demo of the audience doesn't buy film tickets online at all chosenone2oo5 Dec 09, 14:37

I've been swayed once I looked into how many theaters have sold out already by me. {nm} Baron_Darcon Dec 09, 19:00





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