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excluding the 8 weekdays it has left, your generous 33% drops would put the film at $198.55. let's then add in 50% drops from previous
weekdays. that get's you to $211.71:
| 4.54 | 5.37 | 3.72 | 3.91 | 198.55 |
| 2.27 | 2.69 | 1.86 | 1.96 | 8.77 |
| 1.14 | 1.34 | 0.93 | 0.98 | 4.385 |
| 13.155 | ||||
| 211.71 |
for the record, I'm definitely not saying Zoot see's weekday increases this week. but at a minimum, after actuals for the weekend there is a good shot that Zoots Sunday is already ahead of Lego's Monday. that's massive for zoot without a holiday weekend, as Lego delisted at $209.14:
http://www.hsx.com/security/view/LEGO
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=lego.htm
I appreciate the feedback, however I'm very doubtful that this will delist less than Lego. so much so I'd be willing to bet on it.
delist estimate projections for zootopia... Mar 13, 10:57
egads... Mar 13, 11:01
nevermind {nm} Mar 13, 11:02
Very impressive analysis. I'll take those numbers but wouldn't be surprised to see it go higher :) {nm} Mar 13, 11:03
for the record, I don't think it can be seen, but my worst case scenario (in this data) for Zoot is $209.04 delist. Mar 13, 11:08
What are these drops? From previous day? From previous week? SpongeBob opened in feb 2015. {nm} Mar 13, 11:06
the website cut off a lot of my comments and data tables. Mar 13, 11:09
You're obviously rely heavily on a mid-week spring break bump here, which I'm not as sold on as you appear to be. Mar 13, 12:28
excluding the 8 weekdays it has left, your generous 33% drops would put the film at $198.55. let's then add in 50% drops from previous Mar 13, 12:47
Yeah, you are right. Mar 13, 13:08
it'll be interesting to see the weekends actuals, 2nd Mon & Tues drops. then after the 3rd weekend actuals come in will know Mar 13, 13:18
One thing it has going for it on that front is no real full-family competition until Jungle Book in mid-April Mar 13, 13:25