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Movies

Yeah, you are right.

Posted by: shadowking (a.k.a shadowking13) on Mar 13, 13:08 in response to lobogotti's post excluding the 8 weekdays it has left, your generous 33%...

I could not find my old delist calculation spreadsheet and the new one I put together on the fly this morning is rife with errors.Ā  H$210+ even without even a minimal weekday bump is very likely.

delist estimate projections for zootopia... lobogotti Mar 13, 10:57

egads... lobogotti Mar 13, 11:01

nevermind {nm} lobogotti Mar 13, 11:02

Very impressive analysis. I'll take those numbers but wouldn't be surprised to see it go higher :) {nm} hyperzeitgeist Mar 13, 11:03

for the record, I don't think it can be seen, but my worst case scenario (in this data) for Zoot is $209.04 delist. lobogotti Mar 13, 11:08

What are these drops? From previous day? From previous week? SpongeBob opened in feb 2015. {nm} Antibody Mar 13, 11:06

the website cut off a lot of my comments and data tables. lobogotti Mar 13, 11:09

You're obviously rely heavily on a mid-week spring break bump here, which I'm not as sold on as you appear to be. shadowking Mar 13, 12:28

excluding the 8 weekdays it has left, your generous 33% drops would put the film at $198.55. let's then add in 50% drops from previous lobogotti Mar 13, 12:47

Yeah, you are right. shadowking Mar 13, 13:08

it'll be interesting to see the weekends actuals, 2nd Mon & Tues drops. then after the 3rd weekend actuals come in will know lobogotti Mar 13, 13:18

One thing it has going for it on that front is no real full-family competition until Jungle Book in mid-April shadowking Mar 13, 13:25

fully agree. it will be going into it's 7th weekend when jungle book opens and after that weekend ends it will have most likely lobogotti Mar 13, 13:29

It's turning into a really interesting run, not just domestic. The China dailies are absurd, turning into a Titanic-like run over there {nm} MattW Mar 13, 12:31

yes indeed, it's a powerhouse of a film. as it stands, domestic run looks to surpass $265M and depending on this next full weeks lobogotti Mar 13, 13:00





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Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 2500 222.90 (+0.84)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 1 36.12 (-0.03)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 3500 132.75 (+0.08)          Blade (BLAD1) 10000 40.75 (+0.04)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 150000 108.34 (-4.91)          Fackham Hall (FACKH) 150000 4.64 (-0.90)          The Testament of Ann Lee (ANLEE) 150000 8.03 (-0.06)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 15493 200.00 (0.00)          The Running Man (TRUNM) 25000 39.77 (-0.27)          Keeper (KEEPR) 50000 8.92 (-0.17)          Urchin (URCHN) 50000 0.25 (+0.02)          Orwell: 2+2=5 (OW225) 50000 0.35 (+0.02)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 3.09 (+0.18)          The Ice Tower (ICTWR) 50000 0.13 (+0.03)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 1.51 (-0.12)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 16740 200.00 (0.00)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 25000 2.65 (-0.09)          The Housemaid H$20 Call (HMAID.CA) 25000 2.97 (-0.20)          A House of Dynamite (AHODN) 50000 0.10 (-0.03)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 23.12 (-0.74)          Now You See Me: Now You Don't (NYSM3) 50000 55.43 (-0.12)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 1 200.00 (0.00)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 150000 200.00 (0.00)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 150000 106.78 (+0.80)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 95883 200.00 (0.00)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 95883 200.00 (0.00)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 25000 200.00 (0.00)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 3.09 (+0.18)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 1.51 (-0.12)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 25000 2.65 (-0.09)          The Housemaid H$20 Call (HMAID.CA) 25000 2.97 (-0.20)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 23.12 (-0.74)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 5000 62.43 (+0.05)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 150000 200.00 (0.00)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 5000 137.21 (-0.01)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 5000 161.99 (+0.33)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 10000 106.78 (+0.80)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 150000 24.63 (+0.48)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 150000 24.63 (+0.48)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.82 (+0.82)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.82 (+0.82)          The Housemaid H$20 Put (HMAID.PU) 25000 1.21 (-0.07)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 50000 354.42 (-4.76)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 2.12 (+0.25)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 25000 2.65 (-0.09)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 1.51 (-0.12)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 75000 354.42 (-4.76)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 150000 200.00 (0.00)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 150000 303.60 (-1.23)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 150000 200.00 (0.00)