HSX Forum

Movies

Yeah, you are right.

Posted by: shadowking (a.k.a shadowking13) on Mar 13, 13:08 in response to lobogotti's post excluding the 8 weekdays it has left, your generous 33%...

I could not find my old delist calculation spreadsheet and the new one I put together on the fly this morning is rife with errors.Ā  H$210+ even without even a minimal weekday bump is very likely.

delist estimate projections for zootopia... lobogotti Mar 13, 10:57

egads... lobogotti Mar 13, 11:01

nevermind {nm} lobogotti Mar 13, 11:02

Very impressive analysis. I'll take those numbers but wouldn't be surprised to see it go higher :) {nm} hyperzeitgeist Mar 13, 11:03

for the record, I don't think it can be seen, but my worst case scenario (in this data) for Zoot is $209.04 delist. lobogotti Mar 13, 11:08

What are these drops? From previous day? From previous week? SpongeBob opened in feb 2015. {nm} Antibody Mar 13, 11:06

the website cut off a lot of my comments and data tables. lobogotti Mar 13, 11:09

You're obviously rely heavily on a mid-week spring break bump here, which I'm not as sold on as you appear to be. shadowking Mar 13, 12:28

excluding the 8 weekdays it has left, your generous 33% drops would put the film at $198.55. let's then add in 50% drops from previous lobogotti Mar 13, 12:47

Yeah, you are right. shadowking Mar 13, 13:08

it'll be interesting to see the weekends actuals, 2nd Mon & Tues drops. then after the 3rd weekend actuals come in will know lobogotti Mar 13, 13:18

One thing it has going for it on that front is no real full-family competition until Jungle Book in mid-April shadowking Mar 13, 13:25

fully agree. it will be going into it's 7th weekend when jungle book opens and after that weekend ends it will have most likely lobogotti Mar 13, 13:29

It's turning into a really interesting run, not just domestic. The China dailies are absurd, turning into a Titanic-like run over there {nm} MattW Mar 13, 12:31

yes indeed, it's a powerhouse of a film. as it stands, domestic run looks to surpass $265M and depending on this next full weeks lobogotti Mar 13, 13:00





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Elsinore (ELSNR) 150000 7.67 (+0.72)          NDA (NDA) 150000 8.50 (+0.67)          NDA (NDA) 150000 8.50 (+0.67)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 10000 613.97 (-2.88)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 15.43 (+0.83)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 150000 21.33 (-0.08)          Not Alone (NTALN) 50000 113.84 (+0.62)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 25000 428.31 (-1.42)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 25000 613.97 (-2.88)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 15.43 (+0.83)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 1 15.43 (+0.83)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 15.43 (+0.83)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 150000 17.50 (+1.17)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 150000 17.50 (+1.17)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 50000 55.05 (+0.05)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 402 30.66 (+0.03)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 50000 97.34 (+0.08)          Robert Downey Jr. (RDOWN) 1 220.50 (0.00)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 76.17 (+0.33)          The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 5000 83.81 (-0.17)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 613.97 (-2.88)          Hershey (HERSH) 150000 14.32 (+0.25)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 5000 78.86 (0.00)          Hershey (HERSH) 150000 14.32 (+0.25)          Stiletto (STLTO) 150000 3.58 (+0.33)          Stiletto (STLTO) 150000 3.58 (+0.33)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 150000 7.67 (+0.72)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 150000 7.67 (+0.72)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 10.85 (-0.61)          Coward (COWRD) 49105 1.28 (-0.01)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 10.85 (-0.61)          Not Alone (NTALN) 500 113.84 (+0.62)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 150000 14.39 (+0.98)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 150000 14.39 (+0.98)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 2 95.13 (-0.08)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 5 76.17 (+0.33)          Robert Downey Jr. (RDOWN) 1 220.50 (0.00)          Donkey (DONKE) 500 129.86 (0.00)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 100000 17.50 (+1.17)          Hope (HOPE) 100000 8.85 (-0.02)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 5.32 (+0.32)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 5.32 (+0.32)          Be My Baby (BMYBB) 1 9.34 (+0.01)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 127714 428.31 (-1.42)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 149999 613.97 (-2.88)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 149999 428.31 (-1.42)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 1000 333.70 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 613.97 (-2.88)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 5000 263.03 (+0.02)          Gonzo Girl (GONZG) 150000 0.06 (+0.04)