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CI made $4M and Conjuring at $2.2M...
87% percent of K-12 schools were off on summer break yesterday with another 96% colleges off, making it a spectacular weekday night at the movies. That was pretty obvious standing on line at the movies last night. At a Regal Edwards cinema 30 minutes north of Los Angeles in Valencia, CA, there was literally a 10-minute wait to buy tickets, and an even longer line at concessions. Depending on where you lived in the U.S., people wanted to escape to the cooling atmosphere of a movie theater, whether it was 100-degree-plus temperatures in the Los Angeles environs and record-setting heat throughout the southwest.
Warner Bros./New Line/Universal’s Central Intelligence filed second yesterday with an estimated $4M at 3,508 locations, taking its four-day take to $39.5M. WB/New Line also owned third with The Conjuring 2 which made $2.2M at 3,356 for an 11-day haul of $73.3M.
I did several delist scenarios yesterday over the weekend for Conjuring 2 based on some pretty conservative estimates and came up with a best case scenario of $97M delist and a good chance at a $92M delist. Somewhere in between is likely, given it doesn't have a 60% decrease again this weekend (which I don't think it will).
I can provide math if needed.
btw, reading on BOT that Dory is going to come in close to a $20M Monday number. that would be quite amazing if true. Jun 21, 07:12
If true, it would be well ahead of Toy Story 3's $15m Monday {nm} Jun 21, 07:13
indeed and onto a $70-80M 2nd weekend. on Saturday I had it doing $80M in it's second weekend, but I was Jun 21, 07:15
I still think a 50% drop for Weekend #2 is quite likely, fitting in line with most recent Pixar flicks. {nm} Jun 21, 07:17
Think $75m second weekend is pretty realistic {nm} Jun 21, 08:24
nice to see you good man. {nm} Jun 21, 08:28
xiayun and lobogotti. Two of the finest. Looking forward to reading more of your insights, xiayun. {nm} Jun 21, 20:45
It opened 22.7% better than TOYS3. The same bump over TOYS3 first Monday would be $19.15M, or close to $20M Jun 21, 07:17
yeah, Fathers Day/Finals had more of an impact than I expected. so a number like that today would Jun 21, 07:25
I would wait till Wednesday to see how legs will be Jun 21, 07:44
sure, and we won't know much until the weekend drop. but still that $19.9M number is pretty darn massive Jun 21, 07:51
True, but again Civil War had a 5% better hold on Monday and Tuesday than Ultron and IM3 and then just died {nm} Jun 21, 08:18
yes, I'll just point out that comic book films (particularly sequels) are underperforming as of late with their legs. Jun 21, 08:28
DL: 19.9 Jun 21, 07:40
Wow, so that a Sun-Mon drop of 43% as opposed to TS3's 51%. Father's Day may be reason but still, impressive. {nm} Jun 21, 07:43
only 3 films EVER had a higher Tuesday that wasn't an opening day... Jun 21, 07:55
oops {nm} Jun 21, 07:56
8 films... Jun 21, 07:57
A couple of those Monday's are Memorial day, which can be thrown out {nm} Jun 21, 07:59
6 of those films were on Memorial day or July 4th holiday week. {nm} Jun 21, 07:59
Wouldn't Father's Day suggest the drop should be bigger? (ie inflated Sunday, normal Monday = bigger % drop) {nm} Jun 21, 08:00
I;m assuming Father's Day isn't inflated, that father's would go to an animated movie on THEIR day {nm} Jun 21, 08:05
Ah, I'm thinking the opposite - that Father's Day means fathers spend more time doing something with their kids. {nm} Jun 21, 08:48
Bloody ungrateful kids! {nm} Jun 21, 09:26
Films normally get boost from Father's Day, but this year Game 7 deflated that effect some, so Jun 21, 08:22
CI made $4M and Conjuring at $2.2M... Jun 21, 08:11
Oh, since I'm back from my vacation Jun 21, 13:07