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I would wait till Wednesday to see how legs will be

Posted by: reelreptile on Jun 21, 07:44 in response to lobogotti's post yeah, Fathers Day/Finals had more of an impact than I...

Monday always has spillover for big movies and Tuesday is boosted by Discount Tuesdays.

Civil War, based on Monday and Tuesday numbers looked set for 500M+, and then we saw what happened starting Wednesday 

btw, reading on BOT that Dory is going to come in close to a $20M Monday number. that would be quite amazing if true. lobogotti Jun 21, 07:12

If true, it would be well ahead of Toy Story 3's $15m Monday {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 07:13

indeed and onto a $70-80M 2nd weekend. on Saturday I had it doing $80M in it's second weekend, but I was lobogotti Jun 21, 07:15

I still think a 50% drop for Weekend #2 is quite likely, fitting in line with most recent Pixar flicks. {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 07:17

yeah, but even 50% gets it $67.5M. that $9.2M is a huge number of fan frontload, so hoping the audience score and limited family films lobogotti Jun 21, 07:22

Think $75m second weekend is pretty realistic {nm} xiayun Jun 21, 08:24

nice to see you good man. {nm} lobogotti Jun 21, 08:28

xiayun and lobogotti. Two of the finest. Looking forward to reading more of your insights, xiayun. {nm} eallensbp Jun 21, 20:45

It opened 22.7% better than TOYS3. The same bump over TOYS3 first Monday would be $19.15M, or close to $20M shadowking Jun 21, 07:17

yeah, Fathers Day/Finals had more of an impact than I expected. so a number like that today would lobogotti Jun 21, 07:25

I would wait till Wednesday to see how legs will be reelreptile Jun 21, 07:44

sure, and we won't know much until the weekend drop. but still that $19.9M number is pretty darn massive lobogotti Jun 21, 07:51

True, but again Civil War had a 5% better hold on Monday and Tuesday than Ultron and IM3 and then just died {nm} reelreptile Jun 21, 08:18

yes, I'll just point out that comic book films (particularly sequels) are underperforming as of late with their legs. lobogotti Jun 21, 08:28

DL: 19.9 Oleg Max Jun 21, 07:40

Wow, so that a Sun-Mon drop of 43% as opposed to TS3's 51%. Father's Day may be reason but still, impressive. {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 07:43

only 3 films EVER had a higher Tuesday that wasn't an opening day... lobogotti Jun 21, 07:55

oops {nm} lobogotti Jun 21, 07:56

8 films... lobogotti Jun 21, 07:57

A couple of those Monday's are Memorial day, which can be thrown out {nm} shadowking Jun 21, 07:59

6 of those films were on Memorial day or July 4th holiday week. {nm} lobogotti Jun 21, 07:59

Wouldn't Father's Day suggest the drop should be bigger? (ie inflated Sunday, normal Monday = bigger % drop) {nm} RogerMore Jun 21, 08:00

I;m assuming Father's Day isn't inflated, that father's would go to an animated movie on THEIR day {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 08:05

Ah, I'm thinking the opposite - that Father's Day means fathers spend more time doing something with their kids. {nm} RogerMore Jun 21, 08:48

Bloody ungrateful kids! {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 09:26

Films normally get boost from Father's Day, but this year Game 7 deflated that effect some, so xiayun Jun 21, 08:22

CI made $4M and Conjuring at $2.2M... lobogotti Jun 21, 08:11

Proportionately, that's better than Jurassic World's 25.34 first Monday, and just slightly below The Dark Knight's 24.5 first Monday. {nm} InigoST Jun 21, 08:23

I'm more interested in the upcoming weekdays to weekdays holds...isn't that where summer kids movies really show their power? {nm} tealfan Jun 21, 09:13

Oh, since I'm back from my vacation TwoMisfits Jun 21, 13:07





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