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egads...

Posted by: lobogotti on Mar 13, 11:01 in response to lobogotti's post delist estimate projections for zootopia...

I lost everything I typed below. here are the details of the spreadsheet though...

35% 3rd & 4th Weekend Lorax Weekdays (2nd & 3rd) OW Mon Tues Wed Thu Weekend 75.06 4.54 5.37 3.72 3.91 50.00 33% 4.45 5.75 4.46 4.65 32.50 35% 2.22 2.87 2.23 2.33 21.13 35% $ 225.19 Lorax Weekdays (2nd + 10% Drop & 3rd) OW Mon Tues Wed Thu Weekend $75.06 4.54 5.37 3.72 3.91 50.00 33% 4.00 5.21 4.09 4.26 32.50 35% 2.00 2.60 2.05 2.13 21.13 35% $ 222.56 Lorax Weekdays (2nd + 20% Drop & 3rd) OW Mon Tues Wed Thu Weekend $75.06 4.54 5.37 3.72 3.91 50.00 33% 3.54 4.67 3.72 3.87 32.50 35% 1.77 2.34 1.86 1.94 21.13 35% $ 219.93 Lorax Weekdays (2nd + 30% Drop & 3rd) OW Mon Tues Wed Thu Weekend $75.06 4.54 5.37 3.72 3.91 50.00 33% 3.09 4.13 3.35 3.48 32.50 35% 1.54 2.07 1.67 1.74 21.13 35% $ 217.30 Lorax Weekdays (2nd + 40% Drop & 3rd) OW Mon Tues Wed Thu Weekend $75.06 4.54 5.37 3.72 3.91 50.00 33% 2.63 3.60 2.98 3.09 32.50 35% 1.32 1.80 1.49 1.54 21.13 35% $ 214.67 40% 3rd & 4th Weekend Lorax Weekdays (2nd & 3rd) OW Mon Tues Wed Thu Weekend $75.06 4.54 5.37 3.72 3.91 50.00 33% 4.45 5.75 4.46 4.65 30.00 40% 2.22 2.87 2.23 2.33 18.00 40% $ 219.57 Lorax Weekdays (2nd + 10% Drop & 3rd) OW Mon Tues Wed Thu Weekend $75.06 4.54 5.37 3.72 3.91 50.00 33% 4.00 5.21 4.09 4.26 30.00 40% 2.00 2.60 2.05

delist estimate projections for zootopia... lobogotti Mar 13, 10:57

egads... lobogotti Mar 13, 11:01

nevermind {nm} lobogotti Mar 13, 11:02

Very impressive analysis. I'll take those numbers but wouldn't be surprised to see it go higher :) {nm} hyperzeitgeist Mar 13, 11:03

for the record, I don't think it can be seen, but my worst case scenario (in this data) for Zoot is $209.04 delist. lobogotti Mar 13, 11:08

What are these drops? From previous day? From previous week? SpongeBob opened in feb 2015. {nm} Antibody Mar 13, 11:06

the website cut off a lot of my comments and data tables. lobogotti Mar 13, 11:09

You're obviously rely heavily on a mid-week spring break bump here, which I'm not as sold on as you appear to be. shadowking Mar 13, 12:28

excluding the 8 weekdays it has left, your generous 33% drops would put the film at $198.55. let's then add in 50% drops from previous lobogotti Mar 13, 12:47

Yeah, you are right. shadowking Mar 13, 13:08

it'll be interesting to see the weekends actuals, 2nd Mon & Tues drops. then after the 3rd weekend actuals come in will know lobogotti Mar 13, 13:18

One thing it has going for it on that front is no real full-family competition until Jungle Book in mid-April shadowking Mar 13, 13:25